CCMC_api.ipynb

{
 "cells": [
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "id": "536fee77-0dc5-497e-acb3-ccb14c2f96cb",
   "metadata": {
    "tags": []
   },
   "source": [
    "CCMC scoreboard API"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 10,
   "id": "f40571ce-4bc6-4ba1-8a85-54ba11dc08b8",
   "metadata": {
    "tags": []
   },
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "/Users/chris/python/heliocats\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "  % Total    % Received % Xferd  Average Speed   Time    Time     Time  Current\n",
      "                                 Dload  Upload   Total   Spent    Left  Speed\n",
      "100 4379k  100 4379k    0     0   738k      0  0:00:05  0:00:05 --:--:--  957k\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "0"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 10,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "import json\n",
    "import os\n",
    "import matplotlib.dates as mdates\n",
    "import numpy as np\n",
    "import seaborn as sns\n",
    "\n",
    "from sunpy.time import parse_time\n",
    "\n",
    "os.system('pwd')\n",
    "\n",
    "os.system('curl https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/WS/get/predictions > data/ccmc/ATSB.json')"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 11,
   "id": "92184bba-9caf-4e27-b6c0-ee89ee7d8666",
   "metadata": {
    "tags": []
   },
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "f = open('data/ccmc/ATSB.json')\n",
    "data = json.load(f)\n",
    "\n",
    "#data"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 17,
   "id": "4ffa0b32-886b-41ad-9236-a209ca78a53f",
   "metadata": {
    "tags": []
   },
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "  % Total    % Received % Xferd  Average Speed   Time    Time     Time  Current\n",
      "                                 Dload  Upload   Total   Spent    Left  Speed\n",
      "  1 4379k    1 81840    0     0  18672      0  0:04:00  0:00:04  0:03:56 18672"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
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      "2013-04-13T22:12Z 2013-04-13T01:00Z\n",
      "2013-04-13T22:12Z 2013-04-14T00:00Z\n",
      "2013-04-13T22:12Z 2013-04-13T10:00Z\n",
      "2013-04-13T22:12Z 2013-04-13T22:00Z\n",
      "2013-04-13T22:12Z 2013-04-13T10:33Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-16T20:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T01:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-18T13:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-16T16:59Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T00:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T00:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T09:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T10:46Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T15:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T06:51Z\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "100 4379k  100 4379k    0     0   853k      0  0:00:05  0:00:05 --:--:-- 1158k\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "import os\n",
    "import json\n",
    "os.system('curl https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/WS/get/predictions > data/ccmc/ATSB.json')\n",
    "f = open('ATSB.json')\n",
    "data = json.load(f)\n",
    "for entry in data:\n",
    "    for pred in entry['predictions']:\n",
    "        print (entry['arrivalTime'], pred['predictedArrivalTime'])"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 18,
   "id": "bd66d7b7-2dfb-4b42-a17d-6781aac1c69b",
   "metadata": {
    "tags": []
   },
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "dt=[]\n",
    "count=[]\n",
    "for entry in data:\n",
    "    count.append(1)\n",
    "    for pred in entry['predictions']:\n",
    "        #print (entry['arrivalTime'], pred['predictedArrivalTime'])\n",
    "        ta=mdates.date2num(parse_time(entry['arrivalTime']).datetime)\n",
    "        tp=mdates.date2num(parse_time(pred['predictedArrivalTime']).datetime)\n",
    "        dt.append(tp-ta)\n",
    "        \n",
    "                "
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 20,
   "id": "6b75d024-4221-4d3a-87cc-3831c8da5972",
   "metadata": {
    "tags": []
   },
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "303\n",
      "1996\n",
      "-2.4849448897794266\n",
      "17.06255600768663\n",
      "12.912984301939993\n",
      "-3.0590277777773736\n",
      "3.696527777778101\n",
      "0.0\n",
      "88.71666666667443\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "data": {
      "image/png": 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",
      "text/plain": [
       "<Figure size 640x480 with 1 Axes>"
      ]
     },
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "display_data"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "sns.histplot(dt, kde=True)\n",
    "\n",
    "print(len(count))\n",
    "print(len(dt))\n",
    "print(np.nanmean(dt)*24)\n",
    "print(np.nanstd(dt)*24)\n",
    "\n",
    "print(np.nanmean(np.abs(dt))*24)\n",
    "\n",
    "print(np.nanmin(dt))\n",
    "print(np.nanmax(dt))\n",
    "\n",
    "print(np.nanmin(np.abs(dt))*24)\n",
    "print(np.nanmax(np.abs(dt))*24)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 5,
   "id": "7a738b2d-76d2-455e-95b9-8f9264aaf7a5",
   "metadata": {
    "tags": []
   },
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "[0. 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. 4. 4. 5. 5. 5. 6. 6. 6. 7. 8. 8. 8.]\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "print(np.sort(np.abs(dt))[0:21]*24*60)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 14,
   "id": "95712e16-4423-492a-9b28-e8abaec59380",
   "metadata": {
    "tags": []
   },
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "0"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 14,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    },
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "  % Total    % Received % Xferd  Average Speed   Time    Time     Time  Current\n",
      "                                 Dload  Upload   Total   Spent    Left  Speed\n",
      "  0 4379k    0     0    0     0      0      0 --:--:--  0:00:04 --:--:--     0"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "[ {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-06-25T05:00:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-06-25T05:00Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-28T09:09Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : 7.67,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Partial halo CME visible to the west in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The source is a large filament eruption. The filament extended from approximately N15W55 to S30W15 on the disk, with liftoff seen starting around 2024-06-24T21:40Z in SDO AIA 304. Dimming and post-eruptive loops are visible in SDO AIA 193. The eruption is also visible in STEREO A EUV 195 and 304.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-25T20:53Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-28T14:04Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"4.92\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"60.27\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (STEREO A, Lucy, Mars, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-06-25T20:53:51Z\\n## Message ID: 20240625-AL-001\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-06-25T05:00Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~556 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 38 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 39/3 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-06-25T05:00:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect STEREO A, Lucy (glancing blow), and Mars (glancing blow).  The leading edge or flank of the CME will reach STEREO A at 2024-06-28T03:43Z, Lucy at 2024-06-30T14:00Z, and Mars at 2024-06-29T00:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-06-28T14:04Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 3-5 (below minor to minor).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-06-25T05:00:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240625_131200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-25T23:11Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-28T21:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"11.85\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"57.97\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: \\nRadial velocity (km/s): \\nLongitude (deg): \\nLatitude (deg): \\nHalf-angular width (deg): \\n\\nNotes: \\nSpace weather advisor:\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-26T03:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-28T01:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-7.23\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"54.15\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-06-25 13:12\\nâ- Time at C2: 2024-06-25 05:00\\nâ- Radial speed: 556.0 km/s\\nâ- Half angle: 38 deg\\nâ- Eruption location: N03W39\\nâInferences:\\nââ - No flare association was found\\nâPredictions for Earth:\\nââ - In-situ shock speed: 572.80 km/s\\nââ - Shock arrival time: 2024-06-28 01:55 (i.e. predicted transit time: 68.92 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-26T10:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-28T21:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.67,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.67,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"11.85\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"47.15\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nSWPC ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.9e\\nResolution: medium\\nAmbient settings: a8b1\\nEjecta settings: d4t1x1\\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: mrbqs\\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary:\\nRadial velocity (km/s):\\nLongitude (deg):\\nLatitude (deg):\\nHalf-angular width (deg):\\n\\nNotes:\\nProduct: Forecast Discussion\\nIssued: 2024 Jun 27 0030 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\nSolar Activity\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\nSolar activity decayed to low levels this period. Region 3723 (S19E30,\\nFai/beta-gamma-delta) the biggest region on the disk, produced the\\nlargest event, a long-duration C6.2/Sf at 26/1530 UTC. Slight decay was\\nobserved in the leading and trailing spots of this region. At 26/0012\\nUTC, Region 3727 (S18E46, Cso/beta) produced a C4.2 flare. A slight\\nincrease in spot count was observed in this region. New Region 3729\\n(S03E65, Dso/beta) rotated around the E limb and was numbered.\\n\\nModeling of the CME, that was associated with the 35 degree filament\\neruption centered near S19W58 that was observed lifting off at 24/2310\\nUTC, returned with flanking influences at Earth by late on 28 Jun.\\n\\nProduct: 3-Day Forecast\\nIssued: 2024 Jun 27 1230 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nA. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast\\n\\nThe greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA\\nScale levels).\\nThe greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 27-Jun 29 2024 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale\\nG1).\\n\\nNOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 27-Jun 29 2024\\n\\n             Jun 27       Jun 28       Jun 29\\n00-03UT       2.00         2.00         4.67 (G1)\\n03-06UT       1.67         2.00         4.00     \\n06-09UT       1.33         1.33         2.67     \\n09-12UT       1.67         1.33         2.67     \\n12-15UT       2.67         1.33         2.00     \\n15-18UT       2.33         1.67         2.00     \\n18-21UT       2.00         3.33         1.67     \\n21-00UT       2.33         4.67 (G1)    2.67     \\n\\nRationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely on 28-29 Jun due to\\nCME arrivals from the event that left the Sun on 24 Jun.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-26T13:48Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-28T23:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 30.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"14.35\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"43.35\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Issued: 2024 Jun 26 1231 UTC\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #\\n# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\nSIDC URSIGRAM 40626\\nSIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 26 Jun 2024, 1230UT\\nSIDC FORECAST\\n....\\nCoronal mass ejections: A partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed in LASCO/C2 coronagraph data starting at 05:24 UTC on June 25th.\\nThe CME is directed primarily to the west from the Earth's perspective and is associated with a large filament eruption that took place in the southwestern quadrant around 02:00 UTC on June 25th. While the bulk of the ejecta is expected to miss Earth, glancing blow arrival could be possible from late on June 28.\\nTwo small filament eruptions were observed on June 25. The first eruption was detected at 11:37 UTC in SDO/AIA 304 data from the southeast quadrant.\\nThe second eruption occurred at 22:18 UTC near the disc center. Associated CMEs can be seen in SOHO/LASCO-C2 data from 13:25 UTC on June 25 and 00:00 UTC on June 26. Analysis of the CMEs is ongoing, but due to their origin locations, these CMEs may have an Earth-directed component.\\nNo other Earth-directed CMEs have been detected in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-26T22:22Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-28T18:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"8.85\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"34.78\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nBoM ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nGrid: 256x30x90\\nResolution: low\\nAmbient settings: \\nEjecta settings: \\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: \\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary:\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 483\\nLongitude (deg): W37\\nLatitude (deg): N07\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 42\\n\\nNotes:\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-27T01:45Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-29T02:31Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.07,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 13.78,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 50.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"17.37\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"31.40\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/06/25 08:00Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 18:00Z; 31.5Rsun; WSE Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 02:00Z; 31.5Rsun; ENE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 8:00\\nPOS Midpoint: 22:00Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 14:00\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 3\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~6.47\\nTravel Time: ~6.47 * 14:00 = 90:31\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-06-29T02:31Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\nMethod Update: https://www.desmos.com/calculator/nfk166mjdh\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/06/27 01:40Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-27T15:13Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-28T13:06Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"3.95\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"17.93\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  556.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      612.528\\nAcceleration:     -0.627436\\n% Compiled module: CALDAT.\\nDuration in seconds:        288379.19\\nDuration in days:        3.3377221\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -0.63 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  431.6 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 28/06/2024 Time: 13:06 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-27T15:14Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-28T06:08Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-3.02\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"17.92\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  556.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      347.508\\nAcceleration:       1.70390\\nDuration in seconds:        263285.96\\nDuration in days:        3.0472912\\nt2 is negative\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:   1.70 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  796.1 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 28/06/2024 Time: 06:08 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-28T17:06Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-28T16:08Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 46.6667,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.945,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.945,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"6.98\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"-7.95\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-06-08T01:53:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-06-08T01:53Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-10T16:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Large halo CME visible in STEREO A COR2 and SOHO LASCO C2 and C3 imagery. The source appears to be two back-to-back M-class flares from AR13697 with associated dimming signature to the north as well as nice filament ejecta to the west and north. Post-eruptive arcades are beginning to show in SDO/AIA 193. There is a large EUV wave associated with this event, as best seen in SDO/AIA 211.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-08T04:43Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-10T14:31Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.08\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"59.88\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Lucy, Parker Solar Probe, STEREO A, Mars, OSIRIS-APEX, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-06-08T04:43:24Z\\n## Message ID: 20240608-AL-010\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nO-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-06-08T01:53Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~1126 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 45 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 43/-10 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-06-08T01:53:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Lucy, Parker Solar Probe, STEREO A, Mars (glancing blow), and OSIRIS-APEX (glancing blow).  The leading edge or flank of the CME will reach Lucy at 2024-06-12T20:49Z, Parker Solar Probe at 2024-06-09T06:57Z, STEREO A at 2024-06-10T04:16Z, Mars at 2024-06-11T16:30Z, and OSIRIS-APEX at 2024-06-10T20:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-06-10T14:31Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 4-6 (below minor to moderate).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-06-08T01:53:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThis CME event (2024-06-08T01:53:00-CME-001) is associated with the M3.3 flare from AR13697 (S20W68) with ID 2024-06-08T00:39:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-06-08T00:51Z and the M9.7 flare from AR13697 (S17W68) with ID 2024-06-08T01:23:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-06-08T01:49Z (see notifications 20240608-AL-001, 20240608-AL-002), SEP at GOES-P with ID 2024-06-08T02:25:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20240608-AL-003, 20240608-AL-004, 20240608-AL-005, 20240608-AL-006), SEP at SOHO with ID 2024-06-08T03:34:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20240608-AL-007), and SEP at STEREO A with ID 2024-06-08T04:14:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20240608-AL-008, 20240608-AL-009).\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-08T05:50Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-10T19:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"2.40\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"58.77\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nBoM ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nGrid: 256x30x90\\nResolution: low\\nAmbient settings: \\nEjecta settings: \\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: \\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 05:04\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 1098\\nLongitude (deg): 51\\nLatitude (deg): 16\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 49\\n\\nNotes:\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-08T05:58Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-10T06:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.67,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-10.60\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"58.63\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nSWPC ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.9e\\nResolution: medium\\nAmbient settings: a8b1\\nEjecta settings: d4t1x1\\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: mrbqs\\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary:\\nRadial velocity (km/s):\\nLongitude (deg):\\nLatitude (deg):\\nHalf-angular width (deg):\\n\\nNotes:\\n----------------\\nProduct: Forecast Discussion\\nIssued: 2024 Jun 08 1230 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nSolar Activity\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\nSolar activity reached high levels due to numerous M-class flare\\nactivity. Region 3697 (S17W65, Ekc/beta-gamma-delta) produced the\\nlargest event of the period in the form of a long-duration M9.7/1f flare\\nat 08/0149 UTC. Associated with this event was filament ejecta to the\\nnorth and west, a 894 km/s Type II sweep, a Type IV sweep and a 460 sfu\\nTenflare...