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Quarto GHA Workflow Runner committed Mar 6, 2024
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion .nojekyll
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64 changes: 46 additions & 18 deletions 01-introduccion.html
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<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" lang="es" xml:lang="es"><head>

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<a href="./07-buenos-malos-controles.html" class="sidebar-item-text sidebar-link">
<span class="menu-text"><span class="chapter-number">7</span>&nbsp; <span class="chapter-title">Buenos y malos controles</span></span></a>
</div>
</li>
<li class="sidebar-item">
<div class="sidebar-item-container">
<a href="./08-mcmc.html" class="sidebar-item-text sidebar-link">
<span class="menu-text"><span class="chapter-number">8</span>&nbsp; <span class="chapter-title">Markov Chain Monte Carlo</span></span></a>
</div>
</li>
</ul>
</div>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -348,24 +354,24 @@ <h3 class="unnumbered anchored" data-anchor-id="ejemplo-cálculos-renales">Ejemp
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="odd">
<td style="text-align: left;">B</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">grandes</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">chicos</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">mejora</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td style="text-align: left;">B</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">chicos</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">grandes</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">mejora</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td style="text-align: left;">B</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">chicos</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">grandes</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">mejora</td>
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<td style="text-align: left;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">grandes</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">mejora</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">sin_mejora</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td style="text-align: left;">A</td>
Expand All @@ -374,13 +380,13 @@ <h3 class="unnumbered anchored" data-anchor-id="ejemplo-cálculos-renales">Ejemp
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td style="text-align: left;">A</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">chicos</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">mejora</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">grandes</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">sin_mejora</td>
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<tr class="odd">
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<td style="text-align: left;">chicos</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">mejora</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">grandes</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">sin_mejora</td>
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Expand All @@ -389,7 +395,7 @@ <h3 class="unnumbered anchored" data-anchor-id="ejemplo-cálculos-renales">Ejemp
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td style="text-align: left;">B</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">chicos</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">grandes</td>
<td style="text-align: left;">mejora</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -648,8 +654,8 @@ <h3 class="unnumbered anchored" data-anchor-id="ejemplo-cálculos-renales">Ejemp
<span id="cb8-14"><a href="#cb8-14" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a><span class="st">"</span>, <span class="at">width =</span> <span class="dv">200</span>, <span class="at">height =</span> <span class="dv">50</span>)</span></code><button title="Copiar al portapapeles" class="code-copy-button"><i class="bi"></i></button></pre></div>
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<p>Es decir, el tamaño de los cálculos es una causa común de tratamiento (T) y resultado (M). Veremos más adelante que la decisión de condicionar a el tipo de cálculos proviene de un análisis relativamente simple de este diagrama causal, independientemente de los métodos que usemos para estimar las proporciones de interés (en este ejemplo, examinar las tablas cruzadas es equivalente a hacer estimaciones de máxima verosimlitud).</p>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -770,8 +776,8 @@ <h3 class="unnumbered anchored" data-anchor-id="ejemplo-cálculos-renales-2">Eje
<span id="cb11-14"><a href="#cb11-14" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a><span class="st">"</span>, <span class="at">width =</span> <span class="dv">200</span>, <span class="at">height =</span> <span class="dv">50</span>)</span></code><button title="Copiar al portapapeles" class="code-copy-button"><i class="bi"></i></button></pre></div>
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<p>Nótese que el análisis más apropiado no está en los datos: en ambos casos la tabla de datos es exactamente la misma. Los supuestos acerca del proceso que genera los datos sin embargo nos lleva a respuestas opuestas.</p>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -1226,6 +1232,24 @@ <h2 data-number="1.4" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="modelación-y-análisis-i
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42 changes: 35 additions & 7 deletions 02-flujo-basico-2.html
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<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" lang="es" xml:lang="es"><head>

<meta charset="utf-8">
<meta name="generator" content="quarto-1.4.550">
<meta name="generator" content="quarto-1.4.551">

<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, user-scalable=yes">

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<a href="./07-buenos-malos-controles.html" class="sidebar-item-text sidebar-link">
<span class="menu-text"><span class="chapter-number">7</span>&nbsp; <span class="chapter-title">Buenos y malos controles</span></span></a>
</div>
</li>
<li class="sidebar-item">
<div class="sidebar-item-container">
<a href="./08-mcmc.html" class="sidebar-item-text sidebar-link">
<span class="menu-text"><span class="chapter-number">8</span>&nbsp; <span class="chapter-title">Markov Chain Monte Carlo</span></span></a>
</div>
</li>
</ul>
</div>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -308,8 +314,8 @@ <h3 data-number="3.1.1" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="paso-1-modelo-generativ
<span id="cb1-28"><a href="#cb1-28" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a><span class="st">"</span>)<span class="co">#, width = 200, height = 50)</span></span></code><button title="Copiar al portapapeles" class="code-copy-button"><i class="bi"></i></button></pre></div>
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<p>Donde vemos ahora que el estado real de cada persona de la prueba es desconocido, aunque el resultado de la prueba depende de ese estado, y la cantidad de positivos que observamos es ahora <span class="math inline">\(N_{obs}\)</span>, que depende también de la sensibilidad y especificidad de la prueba.</p>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -551,8 +557,8 @@ <h2 data-number="3.2" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="prevalencia-con-datos-de-
<span id="cb17-28"><a href="#cb17-28" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a><span class="st">"</span>)<span class="co">#, width = 200, height = 50)</span></span></code><button title="Copiar al portapapeles" class="code-copy-button"><i class="bi"></i></button></pre></div>
</details>
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<p>Usando argumentos como los del modelo original, las distribuciones de esp y sens son beta y podemos incorporarlas en la simulación de la posterior. Nuestra nueva función para simular el proceso generativo es:</p>
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -646,7 +652,7 @@ <h2 data-number="3.2" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="prevalencia-con-datos-de-

All 4 chains finished successfully.
Mean chain execution time: 0.0 seconds.
Total execution time: 0.7 seconds.</code></pre>
Total execution time: 0.6 seconds.</code></pre>
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<div class="sourceCode cell-code" id="cb23"><pre class="sourceCode r code-with-copy"><code class="sourceCode r"><span id="cb23-1"><a href="#cb23-1" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a>sims <span class="ot">&lt;-</span> ajuste<span class="sc">$</span><span class="fu">draws</span>(<span class="fu">c</span>(<span class="st">"theta"</span>, <span class="st">"sens"</span>, <span class="st">"esp"</span>), <span class="at">format =</span> <span class="st">"df"</span>)</span>
<span id="cb23-2"><a href="#cb23-2" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a>resumen <span class="ot">&lt;-</span> ajuste<span class="sc">$</span><span class="fu">summary</span>(<span class="fu">c</span>(<span class="st">"theta"</span>))</span></code><button title="Copiar al portapapeles" class="code-copy-button"><i class="bi"></i></button></pre></div>
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