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Updated prediction creator.
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danielmiessler committed Jan 13, 2025
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## Prediction: We will have AGI by 2025-2028

### Prediction: We will have AGI by 2025-2028

Date of Prediction: March 2023

QUOTE:
Quote:

<blockquote>This is why AGI is coming sooner rather than later. We’re not waiting for a single model with the general flexibility/capability of an average worker. We’re waiting for a single AGI system that can do that. To the human controlling it, it’s the same. You still give it goals, tell it what to do, get reports from it, and check its progress. Just like a co-worker or employee. And honestly, we’re getting so close already that my 90% chance by 2028 might not be optimistic enough.<cite><a href="https://danielmiessler.com/blog/why-well-have-agi-by-2028">Why We'll Have AGI by 2025-2028</a></cite></blockquote>

REFERENCES:
References:

- [Why We'll Have AGI by 2025-2028](https://danielmiessler.com/blog/why-well-have-agi-by-2028)

Status: `IN PROGRESS` 🔄

Notes:

STATUS: `ON TRACK` 👍🏼
- This prediction works off [this definition](https://danielmiessler.com/p/raid-ai-definitions) of AGI.
- Jan 12, 2025 — This prediction has been made multiple times and I'm improving my content RAG to find the earliest instance.
- Jan 12, 2025 — I am still confident in this one, and am currently putting this at 40% chance for 2025, and 50% for 2026, and 10% 2027 or beyond.

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