\\n...An asymmetric-halo CME was first observed in LASCO C2 imagery at 08/0148\\nUTC. A majority of the initial shock was viewed in the western quadrant\\nand was related to the M9.7 flare mentioned above. Subsequent analysis\\nand model output suggests an Earth impact midday on 10 June.\\n\\nSolar Wind\\n\\n.Forecast...\\nEnhanced conditions are expected on 08-09 Jun due to the continued\\ntransient influence and the arrival of a positive polarity CH HSS on\\n08-10 Jun. By midday or so on 10 Jun, CME effects from the 08 Jun CME\\nare likely to impact conditions on Earth.\\n\\nGeospace\\n\\n.Forecast...\\nUnsettled to active levels are expected on 08 Jun with continued\\ntransient influence and arrival of a positive polarity CH HSS. Quiet to\\nunsettled levels are likely on 09 Jun with continued weak CH HSS\\ninfluence. Active to major storm (G2/Moderate) levels are expected on 10\\nJun due to CME effects from the 08 June M9.7 event.\\n\\n----------------\\nProduct: 3-Day Forecast\\nIssued: 2024 Jun 08 1230 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nA. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast\\n\\nThe greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale\\nG2).\\nThe greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 08-Jun 10 2024 is 6.00 (NOAA Scale\\nG2).\\n\\nNOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 08-Jun 10 2024\\n\\n             Jun 08       Jun 09       Jun 10\\n00-03UT       4.33         3.00         1.67     \\n03-06UT       3.33         3.33         1.33     \\n06-09UT       3.00         2.33         2.33     \\n09-12UT       2.67         2.00         3.33     \\n12-15UT       3.67         2.33         4.67 (G1)\\n15-18UT       2.67         2.00         6.00 (G2)\\n18-21UT       2.67         2.00         6.00 (G2)\\n21-00UT       2.67         2.00         5.00 (G1)\\n\\nRationale: G2 (Moderate) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected on\\nJun 10 due to CME effects.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-08T06:49Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-10T09:44Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 4.84,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 5.53,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-6.87\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"57.78\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/06/08 01:47Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 04:42Z; 23Rsun; WSW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 07:48Z; 23Rsun; ENE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 3:06\\nPOS Midpoint: 06:15Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 4:28\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 0\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~12.53\\nTravel Time: ~12.53 * 4:28 = 55:57\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-06-10T09:44Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 3/5\\n*** An forecast update might be needed once coronagraph imagery fills in\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/06/08 06:47Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-08T11:46Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-10T06:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 70.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-10.60\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"52.83\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-06-08T04:39Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 1154\\nLongitude (deg): 032W\\nLatitude (deg): 3S\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 48\\n\\nNotes: Average of three forecasters' fits, all with reasonable agreement. Possibly double lobed event, with both shocks intersecting Sun-Earth line. MOSWOC Enlil background wind an presence/treatment of CH42/+ generally felt to be good, hence suggested arrival of 10/0600UTC accepted, and error bars probably confining arrival to within UTC morning. Main uncertainty is level of impact from what appear to be shocks, although event itself was sizeable. G2 felt to  be best estimate.\\nSpace weather advisor: Michael Lawrence, also KW, TG.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-08T13:39Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-10T12:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 50.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-4.60\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"50.95\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #\\n# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\nSIDC URSIGRAM 40608\\nSIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 08 Jun 2024, 1237UT\\nSIDC FORECAST\\nSOLAR FLARES  : M-class flares expected (probability >=50%) \\nGEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) \\nSOLAR PROTONS : Proton event in progress (>10 MeV) \\nPREDICTIONS FOR 08 Jun 2024  10CM FLUX: 190 / AP: 013 \\nPREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jun 2024  10CM FLUX: 188 / AP: 007 \\nPREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jun 2024  10CM FLUX: 188 / AP: 045\\n\\nCoronal mass ejections: A halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) first appeared in the SOHO/LASCO-C2 field of view at June 08 01:48 UTC.  The plane-of-the- sky speed of the CME was around 1000 km/s.\\nThe CME was associated with the M9.7 flare peaking 01:49 UTC on June 08, from NOAA AR 3697 (S18W53) near the west limb.\\nAnalysis of this CME is ongoing but a glancing blow is possible in the beginning of June 10.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-08T13:53Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-10T14:35Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.02\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"50.72\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/31363/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-06-08T01:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=44.0, Lat.=-10.0, Speed=1106.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-06-08T04:59Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-06-10T14:35Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =34.6 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.0\\n(kp)90=4\\n(kp)180=5\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-06-12T20:15Z\\nParker Solar Probe with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-06-09T07:38Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-06-10T04:45Z\\nMars with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-06-11T17:00Z\\nOSIRIS-APEX with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-06-10T21:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240608_045900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-08T14:41Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-09T23:09Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-17.45\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"49.92\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1126.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      1197.92\\nAcceleration:      -3.38280\\n% Compiled module: CALDAT.\\nDuration in seconds:        163019.71\\nDuration in days:        1.8868022\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -3.38 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  646.5 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 09/06/2024 Time: 23:09 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-08T14:43Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-10T15:54Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-0.70\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"49.88\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1126.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      657.018\\nAcceleration:      0.146224\\nDuration in seconds:        223266.42\\nDuration in days:        2.5841020\\nt2 is negative\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:   0.15 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  689.7 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 10/06/2024 Time: 15:54 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-09T05:15Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-09T22:21Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-18.25\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"35.35\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-06-08 03:59\\nâ- Time at C2: 2024-06-08 01:53\\nâ- Radial speed: 1528.0 km/s\\nâ- Half angle: 45 deg\\nâ- Eruption location: S03W24\\nâInferences:\\nââ - No flare association was found\\nâPredictions for Earth:\\nââ - In-situ shock speed: 864.40 km/s\\nââ - Shock arrival time: 2024-06-09 22:21 (i.e. predicted transit time: 44.47 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-06-10T17:18Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-06-10T09:31Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.38143,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.28571,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-7.08\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"-0.70\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-23T07:12:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-23T07:12Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-26T14:35Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"This CME is visible to the SE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source is likely a small filament eruption centered near S12E03 which begins to lift-off around 2024-05-23T06:45Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. This eruption appears to deflect towards the southeast as it leaves the solar disk/initial source location. Post eruptive arcades begin to from in SDO AIA 171 and 193 imagery around 07:20Z. This event partially overlaps with CME: 2024-05-23T06:48Z. Possible arrival signature: Characterized by a minor amplification of magnetic field components with Btotal increasing from 3nT at 2024-05-26T14:35Z to 8nT at 20:13Z. There are a few minor increases in solar wind speed prior to the amplification magnetic field components, most notably an increase from ~350 km/s at 11:08Z to ~450 km/s at 13:05Z. There are no significant increases in temperature or density observed, beyond an increase in density to 8 N/cm^3 at 2024-05-27T03:31Z. An alternative arrival signature could be the one starting at 2024-05-27T02:42Z when it looks like the ICME crossed the spacecraft, with a slight descending profile in the plasma and magnetic field indicating a glancing blow and the possible start of the magnetic cloud around 06:12Z (according to Carlos Perez Alanis, LASSOS team).\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-23T17:57Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-27T03:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"12.42\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"68.63\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CMEs (Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-05-23T17:57:29Z\\n## Message ID: 20240523-AL-001\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nMultiple CMEs have been detected as follows:\\n1: S-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-05-23T01:25Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~469 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 29 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -39/-35 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-05-23T01:25:00-CME-001\\n\\n2: C-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-05-23T06:48Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~649 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 13 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -8/-37 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-05-23T06:48:00-CME-001\\n\\n3: S-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-05-23T07:12Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~274 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 25 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -18/-24 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-05-23T07:12:00-CME-001\\n\\n \\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CMEs may have a glancing blow at NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the flank of the CMEs may reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-05-27T03:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 2-4 (below minor).\\n   \\n\\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CMEs: 2024-05-23T01:25:00-CME-001, 2024-05-23T06:48:00-CME-001, and 2024-05-23T07:12:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240523_093100_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240523_093100_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240523_093100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-24T12:25Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-27T00:01Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 30.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"9.43\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"50.17\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-05-23T15:53Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 320\\nLongitude (deg): 025E\\nLatitude (deg): 12S\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 25 \\n\\nNotes: Averaged fit for SE centre-disc disappearing filament, visible on e.g. Learmonth H-Alpha around 23/0630UTC, perhaps narrowly preceeded by a second event to its southeast 23/0600UTC. Modelled as an off-ecliptic southward lobe in the latter case, but in this (former) case as an on-ecliptic slightly eastward emission. Low confidence due to poorly-defined ejecta to fit to, but also questionable MOSWOC Enlil background wind field evolution (CH39/- onset or presence). Result is a slight glance, hence long error bars when all else considered.\\nSpace weather advisor: Michael Lawrence\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-29T16:10Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-27T01:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 30.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"10.92\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"-73.58\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-20T20:12:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-20T20:12Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-23T12:53Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Faint CME to the east. Its source could be a slow eruption in AR 3688 starting at 2024-05-20T18:36Z, with the dimming that somewhat enlarges the SE CH located to the south of this Active Region. The dimming is centered approximately at (S20-25E35). Possible arrival signature looks like a flank of a flux-rope, with slight rotations in the B-components. Note that the compression zone between the preceding ICME and this one may start as early as 2024-05-22T21:17Z (when the temperature and density begin to increase slightly).\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-21T18:22Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-23T23:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"10.12\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"42.52\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/31062/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-20T20:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-38.0, Lat.=-6.0, Speed=836.0, HalfAngle=17.0, Time21.5=2024-05-20T23:41Z\\n2024-05-20T21:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-33.0, Lat.=-18.0, Speed=654.0, HalfAngle=14.0, Time21.5=2024-05-21T01:48Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-23T23:00Z (+- 7 hours)\\n(kp)90=2\\n(kp)180=4\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240520_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-21T19:09Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-23T23:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"10.12\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"41.73\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-19T19:09:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-19T19:09Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-22T05:40Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Narrow CME visible to the east in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The potential source is the M2.5 flare starting at 2024-05-19T17:47Z from AR 3685 (S10E33). An eruption can be best seen in SDO AIA 304 following the flare. It is also visible in SDO AIA 193 and STEREO A EUV 195. Possible arrival signature is characterized by a drop in temperature and rotation of two magnetic field components; at 05:55Z there is the beginning of a drop in temperature.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-20T18:17Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-22T23:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"17.33\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"35.38\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CMEs (Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-05-20T18:17:12Z\\n## Message ID: 20240520-AL-002\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nMultiple CMEs have been detected as follows:\\n1: C-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-05-19T14:23Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~524 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 14 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -35/-6 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-05-19T14:23:00-CME-001\\n\\n2: C-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-05-19T19:09Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~584 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 15 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -32/-5 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-05-19T19:09:00-CME-001\\n\\n \\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CMEs may have a glancing blow at NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the combined flank of the CMEs will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-05-22T23:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 2-4 (below minor).\\n   \\n\\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CMEs: 2024-05-19T14:23:00-CME-001 and 2024-05-19T19:09:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240519_204000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240519_204000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240519_204000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240519_204000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThe CME event with ID 2024-05-19T14:23:00-CME-001 is associated with M1.9 flare with ID 2024-05-19T13:37:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 13685 (S10E35) which peaked at 2024-05-19T13:44Z.\\n\\nThe CME event with ID 2024-05-19T19:09:00-CME-001 is associated with M2.5 flare with ID 2024-05-19T17:47:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 13685 (S10E33) which peaked at 2024-05-19T17:56Z.\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-20T18:20Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-22T23:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"17.33\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"35.33\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-19T14:23:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-19T14:23Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-22T05:40Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Thin, faint CME seen to the east in all coronagraphs. The source is not too clear, but may be associated with an M1.9 flare from AR 3685 that peaked at 2024-05-19T13:44Z, best observed in SDO AIA 131. Some weak field line movement is observed at this time of the flare in SDO AIA 171/193, and dark filamentary material is seen rising along field lines after the flare occurs and correlates to the start time of the CME in coronagraph imagery. Possible arrival signature is characterized by a drop in temperature and rotation of two magnetic field components; at 05:55Z there is the beginning of a drop in temperature.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-20T18:17Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-22T23:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"17.33\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"35.38\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CMEs (Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-05-20T18:17:12Z\\n## Message ID: 20240520-AL-002\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nMultiple CMEs have been detected as follows:\\n1: C-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-05-19T14:23Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~524 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 14 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -35/-6 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-05-19T14:23:00-CME-001\\n\\n2: C-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-05-19T19:09Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~584 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 15 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -32/-5 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-05-19T19:09:00-CME-001\\n\\n \\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CMEs may have a glancing blow at NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the combined flank of the CMEs will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-05-22T23:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 2-4 (below minor).\\n   \\n\\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CMEs: 2024-05-19T14:23:00-CME-001 and 2024-05-19T19:09:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240519_204000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240519_204000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240519_204000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240519_204000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThe CME event with ID 2024-05-19T14:23:00-CME-001 is associated with M1.9 flare with ID 2024-05-19T13:37:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 13685 (S10E35) which peaked at 2024-05-19T13:44Z.\\n\\nThe CME event with ID 2024-05-19T19:09:00-CME-001 is associated with M2.5 flare with ID 2024-05-19T17:47:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 13685 (S10E33) which peaked at 2024-05-19T17:56Z.\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-20T18:20Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-22T23:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"17.33\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"35.33\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-17T21:05:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-17T21:05Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-20T06:16Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"CME associated with M7.2 flare of AR3685. There is a very brief possible flux rope signature starting around 2024-05-20T06Z with separation of magnetic field components, drop in density and temperature and mild increase of magnetic field to 8nT.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-18T10:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-20T20:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 10.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 10.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"13.73\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"43.77\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-05-18T00:39Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 950\\nLongitude (deg): 50E\\nLatitude (deg): 28S\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 43\\n\\nNotes: Seemingly double structured CME, with bulk ejecta to the east. Reanalysed parameters for fit. \\nSpace weather advisor: CL\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-18T18:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-20T12:54Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 5.63,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.45,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"6.63\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"36.27\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/05/17 21:22Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 02:00Z; 31.5Rsun; SE Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 07:20Z; 31.5Rsun; NW Direction\\nPOS Difference: 5:20\\nPOS Midpoint: 04:40Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 7:18\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 0\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~8.7\\nTravel Time: ~8.7 * 7:18 = 63:32\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-20T12:54Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/18 17:58Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-19T12:23Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-20T16:27Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"10.18\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"17.88\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-15T08:36:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-15T08:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-17T12:40Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Bright CME seen due West in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. Source is EUV wave seen beyond the SW limb starting at 2024-05-15T08:18Z in SDO AIA 171/193. Widely opening field lines with northern deflection seen on or just beyond the SW limb at an apparent latitude of S15 (before deflection). This CME overlaps heavily with CME: 2024-05-15T08:48Z. Possible arrival signature is characterized by an initial Bt increase from 6nT->14nT, eventually increasing to almost 17nT at 2024-05-17T14:04Z. There is a jump in solar wind speed from 400 to 490 km/s and an increase in ion density. Bz stays negative for almost one day. Around 21Z there is a drop in density, followed by a drop in ion density, possibly indicating a flux rope. However, this arrival signature could also be from 2024-05-14T10:09Z CME.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-16T13:06Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-17T18:35Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"5.92\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"23.57\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #\\n# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\nSIDC URSIGRAM 40516\\nSIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 16 May 2024, 1258UT\\nSIDC FORECAST\\n\\nCoronal mass ejections: A Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) seen in SOHO/LASCO images as launched at 15 May 08:27 UTC is believed to be two separate CME originating from NOAA Active Regions (AR) 3670 and 3664. The first one is expected to arrive at Earth's environment on the second half on 17 May. The second is expected to deliver at most a glancing blow earlier the same day.\\nA CME that registered in SOHO/LASCO images as emitted at 14 May 18:36 UTC is associated with the X8.7 flare of 14 May and is expected to deliver a glancing blow during the second half of 17 May. Due to the expected arrival of the CME of 15 May at approximately the same time, this glancing blow might not be apparent.\\n~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~\\n[Added Note from M2M Analyst Hannah Hermann: After careful comparison between SIDC notifications and the CMEs populated in DONKI (by M2M), I believe \\\"the first one\\\" which is \\\"originating from Active Region 3670\\\" corresponds to CME:2024-05-15T08:36Z in DONKI. Additionally, I believe \\\"the second\\\" CME \\\"originating from Active Region 3664\\\" corresponds to CME:2024-05-15T08:48Z in DONKI. Finally, I believe the CME \\\"emitted at 14 May 18:36 UTC associated with the X8.7 flare\\\" corresponds to CME:2024-05-14T17:30Z in DONKI.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-17T19:40Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-17T18:35Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"5.92\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"-7.00\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-14T10:09:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-14T10:09Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-17T12:40Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Wide CME seen to the NE in all coronagraphs (STEREO A gets first visible frame). Source is an unnumbered region of the solar disk, centered around N23E35. Starting around 2024-05-14T09:07Z, field line movement is observed in SDO AIA 171/193/211 alongside a diagonal region of light dimming spanning approximately N40E60 -> N15E30 across that center point. A distinct post-eruptive arcade forms around 2024-05-14T10:47Z across SDO AIA 131/171/193/211. Potential arrival signature is characterized by an initial Bt increase from 6nT->14nT, eventually increasing to almost 17nT at 2024-05-17T14:04Z. There is a jump in solar wind speed from 400 to 490 km/s and an increase in ion density. Bz stays negative for almost one day. Around 21Z there is a drop in density, followed by a drop in ion density, possibly indicating a flux rope. However, this arrival signature could also be from 2024-05-15T08:36Z CME.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-14T18:45Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-17T23:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"10.33\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"65.92\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30858/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-14T10:09:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-34.0, Lat.=41.0, Speed=744.0, HalfAngle=34.0, Time21.5=2024-05-14T14:54Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-17T23:00Z (+- 7 hours)\\n(kp)90=2\\n(kp)180=3\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240514_145400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-14T22:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-18T00:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"11.83\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"61.75\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-14T22:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-18T02:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 8.83,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 11.55,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"13.33\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"61.75\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/05/14 10:08Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 17:00Z; 31.5Rsun; NNE Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 23:40Z; 31.5Rsun; SSW Direction\\nPOS Difference: 6:40\\nPOS Midpoint: 20:20Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 10:12\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 0\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~8.61\\nTravel Time: ~8.61 * 10:12 = 87:52\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-18T02:00Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/14 22:53Z\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-13T09:12:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-13T09:12Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-15T18:13Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Full asymmetric halo CME seen to the SW in all three coronagraphs. Source is a large eruption and several M-class flares from Active Region 13664, including a long-duration M4.9 flare associated with the post-eruptive arcades. Widely opening field lines and a rising loop of ejecta seen starting at 2024-05-13T08:10Z in SDO AIA 193/171. Ejecta and post-eruptive brightening and arcades seen at 08:43Z in SDO AIA 131/304. Post eruptive arcades seen at 11:15Z in SDO AIA 171/193/304. Possible arrival signature is  characterized by a small but distinct shock: Bt increasing from around 4nT->7.5nT, with a minimal but noticeable bump in temperature, density, and speed. It is possibly the arrival  of the shock front of this CME.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-15T01:20Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-15T11:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-6.72\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"16.88\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/05/13 09:25Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 12:10Z; 31.5Rsun; SW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 18:20Z; 31.5Rsun; NE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 6:10\\nPOS Midpoint: 15:15Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 5:50\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 0\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~8.59\\nTravel Time: ~8.59 * 5:50 = 50:05\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-15 11:30Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-20T18:27Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-15T11:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-6.72\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"-120.23\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-10T07:12:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-10T07:12Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-12T08:55Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"[IN REVIEW] Full asymmetric halo CME seen to the SW in all three coronagraphs. Source is a large eruption and several M-class flares from Active Region 13664, including a long-duration M4.9 flare associated with the post-eruptive arcades. Widely opening field lines and a rising loop of ejecta seen starting at 2024-05-13T08:10Z in SDO AIA 193/171. Ejecta and post-eruptive brightening and arcades seen at 08:43Z in SDO AIA 131/304. Post eruptive arcades at 11:15Z in SDO AIA 171/193/304. Possible arrival signature (in review) characterized by Btotal increasing from 5nT 2024-05-11T08:55Z to 12nT at 08:58Z, an increase in solar wind speed from ~820 km/s at 08:55Z to 925 km/s, with an increase in temperature as well.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T13:38Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-12T14:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"5.08\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"43.28\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Lucy, STEREO A, Parker Solar Probe, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-05-10T13:38:36Z\\n## Message ID: 20240510-AL-003\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nO-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-05-10T07:12Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~1018 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 41 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 31/-2 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-05-10T07:12:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Lucy, STEREO A, and Parker Solar Probe (glancing blow).  The leading edge or flank of the CME may reach Lucy at 2024-05-14T12:28Z, STEREO A at 2024-05-12T07:16Z, and Parker Solar Probe at 2024-05-12T02:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-05-12T14:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 5-7 (minor to strong).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-05-10T07:12:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240510_103500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240510_103500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240510_103500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240510_103500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240510_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240510_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240510_103500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThis CME event (2024-05-10T07:12:00-CME-001) is associated with X3.9 flare from Active Region 13664 (S18W37) with ID 2024-05-10T06:27:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-05-10T06:54Z (see notifications 20240510-AL-001 and 20240510-AL-002).\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T14:29Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-12T02:32Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 5.53,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 3.98,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-6.38\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"42.43\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/05/10 07:04Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 11:30Z; 31.5Rsun; WSW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 13:00Z; 31.5Rsun; ENE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 1:30\\nPOS Midpoint: 12:15Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 5:11\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~8.38\\nTravel Time: ~8.38 * 5:11 = 43:28\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-12T02:32Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 4/5\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/10 14:25Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T20:24Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-12T08:50Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-0.08\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"36.52\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1018.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      1087.00\\nAcceleration:      -2.80036\\nDuration in seconds:        178719.97\\nDuration in days:        2.0685182\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -2.80 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  586.5 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 12/05/2024 Time: 08:50 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T20:26Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-12T22:46Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"13.85\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"36.48\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1018.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      598.374\\nAcceleration:      0.480360\\nDuration in seconds:        228891.46\\nDuration in days:        2.6492067\\nt2 is negative\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:   0.48 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  708.3 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 12/05/2024 Time: 22:46 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-11T02:16Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-12T10:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"1.08\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"30.65\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"predicted CME shock arrival timeï¼ 2024-05-12T10:00Z\\nConfidence that the CME will arriveï¼ 80%\\nMax Kp Rangeï¼ 5-7\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-11T03:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-12T03:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-5.92\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"29.42\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-05-10T09:50\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 1170\\nLongitude (deg): 25W\\nLatitude (deg): 10S\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 33\\n\\nNotes: CME is likely to 'sweep up' preceding CME from X1.1 flare at 09/1743UTC.\\nSpace weather advisor: CL\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-11T07:10Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-12T10:11Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.33333,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.33333,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"1.27\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"25.75\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-09T18:23:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-09T18:23Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T20:30Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"[IN REVIEW] Partial halo CME seen in both coronagraphs and associated with an X1.1 flare from AR 3664 (S18W29) with a full halo faint shock and a slightly brighter fuzzy-fronted bulk to the west. The start time is possibly earlier that 2024-05-09T18:23Z bc of a SOHO data gap. Coronal signatures include a sizable ejecta from AR 3664 seen directed north-westwards at ~17:36ZZ in AIA 304, an elongated dimming extending northward and westward of the flare location and stretching as far as the two coronal holes north of the equator. A possible arrival signature is characterized by a weak rotation of magnetic field components, with Btotal reaching a maximum of 15nT. A subsequent increase in speed is observed from ~770 km/s to 1005 km/s at 2024-05-12T00:555Z and a sharp increase in temperature. Density appears to decrease preceding this arrival signature. Possibly this is a flank impact/glancing blow arrival. Due to the increase in solar wind speed a coronal hole high speed stream may also be embedded in this signature, originating from a coronal hole which reached the central meridian on 2024-05-03.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T23:35Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T07:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-12.58\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"44.92\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Lucy, STEREO A, Parker Solar Probe, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-05-09T23:35:58Z\\n## Message ID: 20240509-AL-011\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-05-09T18:23Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~895 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 44 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 30/-6 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-05-09T18:23:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Lucy, STEREO A, and Parker Solar Probe (glancing blow).  The leading edge or flank of the CME will reach Lucy at 2024-05-13T03:24Z, STEREO A at 2024-05-11T01:31Z, and Parker Solar Probe at 2024-05-10T21:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-05-11T07:55Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 5-7 (minor to strong).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-05-09T18:23:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_02:500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_02:500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_02:500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_02:500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_02:500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_02:500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_02:500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThis CME event (2024-05-09T18:23:00-CME-001) is associated with X1.1 flare from Active Region 3664 (S18W29) with ID 2024-05-09T17:23:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-05-09T17:44Z (see notifications 20240509-AL-007, 20240509-AL-008).\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T02:25Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T23:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"2.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"42.08\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"predicted CME shock arrival time: 2024-05-11T23:00Z\\nConfidence that the CME will arrive: 80%\\nKp Range: 5-7\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T02:58Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-12T02:28Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 5.02,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 3.98,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"5.97\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"41.53\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/05/09 18:00Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 00:00Z; 31.5Rsun; WSW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 02:20Z; 31.5Rsun; NEN Direction\\nPOS Difference: 2:20\\nPOS Midpoint: 01:10Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 7:10\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~7.88\\nTravel Time: ~7.88 * 7:10 = 56:28\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-12T02:28Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 4/5\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/10 02:54Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T06:10Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T20:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-0.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"38.33\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-05-10T22:19Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 888\\nLongitude (deg): 31W\\nLatitude (deg): 9S\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 45\\n\\nNotes: Fitted to main bulk ejecta rather than shock.\\nSpace weather advisor: CL\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T20:21Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-12T02:22Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"5.87\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"24.15\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  895.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      960.681\\nAcceleration:      -2.17140\\n% Compiled module: CALDAT.\\nDuration in seconds:        201561.28\\nDuration in days:        2.3328851\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -2.17 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  523.0 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 12/05/2024 Time: 02:22 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T20:22Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-12T12:12Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"15.70\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"24.13\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  895.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      531.585\\nAcceleration:      0.838696\\nDuration in seconds:        236982.67\\nDuration in days:        2.7428550\\nt2 is negative\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:   0.84 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  730.3 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 12/05/2024 Time: 12:12 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T20:23Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T23:19Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"2.82\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"24.12\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-09T09:24:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-09T09:24Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T09:30Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"[IN REVIEW] Halo CME visible in SOHO LASCO C2, C3, and STEREO A COR2 imagery. This halo is associated with the X2.2 class flare from AR13664 peaking at 2024-05-09T09:13Z. A clear EUV wave is visible in SDO/AIA 193 and 211 crossing towards the central meridian and towards the limb in the southwest. Post-eruptive arcades are present in SDO/AIA 193 and 131. Brightening is visible in SDO/AIA 304. Possible arrival signature is characterized by an initial sheath/compression of magnetic field components with Btotal reaching a maximum of 28nT. A subsequent increase in solar wind speed was observed from 643 km/s at 09:32Z to 900 km/s at 11:25Z. An increase in density was observed from ~2 N/cm^3 at 09:01Z to ~26 N/cm^3 at 09:22Z, with temperature exhibiting a sharp increase starting around 09:50Z. Due to the high solar wind speed observed with this arrival, it is possible this signature is associated with the arrival of CME: 2024-05-08T22:24Z and/or CME: 2024-05-09T09:24Z.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T15:18Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T18:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"8.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"42.20\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This simulation from SWPC contained multiple CMEs, and this predicted arrival time is based on visual inspection of the SWPC ENLIL animation. The CMEs suspected to be contained in this animation run are as follows (listed are the Activity IDs in DONKI): 2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001, 2024-05-08T12:24:00-CME-001, 2024-05-08T22:24:00-CME-001, and 2024-05-09T09:24:00-CME-001. \\n\\n\\nPlease enter the following information for your prediction:\\nSWPC ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.9e\\nResolution: medium\\nAmbient settings: a8b1\\nEjecta settings: d4t1x1\\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: mrbqs\\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary:\\nRadial velocity (km/s):\\nLongitude (deg):\\nLatitude (deg):\\nHalf-angular width (deg):\\n\\nNotes:\\nProduct: Forecast Discussion\\nIssued: 2024 May 10 0030 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nSolar Activity\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\nSolar activity was at high levels with background flux at or near M1.0.\\nRegion 3664 (S19W34, Fkc/beta-gamma-delta) continued to exhibit growth\\nand produced two R3 (Strong) and eight R1 (Minor) events. The largest\\nevents, an X2.2 flare 09/0913 UTC and an X1.1 at 09/1744 UTC, were\\naccompanied by Type-II and IV radio sweeps, and complex radio burst\\nsignatures were observed across discrete frequencies. A halo CME\\nassociated with the X2.2 flare at 09/0913 UTC from Region 3664 is\\nEarth-directed with arrival likely on 11 May. Another halo CME,\\nassociated with the X1.1 flare at 09/1744 UTC, is undergoing modeling as\\nof the time of this writing.\\n\\nAt present, four halo CMEs (associated with flare activity from Region\\n3664 over 08-09 May) and a CME associated with a filament eruption (from\\n08 May) are expected to arrive beginning late on 10 May with the bulk of\\ngeomagnetic impacts predicted on 11 May. The aforementioned CME\\nassociated with the X1.1 flare at 09/1744 UTC will most likely add to\\nthe total count, but remains in analysis as of now.\\n\\n...\\n\\nGeospace\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\nThe geomagnetic field was quiet.\\n\\n.Forecast...\\nPeriods of active conditions and G1 (Minor) storming are likely on 10\\nMay with the possible early arrival of a series of CMEs (from 08-09\\nMay). The bulk of the incoming CME(s) is expected to arrive early on 11\\nMay with periods of G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storming\\nexpected, and periods of G3-G4 (Strong-Severe) storms likely. Periods of\\nG1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) storms are likely on 12 May due to an enhanced\\nsolar wind environment following the passage of the 08-09 May CMEs.\\n\\n.....\\nProduct: 3-Day Forecast\\nIssued: 2024 May 10 0030 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nA. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast\\n\\nThe greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA\\nScale levels).\\nThe greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 10-May 12 2024 is 8.33 (NOAA Scale\\nG4).\\n\\nNOAA Kp index breakdown May 10-May 12 2024\\n\\n             May 10       May 11       May 12\\n00-03UT       3.33         5.33 (G1)    4.67 (G1)\\n03-06UT       3.67         7.00 (G3)    5.67 (G2)\\n06-09UT       3.67         8.33 (G4)    4.67 (G1)\\n09-12UT       3.00         6.67 (G3)    4.00     \\n12-15UT       2.67         5.67 (G2)    3.67     \\n15-18UT       3.67         5.00 (G1)    2.67     \\n18-21UT       4.33         4.67 (G1)    2.67     \\n21-00UT       5.33 (G1)    4.33         3.67     \\n\\nRationale: G1-2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storming is likely on 10-12\\nMay due to multiple CMEs from AR 3634 spanning 08-09 May. G3 (Strong) to\\nG4 (Severe or greater) geomagnetic storming is likely on 11 May as the\\nbulk of the activity is expected to arrive during the early hours of the\\nUTC day.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T17:04Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T05:02Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-4.47\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"40.43\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Lucy, STEREO A, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-05-09T17:04:16Z\\n## Message ID: 20240509-AL-006\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nO-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-05-09T09:24Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~1330 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 45 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 19/-6 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-05-09T09:24:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Lucy and STEREO A.  The leading edge of the CME will reach Lucy at 2024-05-12T21:29Z and STEREO A at 2024-05-11T01:10Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-05-11T05:02Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 6-8 (moderate to severe).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-05-09T09:24:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_115600_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_115600_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_115600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_115600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_115600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_115600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThis CME event (2024-05-09T09:24:00-CME-001) is associated with the X2.2 flare from AR13664 (S20W25) with ID 2024-05-09T08:45:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-05-09T09:13Z (see notifications 20240509-AL-001, 20240509-AL-002).\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T17:06Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T03:51Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 4.53,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 3.4,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-5.65\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"40.40\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/05/09 09:15Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 13:30Z; 31.5Rsun; SW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 15:40Z; 31.5Rsun; NE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 2:10\\nPOS Midpoint: 14:35Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 5:20\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~7.99\\nTravel Time: ~7.99 * 5:20 = 42:36\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-11T03:51Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 5/5\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/09 13:47Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T20:28Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T13:03Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-20.45\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"37.03\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30651/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=9.0, Lat.=-7.0, Speed=870.0, HalfAngle=43.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T09:30Z\\n2024-05-08T12:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=3.0, Lat.=-5.0, Speed=776.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T16:58Z\\n2024-05-08T19:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-23.0, Lat.=3.0, Speed=828.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T23:27Z\\n2024-05-08T22:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=12.0, Lat.=-16.0, Speed=1130.0, HalfAngle=40.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T01:43Z\\n2024-05-09T09:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=19.0, Lat.=-6.0, Speed=1330.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T11:56Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T13:03Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =22.4 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 4.1\\n(kp)90=8\\n(kp)180=9\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-12T04:05Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T07:53Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T20:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T20:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 100.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-13.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"37.00\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-05-09T11:30Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 1582\\nLongitude (deg): 12W\\nLatitude (deg): 10S\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 42\\n\\nNotes: CME sweeps up the preceding 3 Earth-directed CMEs from 08 May.\\nSpace weather advisor: CL\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T22:51Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T23:48Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-9.70\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"34.65\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\nApex direction (deg): 16.5\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio: 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 45\\n\\ninitial CME speed: 1445.5 (+/- 50) km/s\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_sun\\ninitial time: 2024-05-09T11:38Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.1e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km \\nambient solar wind speed: 400 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 50k\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T02:18Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T21:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-12.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"31.20\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"predicted CME shock arrival time: 2024-05-10T21:00Z\\nConfidence that the CME will arrive: 80%\\nKp Range: 5-8\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T15:18Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T23:16Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-10.23\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"18.20\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1330.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      1407.43\\nAcceleration:      -4.55998\\nDuration in seconds:        136349.55\\nDuration in days:        1.5781198\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -4.56 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  785.7 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 10/05/2024 Time: 23:16 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T15:23Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T19:45Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"10.25\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"18.12\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1330.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      767.790\\nAcceleration:     -0.534665\\nDuration in seconds:        210103.21\\nDuration in days:        2.4317501\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -0.53 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  655.5 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 11/05/2024 Time: 19:45 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T21:37Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T03:05Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 90.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.2,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-6.42\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"11.88\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-08T22:24:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-08T22:24Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T09:30Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"[IN REVIEW] Full halo CME with a bulk portion visible to the southwest in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2 imagery following a data gap in STEREO A COR2 lasting from 2024-05-08T19:53Z to 2024-05-09T01:53Z. The source is a large eruption and accompanying X1.0 and M9.8 flares from Active Region 13664 (S20W17) staring around 2024-05-08T21:08Z. Two rising loops are seen from Active Region 13664 (S20W17) staring around 2024-05-08T21:29Z and 22:08Z, respectively, as seen in SDO AIA 193/131, which likely resulted in two leading edges which very quickly combine in early frames of SOHO LASCO C2 imagery, and thus are considered one CME. A wide EUV wave and widely opening field lines are seen in SDO AIA 171/193. Possible arrival signature is characterized by an initial sheath/compression of magnetic field components with Btotal reaching a maximum of 28nT. A subsequent increase in solar wind speed was observed from 643 km/s at 09:32Z to 900 km/s at 11:25Z. An increase in density was observed from ~2 N/cm^3 at 09:01Z to ~26 N/cm^3 at 09:22Z, with temperature exhibiting a sharp increase starting around 09:50Z. Due to the high solar wind speed observed with this arrival, it is possible this signature is associated with the arrival of CME: 2024-05-08T22:24Z and/or CME: 2024-05-09T09:24Z.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T15:18Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T01:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-8.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"42.20\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This simulation from SWPC contained multiple CMEs, and this predicted arrival time is based on visual inspection of the SWPC ENLIL animation. The CMEs suspected to be contained in this animation run are as follows (listed are the Activity IDs in DONKI): 2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001, 2024-05-08T12:24:00-CME-001, 2024-05-08T22:24:00-CME-001, and 2024-05-09T09:24:00-CME-001. \\n\\nPlease enter the following information for your prediction:\\nSWPC ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.9e\\nResolution: medium\\nAmbient settings: a8b1\\nEjecta settings: d4t1x1\\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: mrbqs\\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary:\\nRadial velocity (km/s):\\nLongitude (deg):\\nLatitude (deg):\\nHalf-angular width (deg):\\n\\nNotes:\\nProduct: Forecast Discussion\\nIssued: 2024 May 10 0030 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nSolar Activity\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\nSolar activity was at high levels with background flux at or near M1.0.\\nRegion 3664 (S19W34, Fkc/beta-gamma-delta) continued to exhibit growth\\nand produced two R3 (Strong) and eight R1 (Minor) events. The largest\\nevents, an X2.2 flare 09/0913 UTC and an X1.1 at 09/1744 UTC, were\\naccompanied by Type-II and IV radio sweeps, and complex radio burst\\nsignatures were observed across discrete frequencies. A halo CME\\nassociated with the X2.2 flare at 09/0913 UTC from Region 3664 is\\nEarth-directed with arrival likely on 11 May. Another halo CME,\\nassociated with the X1.1 flare at 09/1744 UTC, is undergoing modeling as\\nof the time of this writing.\\n\\nAt present, four halo CMEs (associated with flare activity from Region\\n3664 over 08-09 May) and a CME associated with a filament eruption (from\\n08 May) are expected to arrive beginning late on 10 May with the bulk of\\ngeomagnetic impacts predicted on 11 May. The aforementioned CME\\nassociated with the X1.1 flare at 09/1744 UTC will most likely add to\\nthe total count, but remains in analysis as of now.\\n\\n...\\n\\nGeospace\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\nThe geomagnetic field was quiet.\\n\\n.Forecast...\\nPeriods of active conditions and G1 (Minor) storming are likely on 10\\nMay with the possible early arrival of a series of CMEs (from 08-09\\nMay). The bulk of the incoming CME(s) is expected to arrive early on 11\\nMay with periods of G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storming\\nexpected, and periods of G3-G4 (Strong-Severe) storms likely. Periods of\\nG1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) storms are likely on 12 May due to an enhanced\\nsolar wind environment following the passage of the 08-09 May CMEs.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T19:32Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T23:46Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-9.73\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"37.97\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30644/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-08T22:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=12.0, Lat.=-16.0, Speed=1130.0, HalfAngle=40.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T01:43Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T23:46Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =25.0 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.3\\n(kp)90=6\\n(kp)180=8\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-12T18:10Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T19:07Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240509_014300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T20:02Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T04:37Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 4.88,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 3.95,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 50.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-4.88\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"37.47\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/05/08 22:15Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 04:00Z; 31.5Rsun; SW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 06:30Z; 31.5Rsun; NE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 2:30\\nPOS Midpoint: 05:15Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 7:00\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~7.77\\nTravel Time: ~7.77 * 7:00 = 54:22\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-11T04:37Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 5/5\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/09 12:25Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T20:03Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T19:51Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 50.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-13.65\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"37.45\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/05/08 22:15Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 04:00Z; 31.5Rsun; SW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 06:30Z; 31.5Rsun; NE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 2:30\\nPOS Midpoint: 05:15Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 7:00\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 3\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~6.51\\nTravel Time: ~6.51 * 7:00 = 45:36\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-10T19:51Z\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 5/5\\n*** Estimated earliest time of arrival changing the Impact Type from 2 to 3\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/09 12:25Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T20:28Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T13:03Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-20.45\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"37.03\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30651/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=9.0, Lat.=-7.0, Speed=870.0, HalfAngle=43.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T09:30Z\\n2024-05-08T12:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=3.0, Lat.=-5.0, Speed=776.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T16:58Z\\n2024-05-08T19:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-23.0, Lat.=3.0, Speed=828.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T23:27Z\\n2024-05-08T22:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=12.0, Lat.=-16.0, Speed=1130.0, HalfAngle=40.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T01:43Z\\n2024-05-09T09:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=19.0, Lat.=-6.0, Speed=1330.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T11:56Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T13:03Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =22.4 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 4.1\\n(kp)90=8\\n(kp)180=9\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-12T04:05Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T07:53Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T22:47Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T18:07Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-15.38\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"34.72\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\nApex direction (deg): 8.5\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio: 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 42.5\\n\\ninitial CME speed: 1193.5 (+/- 50) km/s\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_sun\\ninitial time: 2024-05-09T01:17Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.1e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km \\nambient solar wind speed: 400 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 50k\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T02:12Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T21:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-12.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"31.30\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"predicted CME shock arrival time: 2024-05-10T21:00Z\\nConfidence that the CME will arrive: 80%\\nKp Range: 5-8\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T10:15Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T19:09Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-14.35\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"23.25\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1130.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      1202.03\\nAcceleration:      -3.40492\\n% Compiled module: CALDAT.\\nDuration in seconds:        161154.80\\nDuration in days:        1.8652176\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -3.40 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  653.3 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 10/05/2024 Time: 19:09 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T10:16Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T12:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"2.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"23.23\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1130.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      659.190\\nAcceleration:      0.133499\\nDuration in seconds:        221808.47\\nDuration in days:        2.5672277\\nt2 is negative\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:   0.13 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  688.8 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 11/05/2024 Time: 12:00 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-10T21:04Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T22:43Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.25,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-10.78\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"12.43\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-08T19:12:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-08T19:12Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T16:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"[IN REVIEW] This CME is visible to the northeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and in STEREO A COR2 for a few frames prior to and following a data gap lasting from 2024-05-08T19:53Z to 2024-05-09T01:53Z. The source is a filament eruption near Active Region 13667 (S26E22) starting around 2024-05-08T08:15Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. Filament material can be seen against the backdrop of the East limb as the material continues to leave the field of view in SDO AIA 304 around 19:35Z. A large dimming area is seen in SDO AIA 193 at this time, which appears to move southwest of the eruption site. Additionally, some post-eruptive arcades are seen in SDO AIA 171/193 starting around 20:00Z. This CME likely combined with several other CMEs from 05-07 to 05-09, with the combined front of the CMEs arriving at L1 at 2024-05-10T16:36Z. The possible arrival is characterized by a sharp increase in magnetic field components with Btotal increasing to 45nT at 16:44Z. A subsequent increase in solar wind speed is observed from 462 km/s at 16:36Z to 703 km/s at 16:48Z. Increases in density and temperature are also observed. A possible flux rope signature begins around 2024-05-10T21:38Z which corresponds to a second, more intense amplification of magnetic field components with Btotal reaching a maximum of 73nT. Within this possible flux rope feature, which extends to 2024-05-11T09:30Z, there are three noticeable decreases in density which may correspond to three CMEs that may have merged into the signature. Because of this, it is possible the signature is associated with the arrival of CME: 2024-05-08T05:36Z, CME: 2024-05-08T12:24Z, and/or CME: 2024-05-08T19:12Z. CME: 2024-05-07T03:12Z and CME: 2024-05-07T05:24Z measured slowly and may have been overtaken by CME: 2024-05-08T05:36Z. Preliminary analysis of this arrival signature was provided by Carlos Perez Alanis from the LASSOS team at NASA GSFC.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T16:39Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T06:51Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"14.25\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"23.95\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Psyche, STEREO A, Lucy, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-05-09T16:39:40Z\\n## Message ID: 20240509-AL-005\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-05-08T19:12Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~828 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 38 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -23/3 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-05-08T19:12:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Psyche (glancing blow), STEREO A, and Lucy (glancing blow).  The leading edge of the CME will reach STEREO A at 2024-05-11T06:45Z, and the flank of the CME may reach Psyche at 2024-05-15T20:00Z and Lucy at 2024-05-14T00:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-05-11T06:42Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 5-7 (minor to strong).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-05-08T19:12:00-CME-001):\\n\\n(a) 2 AU outer boundary\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_232700_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_232700_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_232700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_232700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_232700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_232700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\n\\n(b) 5.5 AU outer boundary\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_232700_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_232700_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_232700_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T20:28Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T13:03Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-3.55\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"20.13\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30651/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=9.0, Lat.=-7.0, Speed=870.0, HalfAngle=43.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T09:30Z\\n2024-05-08T12:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=3.0, Lat.=-5.0, Speed=776.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T16:58Z\\n2024-05-08T19:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-23.0, Lat.=3.0, Speed=828.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T23:27Z\\n2024-05-08T22:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=12.0, Lat.=-16.0, Speed=1130.0, HalfAngle=40.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T01:43Z\\n2024-05-09T09:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=19.0, Lat.=-6.0, Speed=1330.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T11:56Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T13:03Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =22.4 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 4.1\\n(kp)90=8\\n(kp)180=9\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-12T04:05Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T07:53Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T20:41Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T21:57Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"5.35\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"19.92\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-08T12:24:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-08T12:24Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T16:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"[IN REVIEW] Earth-directed full halo seen in all coronagraphs. The source is a large eruption from AR 3664, which included a long-duration M8.6 flare (S22W11) which peaked at 2024-05-08T12:04Z best seen in SDO AIA 131. An EUV wave and field line movement is observed in SDO AIA 94/131/171/211 with some surface brightening in SDO AIA 304. This flare+CME combo resulted in a small rise in protons observed at SOHO and GOES, but not enough for a threshold crossing. The start time used here is when the shock front emerges, with the brighter bulk front emerging ~2024-05-08T13:00Z. This CME likely combined with several other CMEs from 05-07 to 05-09, with the combined front of the CMEs arriving at L1 at 2024-05-10T16:36Z. The possible arrival is characterized by a sharp increase in magnetic field components with Btotal increasing to 45nT at 16:44Z. A subsequent increase in solar wind speed is observed from 462 km/s at 16:36Z to 703 km/s at 16:48Z. Increases in density and temperature are also observed. A possible flux rope signature begins around 2024-05-10T21:38Z which corresponds to a second, more intense amplification of magnetic field components with Btotal reaching a maximum of 73nT. Within this possible flux rope feature, which extends to 2024-05-11T09:30Z, there are three noticeable decreases in density which may correspond to three CMEs that may have merged into the signature. Because of this, it is possible the signature is associated with the arrival of CME: 2024-05-08T05:36Z, CME: 2024-05-08T12:24Z, and/or CME: 2024-05-08T19:12Z. CME: 2024-05-07T03:12Z and CME: 2024-05-07T05:24Z measured slowly and may have been overtaken by CME: 2024-05-08T05:36Z. Preliminary analysis of this arrival signature was provided by Carlos Perez Alanis from the LASSOS team at NASA GSFC.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-08T15:53Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T20:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"3.40\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"48.72\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This simulation includes two halo CMEs which have a combined arrival. These two CMEs have start times (as defined by M2M): 2024-05-08T05:36Z and 2024-05-08T12:24Z. \\n\\nProduct: Forecast Discussion\\nIssued: 2024 May 08 1230 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nSolar Activity\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\n...\\nRegion 3664 (S20W15, Fkc/beta-gamma-delta) also maintained its delta\\nconfiguration and had significant growth in its intermediate and\\ntrailer spots. It is now the largest of the regions, with an overall\\nareal coverage over 1,000 millionths. This region also produced several\\nM-class flares and an X1.0 flare at 08/0509 UTC. The X flare was\\naccompanied by Type II and IV sweeps and a 10.7 cm radio burst. A halo\\nCME associated with this event is first visible in C2 imagery near\\n08/0600 UTC. Preliminary modeling efforts showed an arrival time early\\non 11 May. However, additional analysis and modeling are ongoing. \\n\\nThe remaining spotted active regions were stable or in gradual decay and\\nlargely inactive.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-08T16:18Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T01:39Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"9.05\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"48.30\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30568/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-08T12:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=3.0, Lat.=-5.0, Speed=776.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T16:58Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-11T01:39Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =24.8 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.4\\n(kp)90=5\\n(kp)180=7\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-13T03:59Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T20:45Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_165800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-08T16:33Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T00:38Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.33,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.33,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"8.03\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"48.05\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\nApex direction (deg): 3.0\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio: 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 45.0\\n\\ninitial CME speed: 776.0 (+/- 50) km/s\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_sun\\ninitial time: 2024-05-08T16:58Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.1e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km \\nambient solar wind speed: 400 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 50k\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-08T16:54Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T06:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"13.40\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"47.70\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"predicted CME shock arrival time: 2024-05-11T06:00Z\\nConfidence that the CME will arrive: 80%\\nKp Range: 5-8\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-08T18:15Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T20:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"3.40\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"46.35\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: \\nRadial velocity (km/s): 792\\nLongitude (deg): 05S\\nLatitude (deg): 06W\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 46\\n\\nNotes: Likely to 'sweep' up preceding CME from earlier on 08 May and then in turn swept up by CME from X2.2 flare from early 09 May. Timings adjusted to account for combined arrival of multiple CMEs. \\nSpace weather advisor: CL\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-08T20:54Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T22:18Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 6.4,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 4.68,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 66.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"5.70\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"43.70\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2023/05/08 12:10Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 19:40Z; 31.5Rsun; SW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 21:40Z; 31.5Rsun; NE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 2:00\\nPOS Midpoint: 20:40Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 8:30\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 3\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~6.84\\nTravel Time: ~6.84 * 8:30 = 58:08\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-10T22:18Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/08 18:44Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-08T20:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T08:57Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 33.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"16.35\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"43.68\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2023/05/08 12:10Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 19:40Z; 31.5Rsun; SW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 21:40Z; 31.5Rsun; NE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 2:00\\nPOS Midpoint: 20:40Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 8:30\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~8.09\\nTravel Time: ~8.09 * 8:30 = 68:47\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-11T08:57Z\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\n*** Estimated latest time of arrival changing the Impact Type from 3 to 2\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/08 18:46Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T12:37Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T03:38Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"11.03\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"27.98\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  776.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      838.468\\nAcceleration:      -1.59774\\n% Compiled module: CALDAT.\\nDuration in seconds:        227664.85\\nDuration in days:        2.6350099\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -1.60 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  474.7 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 11/05/2024 Time: 03:38 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T12:38Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T08:31Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"15.92\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"27.97\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  776.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      466.968\\nAcceleration:       1.16287\\nDuration in seconds:        245233.05\\nDuration in days:        2.8383454\\nt2 is negative\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:   1.16 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  752.1 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 11/05/2024 Time: 08:31 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T20:28Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T13:03Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-3.55\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"20.13\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30651/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=9.0, Lat.=-7.0, Speed=870.0, HalfAngle=43.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T09:30Z\\n2024-05-08T12:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=3.0, Lat.=-5.0, Speed=776.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T16:58Z\\n2024-05-08T19:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-23.0, Lat.=3.0, Speed=828.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T23:27Z\\n2024-05-08T22:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=12.0, Lat.=-16.0, Speed=1130.0, HalfAngle=40.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T01:43Z\\n2024-05-09T09:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=19.0, Lat.=-6.0, Speed=1330.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T11:56Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T13:03Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =22.4 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 4.1\\n(kp)90=8\\n(kp)180=9\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-12T04:05Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T07:53Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T20:41Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-11T00:52Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 59.6667,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"8.27\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"19.92\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-08T05:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T16:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"[IN REVIEW] Earth-directed full halo seen in all coronagraphs. The source is a large eruption from AR 3664, which included two flares seen in SDO AIA 131, an initial M3.5 (S21W10) followed by the main long-duration X1.0 (S22W10) which peaked at 2024-05-08T04:30Z and 2024-05-08T05:09Z respectively. An EUV wave and field line movement is observed in SDO AIA 94/131/171/211 with some surface brightening in SDO AIA 304. This flare+CME combo resulted in a small rise in protons observed at SOHO and GOES, but not enough for a threshold crossing. This CME likely combined with several other CMEs from 05-07 to 05-09, with the combined front of the CMEs arriving at L1 at 2024-05-10T16:36Z. The possible arrival is characterized by a sharp increase in magnetic field components with Btotal increasing to 45nT at 16:44Z. A subsequent increase in solar wind speed is observed from 462 km/s at 16:36Z to 703 km/s at 16:48Z. Increases in density and temperature are also observed. A possible flux rope signature begins around 2024-05-10T21:38Z which corresponds to a second, more intense amplification of magnetic field components with Btotal reaching a maximum of 73nT. Within this possible flux rope feature, which extends to 2024-05-11T09:30Z, there are three noticeable decreases in density which may correspond to three CMEs that may have merged into the signature. Because of this, it is possible the signature is associated with the arrival of CME: 2024-05-08T05:36Z, CME: 2024-05-08T12:24Z, and/or CME: 2024-05-08T19:12Z. CME: 2024-05-07T03:12Z and CME: 2024-05-07T05:24Z measured slowly and may have been overtaken by CME: 2024-05-08T05:36Z. Preliminary analysis of this arrival signature was provided by Carlos Perez Alanis from the LASSOS team at NASA GSFC.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-08T15:53Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T20:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"3.40\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"48.72\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This simulation includes two halo CMEs which have a combined arrival. These two CMEs have start times (as defined by M2M): 2024-05-08T05:36Z and 2024-05-08T12:24Z. \\n\\nProduct: Forecast Discussion\\nIssued: 2024 May 08 1230 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nSolar Activity\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\n...\\nRegion 3664 (S20W15, Fkc/beta-gamma-delta) also maintained its delta\\nconfiguration and had significant growth in its intermediate and\\ntrailer spots. It is now the largest of the regions, with an overall\\nareal coverage over 1,000 millionths. This region also produced several\\nM-class flares and an X1.0 flare at 08/0509 UTC. The X flare was\\naccompanied by Type II and IV sweeps and a 10.7 cm radio burst. A halo\\nCME associated with this event is first visible in C2 imagery near\\n08/0600 UTC. Preliminary modeling efforts showed an arrival time early\\non 11 May. However, additional analysis and modeling are ongoing. \\n\\nThe remaining spotted active regions were stable or in gradual decay and\\nlargely inactive.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-08T18:43Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T12:14Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-4.37\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"45.88\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Lucy, STEREO A, Parker Solar Probe, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-05-08T18:43:52Z\\n## Message ID: 20240508-AL-012\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-05-08T05:36Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~870 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 43 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 9/-7 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Lucy, STEREO A, and Parker Solar Probe (glancing blow).  The leading edge will reach Lucy at 2024-05-12T08:48Z, STEREO A at 2024-05-10T07:28Z, and the leading edge or flank of the CME Parker Solar Probe at 2024-05-10T13:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-05-10T12:14Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 6-8 (moderate to severe).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThis CME event (2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001) is associated with M3.5 flare from AR 13664 (S21W10) with ID 2024-05-08T04:20:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-05-08T04:30Z and X1.0 flare 13664 (S22W10) with ID 2024-05-08T04:37:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-05-08T05:09Z (see notifications 20240508-AL-003, 20240508-AL-006).\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-08T18:53Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T13:53Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 5.09,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 3.78,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 75.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.72\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"45.72\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/05/08 05:20Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 12:30Z; 31.5Rsun; SSW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 13:50Z; 31.5Rsun; NNE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 01:20\\nPOS Midpoint: 13:10Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 7:50\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 3\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~7.22\\nTravel Time: ~7.22 * 7:50 = 56:33\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-10T13:53Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 3/5\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/08 13:25Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-08T18:56Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T23:42Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 25.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"7.10\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"45.67\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/05/08 05:20Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 12:30Z; 31.5Rsun; SSW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 13:50Z; 31.5Rsun; NNE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 01:20\\nPOS Midpoint: 13:10Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 7:50\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~8.47\\nTravel Time: ~8.47 * 7:50 = 66:22\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-10T23:42Z\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 3/5\\n*** Estimated latest time of arrival changing the Impact Type from 3 to 2\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/08 13:27Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T00:34Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T21:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"4.40\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"40.03\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"predicted CME shock arrival time: 2024-05-10T21:00Z\\nConfidence that the CME will arrive: 80%\\nKp Range: 5-8\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T12:40Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T14:59Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-1.62\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"27.93\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  870.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      935.006\\nAcceleration:      -2.04804\\nDuration in seconds:        206618.86\\nDuration in days:        2.3914220\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -2.05 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  511.8 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 10/05/2024 Time: 14:59 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T12:41Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T23:52Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"7.27\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"27.92\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  870.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      518.010\\nAcceleration:      0.908637\\nDuration in seconds:        238615.64\\nDuration in days:        2.7617551\\nt2 is negative\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:   0.91 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  734.8 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 10/05/2024 Time: 23:52 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T20:28Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T13:03Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-3.55\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"20.13\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30651/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-08T05:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=9.0, Lat.=-7.0, Speed=870.0, HalfAngle=43.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T09:30Z\\n2024-05-08T12:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=3.0, Lat.=-5.0, Speed=776.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T16:58Z\\n2024-05-08T19:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-23.0, Lat.=3.0, Speed=828.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2024-05-08T23:27Z\\n2024-05-08T22:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=12.0, Lat.=-16.0, Speed=1130.0, HalfAngle=40.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T01:43Z\\n2024-05-09T09:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=19.0, Lat.=-6.0, Speed=1330.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-05-09T11:56Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T13:03Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =22.4 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 4.1\\n(kp)90=8\\n(kp)180=9\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-12T04:05Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T07:53Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240508_093200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T22:41Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T17:42Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.33333,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.33333,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"1.10\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"17.92\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-09T22:41Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T16:38Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.33,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.33,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"0.03\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"17.92\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\nApex direction (deg): 12.0\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio: 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 44.0\\n\\ninitial CME speed: 799.5 (+/- 50) km/s\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_sun\\ninitial time: 2024-05-08T09:38Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.1e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km \\nambient solar wind speed: 400 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 50k\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-07T05:24:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-07T05:24Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T16:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"This CME is very faint but visible to the southeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2 imagery following a data gap which ends at 2024-05-07T06:53Z. The source may be related to an eruption/rising loop from Active Region 13664 (S25E05) staring around 2024-05-07T03:12Z as seen in SDO AIA 131. This CME likely combined with several other CMEs from 05-07 to 05-09, with the combined front of the CMEs arriving at L1 at 2024-05-10T16:36Z. The possible arrival is characterized by a sharp increase in magnetic field components with Btotal increasing to 45nT at 16:44Z. A subsequent increase in solar wind speed is observed from 462 km/s at 16:36Z to 703 km/s at 16:48Z. Increases in density and temperature are also observed. A possible flux rope signature begins around 2024-05-10T21:38Z which corresponds to a second, more intense amplification of magnetic field components with Btotal reaching a maximum of 73nT. Within this possible flux rope feature, which extends to 2024-05-11T09:30Z, there are three noticeable decreases in density which may correspond to three CMEs that may have merged into the signature. Because of this, it is possible the signature is associated with the arrival of CME: 2024-05-08T05:36Z, CME: 2024-05-08T12:24Z, and/or CME: 2024-05-08T19:12Z. CME: 2024-05-07T03:12Z and CME: 2024-05-07T05:24Z measured slowly and may have been overtaken by CME: 2024-05-08T05:36Z. Preliminary analysis of this arrival signature was provided by Carlos Perez Alanis from the LASSOS team at NASA GSFC.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-07T15:37Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T14:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.60\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"72.98\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30525/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-07T05:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-2.0, Lat.=-32.0, Speed=430.0, HalfAngle=21.0, Time21.5=2024-05-07T12:02Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T14:00Z (+- 7 hours)\\n(kp)90=3\\n(kp)180=4\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-13T00:00Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T04:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_120200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-07T16:01Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T14:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.60\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"72.58\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30530/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-07T03:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-24.0, Lat.=-24.0, Speed=381.0, HalfAngle=35.0, Time21.5=2024-05-07T11:21Z\\n2024-05-07T05:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-2.0, Lat.=-32.0, Speed=430.0, HalfAngle=21.0, Time21.5=2024-05-07T12:02Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T14:00Z (+- 7 hours)\\n(kp)90=3\\n(kp)180=4\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-13T02:00Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T06:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-07T16:27Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T14:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.60\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"72.15\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-07T03:12:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-07T03:12Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T16:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"[IN REVIEW] This CME is faint but visible to the southeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and in STEREO A COR2 for a few frames prior to and following a data gap lasting from 2024-05-07T02:53Z-06:53Z. The source is likely an eruption near Active Region 13668 (S23E15) starting around 2024-05-07T00:50Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. A large dimming area is seen in SDO AIA 193 at this time, which appears to move south of the eruption site. Additionally, rising loops are seen in SDO AIA 131 starting around 01:00Z and in SDO AIA 171/193 around 02:00Z. This CME likely combined with several other CMEs from 05-07 to 05-09, with the combined front of the CMEs arriving at L1 at 2024-05-10T16:36Z. The possible arrival is characterized by a sharp increase in magnetic field components with Btotal increasing to 45nT at 16:44Z. A subsequent increase in solar wind speed is observed from 462 km/s at 16:36Z to 703 km/s at 16:48Z. Increases in density and temperature are also observed. A possible flux rope signature begins around 2024-05-10T21:38Z which corresponds to a second, more intense amplification of magnetic field components with Btotal reaching a maximum of 73nT. Within this possible flux rope feature, which extends to 2024-05-11T09:30Z, there are three noticeable decreases in density which may correspond to three CMEs that may have merged into the signature. Because of this, it is possible the signature is associated with the arrival of CME: 2024-05-08T05:36Z, CME: 2024-05-08T12:24Z, and/or CME: 2024-05-08T19:12Z. CME: 2024-05-07T03:12Z and CME: 2024-05-07T05:24Z measured slowly and may have been overtaken by CME: 2024-05-08T05:36Z. Preliminary analysis of this arrival signature was provided by Carlos Perez Alanis from the LASSOS team at NASA GSFC.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-07T13:21Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T14:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.60\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"75.25\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30512/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-07T03:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-24.0, Lat.=-24.0, Speed=381.0, HalfAngle=35.0, Time21.5=2024-05-07T11:21Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T14:00Z (+- 7 hours)\\n(kp)90=2\\n(kp)180=4\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-13T02:00Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T06:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-07T16:01Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T14:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.60\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"72.58\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30530/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-07T03:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-24.0, Lat.=-24.0, Speed=381.0, HalfAngle=35.0, Time21.5=2024-05-07T11:21Z\\n2024-05-07T05:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-2.0, Lat.=-32.0, Speed=430.0, HalfAngle=21.0, Time21.5=2024-05-07T12:02Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-10T14:00Z (+- 7 hours)\\n(kp)90=3\\n(kp)180=4\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-13T02:00Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-10T06:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240507_112100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-07T16:27Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-10T14:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.60\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"72.15\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-05-03T02:48:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-05-03T02:48Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-05T11:30Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"A faint CME with narrow brighter front with filamentary structures (likely the bulk) and a wider fainter but slower front (likely the shock). The source is the X1.6 class flare (N26E05) from AR 3663 peaking at 2024-05-03T02:22Z and an eruption with a faint narrow ejecta seen in AIA 193  directed mostly towards the NE and a faint dimming mostly NE of the active region and post-eruptive arcades seen in AIA 193. Arrival signature: gradual CME arrival signature (likely a flank impact/glancing blow) which on 2024-05-06 is followed by the onset of a high speed stream. There is no shock but a steady growth in magnetic field to 16nT on 2024-05-06, accompanied by rotation of all 3 magnetic field components, with a prolonged bout of negative Bz (below 10 nT) on the evening of 2024-05-05. The ICME signature also includes an initial build up of ion density and temperature, followed by drops in both parameters.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-03T07:37Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-05T18:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.67,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"6.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"51.88\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nSWPC ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.9e\\nResolution: medium\\nAmbient settings: a8b1\\nEjecta settings: d4t1x1\\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: mrbqs\\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary:\\nRadial velocity (km/s):\\nLongitude (deg):\\nLatitude (deg):\\nHalf-angular width (deg):\\n\\nNotes:\\n\\n-------- \\nProduct: Forecast Discussion\\nIssued: 2024 May 04 0030 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nSolar Activity\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\nSolar activity reached high levels. Region 3663 (N26W03,\\nEkc/beta-gamma-delta) produced an X1.6/1b flare (R3/Strong) at 03/0222\\nUTC, with accompanying Type II (est. 959 km/s) and Type IV radio\\nemissions. The associated CME, first visible in LASCO imagery off the\\nNNE at 03/0248 UTC, is expected to arrive late on 05 May or early 06\\nMay....\\n\\nSolar Wind\\n\\n.Forecast...\\nMildly enhanced solar wind conditions and positive polarity CH HSS\\ninfluences are expected to prevail over 04-06 May. A stronger\\ndisturbance is expected late on 05 May and 06 May due to the anticipated\\narrival of the 03 May CME associated with the X1.6 flare detailed above.\\n\\n.Forecast...\\nThe geomagnetic field is expected to reach unsettled and active levels\\non 04 May due to positive polarity CH HSS influences. Active conditions\\nand periods of G1 (Minor) storming are expected on 05 May due to\\ncontinued positive polarity CH HSS influences in addition to the\\nanticipated arrival of the 03 May CME late in the day. Periods of G1-G2\\n(Minor-Moderate) storming are expected on 06 May due to continued CME\\nactivity and CH HSS influences.\\n\\n-------- \\nProduct: 3-Day Forecast\\nIssued: 2024 May 04 0030 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nA. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast\\n\\nThe greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA\\nScale levels).\\nThe greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 04-May 06 2024 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale\\nG2).\\n\\nNOAA Kp index breakdown May 04-May 06 2024\\n\\n             May 04       May 05       May 06\\n00-03UT       3.67         3.67         4.67 (G1)\\n03-06UT       3.00         3.33         5.67 (G2)\\n06-09UT       2.67         2.67         5.67 (G2)\\n09-12UT       2.67         2.33         4.67 (G1)\\n12-15UT       1.67         2.00         3.67     \\n15-18UT       2.67         3.00         3.67     \\n18-21UT       3.67         4.00         2.67     \\n21-00UT       3.67         5.00 (G1)    2.67     \\n\\nRationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely on 05 May followed\\nby G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) on 06 May due to the arrival of a CME from 03\\nMay.\\n\\n--------\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-03T13:26Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-06T06:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"18.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"46.07\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Simulation for the narrower brighter front with filamentary structures which was deemed likely to be the bulk of the CME. (There is also a much wider fainter front which was also analyzed and labeled as a shock).\\n\\nhttps://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30412/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-05-03T02:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-20.0, Lat.=33.0, Speed=972.0, HalfAngle=18.0, Time21.5=2024-05-03T06:05Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-06T06:00Z (+- 7 hours)\\n(kp)90=2\\n(kp)180=4\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-05-06T08:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240503_060500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-03T15:36Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-05T12:34Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 3.96,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 5.26,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"1.07\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"43.90\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/05/03 02:40Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 09:20Z; 31.5Rsun; NNE Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 14:00Z; 31.5Rsun; SSW Direction\\nPOS Difference: 4:40\\nPOS Midpoint: 11:40Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 9:00\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~6.43\\nTravel Time: ~6.43 * 9:00 = 57:54\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-05T12:34Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/03 12:45Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-03T15:50Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-05T09:28Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.03\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"43.67\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-05-03 06:52\\nâ- Time at C2: 2024-05-03 02:48\\nâ- Radial speed: 841.0 km/s\\nâ- Half angle: 43 deg\\nâ- Eruption location: N29E14\\nâInferences:\\nââ - Associated flare: X1.6 (N25E07). Peak at 2024-05-03 02:11\\nâPredictions for Earth:\\nââ - In-situ shock speed: 710.35 km/s\\nââ - Shock arrival time: 2024-05-05 09:28 (i.e. predicted transit time: 54.68 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-03T18:06Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-05T09:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"41.40\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-05-03 06:46\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 900\\nLongitude (deg): 17\\nLatitude (deg): 27\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 41\\n\\nNotes: Northward directed CME assw X1.6 flare from AR3663. Brightest portion of CME heading well north, but wider bulk of CME captured using SOHO and STEREO. Limited frames, so worth another look when more imagery available. \\nSpace weather advisor: Rebecca Spalton & Stuart Webster\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-03T21:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-05T09:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"37.58\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nBoM ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nGrid: 256x30x90\\nResolution: low\\nAmbient settings: \\nEjecta settings: \\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: \\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 03/0747\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 806\\nLongitude (deg): 14E\\nLatitude (deg): 23N\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 44\\n\\nNotes:\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-04T08:44Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-05T13:48Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"2.30\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"26.77\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  841.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      905.223\\nAcceleration:      -1.90684\\nDuration in seconds:        212455.86\\nDuration in days:        2.4589798\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -1.91 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  500.1 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 05/05/2024 Time: 13:48 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-04T08:46Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-05T21:34Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"10.07\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"26.73\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  841.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      502.263\\nAcceleration:      0.988545\\nDuration in seconds:        240367.34\\nDuration in days:        2.7820295\\nt2 is negative\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:   0.99 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  739.9 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 05/05/2024 Time: 21:34 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-04T10:47Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-05T23:25Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"11.92\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"24.72\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"SIDC URSIGRAM 40504\\nSIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 04 May 2024, 1230UT\\n\\nCoronal mass ejections: ... Further analysis of the CME, seen at 03:01 UTC on May 03, associated with NOAA AR 3663 and a X1.7-flare shows a possible arrival late on May 05 or early on May 06.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-05T19:09Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-06T11:07Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"23.62\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"-7.65\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/05/03 02:40Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 09:20Z; 31.5Rsun; NNE Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 14:00Z; 31.5Rsun; SSW Direction\\nPOS Difference: 4:40\\nPOS Midpoint: 11:40Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 9:00\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 0\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~8.94\\nTravel Time: ~8.94 * 9:00 = 80:27\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-05-06T11:07Z\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\n*** Estimated latest time of arrival changing the Impact Type from 2 to 0\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/05/05 19:07Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-05-07T10:07Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-05-05T18:11Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.66667,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.945,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"6.68\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"-46.62\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-04-23T09:12:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-04-23T09:12Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-26T00:17Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"This CME is visible to the northeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source is an eruption and subsequent M3.0 flare from Active Region 13654 (S06E41) starting around 2024-04-23T08:15Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. A small EUV wave is visible moving NE from the source, and post-eruptive arcades are visible starting around 2024-04-23T10:30Z in SDO AIA 171 and 193 imagery. Arrival signature is characterized by an initial jump in solar wind speed from around 300->370 km/s alongside a jump in temperature, and a slow rise in Btotal and density starting around 2024-04-26T01:08Z, reaching a total of around 9.7 nT. Bz is predominantly southward reaching around -9nT. In the bulk speed and proton density the shock is well defined.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-24T17:58Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-26T22:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"21.72\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"30.32\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30263/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-04-23T09:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-41.0, Lat.=6.0, Speed=484.0, HalfAngle=28.0, Time21.5=2024-04-23T15:46Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-04-26T22:00Z (+- 7 hours)\\n(kp)90=2\\n(kp)180=4\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nPsyche with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-04-30T00:00Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-04-26T22:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240423_154600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-24T18:19Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-26T22:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"21.72\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"29.97\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-04-15T06:48:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-04-15T06:48Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-19T04:53Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : 7.0,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Faint partial halo to the E/NE, seen in all coronagraphs. The source is an eruption from AR 3636 (located at S21E30 at this time), observed best in SDO AIA 171/193/304 starting around 2024-04-15T05:36Z. ARRIVAL: Sudden increase in B-total from 5nT to 15nT detected by both DSCOVR and ACE at 2024-04-19T04:53Z. Simultaneous sudden increase in density at the start time of arrival, 2024-04-19T04:53Z. A sudden increase in temperature and speed is observed later at 2024-04-19T13:44Z, likely indicating the arrival of a flux rope. Corresponding rotation of B-field components observed in DSCOVR, which was the primary spacecraft at the time. Signature also observed in ACE. A gradual increase to peak value of 18nT was also observed during flux rope arrival. Bz remained predominantly in the negative regime for this arrival.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-15T19:28Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-17T22:44Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-30.15\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"81.42\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30081/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-04-15T06:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-10.0, Lat.=6.0, Speed=724.0, HalfAngle=36.0, Time21.5=2024-04-15T10:52Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-04-17T22:44Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =25.3 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.7\\n(kp)90=5\\n(kp)180=7\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-04-17T21:23Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240415_105200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-15T19:41Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-17T21:41Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-31.20\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"81.20\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-04-15 10:52\\nâ- Time at C2: 2024-04-15 06:48\\nâ- Radial speed: 724.0 km/s\\nâ- Half angle: 36 deg\\nâ- Eruption location: N06E10\\nâInferences:\\nââ - No flare association was found\\nâPredictions for Earth:\\nââ - In-situ shock speed: 623.20 km/s\\nââ - Shock arrival time: 2024-04-17 21:41 (i.e. predicted transit time: 62.90 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-15T20:54Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-17T16:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-36.88\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"79.98\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CMEs (STEREO A, Lucy, Psyche, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-04-15T20:54:13Z\\n## Message ID: 20240415-AL-002\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nMultiple CMEs have been detected as follows:\\n1: C-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-04-14T11:12Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~859 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 34 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -20/2 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-04-14T11:12:00-CME-001\\n\\n2: C-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-04-15T06:48Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~724 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 36 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -10/6 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-04-15T06:48:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CMEs may affect STEREO A, Lucy (glancing blow), and Psyche (glancing blow). The leading edge of the CMEs will reach STEREO A at 2024-04-17T01:34Z, and the flank of the CMEs will reach Lucy at 2024-04-21T00:00Z, and Psyche at 2024-04-21T18:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n  \\nThe simulation also indicates that the CMEs may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CMEs will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-04-17T01:05Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 5-7 (minor to strong).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CMEs: 2024-04-14T11:12:00-CME-001, 2024-04-15T06:48:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThe first CME event (2024-04-14T11:12:00-CME-001) is associated with C5.0 flare from AR 3636 (S17E44) with ID 2024-04-14T10:24:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-04-14T11:01Z.\\n\\nThe second CME event (2024-04-15T06:48:00-CME-001) is associated with C5.6 flare from AR 3636 (S17E30) with ID 2024-04-15T05:47:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-04-15T06:00Z.\\n\\nThe two CMEs in this simulation did not combine prior to impacting STEREO A and Earth, leading to a double peaked arrival in the STEREO A and Earth timelines. The second CME (2024-04-15T06:48Z) will impact STEREO A around 2024-04-17T16:00Z (plus minus 7 hours) and Earth around 2024-04-17T16:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The CMEs merge closer to each other after 1AU for impacts at Lucy and Psyche, with a slight separation remaining between the fronts. \\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-15T23:23Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-19T03:19Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 9.52,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 9.11,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-1.57\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"77.50\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/04/15 06:30Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 17:30Z; 31.5Rsun; E Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 20:30Z; 31.5Rsun; W Direction\\nPOS Difference: 3:00\\nPOS Midpoint: 19:00Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 12:30\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~7.43\\nTravel Time: ~7.43 * 12:30 = 92:49\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-04-19T03:19Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/04/15 23:22Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-16T02:08Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-18T02:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-26.88\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"74.75\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 15/1142\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 640\\nLongitude (deg): 10E\\nLatitude (deg): 12N\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 35\\n\\nNotes: \\nSpace weather advisor: MOSWOC\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SPM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-16T04:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-18T12:47Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-16.10\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"71.97\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"The input parameters for SPM are:\\nInitial shock speed: 724 km/s  \\nSolar wind speed: 380 km/s\\nDuration time: 0.17 hr\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SPM2\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-16T04:59Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-17T23:24Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-29.48\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"71.90\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"The input parameters for SPM2 are:\\nInitial shock speed: 724 km/s \\nSource location: N06E10  \\nSolar wind speed: 380 km/s\\nDuration time: 0.17 hr\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-16T12:52Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-18T04:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 20.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-24.88\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"64.02\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Issued: 2024 Apr 16 1205 UTC\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\nA faint partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed in LASCO/C2 coronagraph data from 06:48 UTC on Apr 15. The CME is directed primarily to the North from the Earth's perspective and is likely associated with a small filament eruption near NOAA AR 3636. Current analysis suggests that this CME may have an Earth directed component, with a predicted arrival time of late on Apr 17 - early on Apr 18.\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #\\n# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-17T15:47Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-18T04:14Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 20.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.25,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-24.65\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"37.10\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-04-14T11:12:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-04-14T11:12Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-17T08:55Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Faint partial halo to the E/NE, seen in all coronagraphs. The source is an eruption from AR 3636 (located at S21E40 at this time), observed best in SDO AIA 171/193/304 starting around 2024-04-14T10:09Z.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-15T00:14Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-17T16:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"7.08\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"56.68\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nSWPC ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.9e\\nResolution: medium\\nAmbient settings: a8b1\\nEjecta settings: d4t1x1\\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: mrbqs\\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary:\\nRadial velocity (km/s):\\nLongitude (deg):\\nLatitude (deg):\\nHalf-angular width (deg):\\n\\nNotes:\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-15T19:15Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-17T01:06Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-7.82\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"37.67\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30080/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-04-14T11:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-20.0, Lat.=2.0, Speed=859.0, HalfAngle=34.0, Time21.5=2024-04-14T14:48Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-04-17T01:06Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =27.8 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.8\\n(kp)90=5\\n(kp)180=7\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-04-17T01:35Z\\nLucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-04-21T00:00Z\\nPsyche with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-04-21T18:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-15T20:54Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-17T01:05Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-7.83\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"36.02\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CMEs (STEREO A, Lucy, Psyche, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-04-15T20:54:13Z\\n## Message ID: 20240415-AL-002\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nMultiple CMEs have been detected as follows:\\n1: C-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-04-14T11:12Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~859 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 34 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -20/2 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-04-14T11:12:00-CME-001\\n\\n2: C-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-04-15T06:48Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~724 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 36 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -10/6 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-04-15T06:48:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CMEs may affect STEREO A, Lucy (glancing blow), and Psyche (glancing blow). The leading edge of the CMEs will reach STEREO A at 2024-04-17T01:34Z, and the flank of the CMEs will reach Lucy at 2024-04-21T00:00Z, and Psyche at 2024-04-21T18:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n  \\nThe simulation also indicates that the CMEs may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CMEs will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-04-17T01:05Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 5-7 (minor to strong).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CMEs: 2024-04-14T11:12:00-CME-001, 2024-04-15T06:48:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240414_144900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThe first CME event (2024-04-14T11:12:00-CME-001) is associated with C5.0 flare from AR 3636 (S17E44) with ID 2024-04-14T10:24:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-04-14T11:01Z.\\n\\nThe second CME event (2024-04-15T06:48:00-CME-001) is associated with C5.6 flare from AR 3636 (S17E30) with ID 2024-04-15T05:47:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-04-15T06:00Z.\\n\\nThe two CMEs in this simulation did not combine prior to impacting STEREO A and Earth, leading to a double peaked arrival in the STEREO A and Earth timelines. The second CME (2024-04-15T06:48Z) will impact STEREO A around 2024-04-17T16:00Z (plus minus 7 hours) and Earth around 2024-04-17T16:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The CMEs merge closer to each other after 1AU for impacts at Lucy and Psyche, with a slight separation remaining between the fronts. \\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-15T21:58Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-16T21:58Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-10.95\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"34.95\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-04-14 14:48\\nÃÂ¢ÃÂÃÂ- Time at C2: 2024-04-14 11:12\\nÃÂ¢ÃÂÃÂ- Radial speed: 859.0 km/s\\nÃÂ¢ÃÂÃÂ- Half angle: 34 deg\\nÃÂ¢ÃÂÃÂ- Eruption location: N02E20\\nÃÂ¢ÃÂÃÂInferences:\\nÃÂ¢ÃÂÃÂÃÂ¢ÃÂÃÂ - No flare association was found\\nÃÂ¢ÃÂÃÂPredictions for Earth:\\nÃÂ¢ÃÂÃÂÃÂ¢ÃÂÃÂ - In-situ shock speed: 663.70 km/s\\nÃÂ¢ÃÂÃÂÃÂ¢ÃÂÃÂ - Shock arrival time: 2024-04-16 21:58 (i.e. predicted transit time: 58.78 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-16T19:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-17T09:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 70.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"0.08\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"13.42\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-04-14T15:53\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 680\\nLongitude (deg): 25E\\nLatitude (deg): 4N\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 38\\n\\nNotes: \\nSpace weather advisor: CL\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-16T19:33Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-17T01:09Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.9,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 6.7,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 100.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-7.77\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"13.37\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Ensemble modeling estimates the spread/uncertainty in CME arrival time predictions using the WSA-ENLIL+Cone model due to uncertainties in CME input parameters.  This is achieved by measuring N CME input parameters, then performing an ensemble of N runs of WSA-ENLIL cone model.  This gives an ensemble of N CME arrival times and impact estimates.\\n\\nNASA GSFC SWRC ENLIL settings:\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: low2 (256x30x90)\\nAmbient settings: a3b1f\\nWSA version: 2.2\\n(Enlil 2.7 w/res:low2 ambient:a3b1f, WSA2.2)\\n\\n## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CMEs update (ensemble) (STEREO A, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-04-17T01:39:10Z\\n## Message ID: 20240417-AL-001\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nBETA PRODUCT. ENSEMBLE PRODUCT IS STILL IN DEVELOPMENT MODE. PLEASE LET US KNOW IF YOU HAVE ANY SUGGESTIONS FOR MODIFICATIONS.  \\n\\nEnsemble modeling update on CMEs with IDs 2024-04-14T11:12:00-CME-001 and 2024-04-15T06:48:00-CME-001 (see previous notification 20240415-AL-002). Based on analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric ensemble modeling carried out at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CME with ID 2024-04-14T11:12:00-CME-001 may impact STEREO A. For 24 ensemble members (see notes section), simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach:\\n\\n- STEREO A between about 2024-04-16T16:10Z and 2024-04-17T08:22Z (average arrival 2024-04-17T01:26Z) for 100% of simulations.\\n\\nAdditionally the CME is estimated to reach NASA missions near Earth between about 2024-04-16T17:15Z and 2024-04-17T07:52Z (average arrival 2024-04-17T01:09Z) for 100% of simulations.  The ensemble-based forecast indicates that there is a 95% chance for the maximum Kp index to be in the 4-7 range (below minor to strong).\\n\\nLinks to the ensemble details of the modeled event:\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-04-16_ncmes2_sims24_LAHAINA061/20240414_111200_ncmes2_sims24_LAHAINA061_anim_tim-den.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-04-16_ncmes2_sims24_LAHAINA061/20240414_111200_ncmes2_sims24_LAHAINA061_arrival_Earth.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-04-16_ncmes2_sims24_LAHAINA061/20240414_111200_ncmes2_sims24_LAHAINA061_Earth_stack.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-04-16_ncmes2_sims24_LAHAINA061/20240414_111200_ncmes2_sims24_LAHAINA061_arrival_STA.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-04-16_ncmes2_sims24_LAHAINA061/20240414_111200_ncmes2_sims24_LAHAINA061_STA_stack.gif\\n\\n## Notes:\\nThe two CMEs in this simulation did not combine prior to impacting STEREO A and Earth, leading to a double peaked arrival in the STEREO A and Earth timelines. The second CME (2024-04-15T06:48Z) may impact STEREO A around 2024-04-17T12:00Z (plus minus 7 hours) and Earth around 2024-04-17T15:00Z (plus minus 7 hours) based on visual inspection of the simulation output.\\n\\nAdditionally, the combined flank of the CMEs were also predicted to impact Lucy at 2024-04-21T00:00Z (glancing blow) and Psyche at 2024-04-21T18:00Z (glancing blow) (plus minus 7 hours) based on previous heliospheric modeling (see notification 20240415-AL-002).  \\n\\nEnsemble CME modeling at M2M is performed by building sets of initial CME parameters and carrying out separate simulations for each set. This approach allows a mapping of initial CME parameter uncertainties into a statistical characterization of CME arrival times and impact at locations of interest.\\n\\nDescription of links: For each location, the first link shows the WSA-ENLIL+Cone model animation for the median CME input parameters, the second link shows the probabilistic distribution of predicted arrival times histogram, and the third link shows a stack plot of the WSA-ENLIL+Cone modeled magnetic field, velocity, density, and temperature for all ensemble members. For missions near Earth, a histogram of the probabilistic Kp forecast is also provided.\\n\\nFor the full details of the modeled event, please go here:\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-04-16_ncmes2_sims24_LAHAINA061/Detailed_results_20240414_111200_ncmes2_sims24_LAHAINA061.txt\\n###\\n\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-17T01:47Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-17T04:23Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 85.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.2,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.4,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-4.53\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"7.13\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-04-12T02:00:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-04-12T02:00Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-16T09:20Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : 5.0,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Faint halo visible in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The potential source is a filament eruption centered around S15W20 with liftoff starting around 2024-04-12T00:16Z in SDO AIA 304. Dimming and a faint EUV wave may also be observed in SDO AIA 193. Opening field lines are also visible in SDO AIA 171. The eruption is also seen south of disk center from the point of view of STEREO A EUV imagery. ARRIVAL: Characterized by an amplification of magnetic field components with Btotal increasing from 1nT at 2024-04-16T09:20Z to 12nT at 10:07Z. A subsequent minor increase in solar wind speed was also observed from ~360 km/s at 07:34Z to 410 km/s at 07:59Z. This was accompanied by a slight increase in density as well, reaching 16 N(cm^-3) at 09:36Z. However, ACE contains spurious density data points around this time so the density data is more speculative than the other solar wind parameters. This arrival signature may have partially overlapoed with the arrival of CME: 2024-04-11T07:00Z\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-12T16:20Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-14T16:20Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-41.00\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"89.00\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (STEREO A, Lucy, Psyche, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-04-12T16:20:19Z\\n## Message ID: 20240412-AL-001\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-04-12T02:00Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~743 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 45 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 4/-17 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-04-12T02:00:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect STEREO A, Lucy (glancing blow), and Psyche (glancing blow).  The leading edge of the CME will reach STEREO A at 2024-04-14T11:45Z and the flank may reach Lucy at 2024-04-17T00:00Z and Psyche at 2024-04-19T06:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-04-14T16:20Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 4-7 (below minor to strong).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-04-12T02:00:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240412_060500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240412_060500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240412_060500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240412_060500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240412_060500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240412_060500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-12T17:20Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-14T16:49Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-40.52\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"88.00\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/30011/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-04-11T07:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-31.0, Lat.=6.0, Speed=911.0, HalfAngle=20.0, Time21.5=2024-04-11T10:18Z\\n2024-04-12T02:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=4.0, Lat.=-17.0, Speed=743.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-04-12T06:05Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-04-14T16:49Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =25.5 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.5\\n(kp)90=4\\n(kp)180=6\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-04-14T12:02Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-12T19:49Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-14T15:43Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 4.43,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 4.51,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 100.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-41.62\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"85.52\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Ensemble modeling estimates the spread/uncertainty in CME arrival time predictions using the WSA-ENLIL+Cone model due to uncertainties in CME input parameters.  This is achieved by measuring N CME input parameters, then performing an ensemble of N runs of WSA-ENLIL cone model.  This gives an ensemble of N CME arrival times and impact estimates.\\n\\nNASA GSFC SWRC ENLIL settings:\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: low2 (256x30x90)\\nAmbient settings: a3b1f\\nWSA version: 2.2\\n(Enlil 2.7 w/res:low2 ambient:a3b1f, WSA2.2)\\n\\nNotification from: Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office Notifications\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-04-13T11:53:38Z\\n## Message ID: 20240413-AL-001\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nBETA PRODUCT. ENSEMBLE PRODUCT IS STILL IN DEVELOPMENT MODE. PLEASE LET US KNOW IF YOU HAVE ANY SUGGESTIONS FOR MODIFICATIONS.  \\n\\nEnsemble modeling update on CME with ID 2024-04-12T02:00:00-CME-001 (see previous notification 20240412-AL-001).Based on analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Office and heliospheric ensemble modeling carried out at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CME may impact STEREO A. For 24 ensemble members (see notes section), simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach:\\n\\n- STEREO A between about 2024-04-14T06:49Z and 2024-04-14T15:24Z (average arrival 2024-04-14T11:08Z) for 100% of simulations.\\n\\nAdditionally the CME is estimated to reach NASA missions near Earth between about 2024-04-14T11:17Z and 2024-04-14T20:14Z (average arrival 2024-04-14T15:43Z) for 100% of simulations.  The ensemble-based forecast indicates that there is a 65% chance for the maximum Kp index to be in the 4-6 range (below minor to moderate).\\n\\nLinks to the ensemble details of the modeled event:\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-04-12_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA060/20240412_020000_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA060_anim_tim-den.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-04-12_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA060/20240412_020000_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA060_arrival_Earth.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-04-12_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA060/20240412_020000_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA060_Earth_stack.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-04-12_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA060/20240412_020000_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA060_arrival_STA.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-04-12_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA060/20240412_020000_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA060_STA_stack.gif\\n\\n## Notes:\\nThis CME event (2024-04-12T02:00:00-CME-001) is also predicted to impact Lucy at 2024-04-17T00:00Z (glancing blow) and Psyche at 2024-04-19T06:00Z (glancing blow) (plus minus 7 hours) based on previous heliospheric modeling (see notification 20240412-AL-001).\\n\\nEnsemble CME modeling at M2M is performed by building sets of initial CME parameters and carrying out separate simulations for each set. This approach allows a mapping of initial CME parameter uncertainties into a statistical characterization of CME arrival times and impact at locations of interest.\\n\\nDescription of links: For each location, the first link shows the WSA-ENLIL+Cone model animation for the median CME input parameters, the second link shows the probabilistic distribution of predicted arrival times histogram, and the third link shows a stack plot of the WSA-ENLIL+Cone modeled magnetic field, velocity, density, and temperature for all ensemble members. For missions near Earth, a histogram of the probabilistic Kp forecast is also provided.\\n\\nFor the full details of the modeled event, please go here:\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-04-12_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA060/Detailed_results_20240412_020000_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA060.txt\\n###\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-12T21:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-14T23:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 50.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-34.33\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"83.83\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nBoM ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nGrid: 256x30x90\\nResolution: low\\nAmbient settings: \\nEjecta settings: \\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: \\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 16:01\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 625\\nLongitude (deg): W17\\nLatitude (deg): N01\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 43\\n\\nNotes:\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-12T22:48Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-15T03:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 70.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-30.33\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"82.53\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-04-12T06:20Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 670\\nLongitude (deg): 002W\\nLatitude (deg): 14S\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 39\\n\\nNotes: Filament eruption just SW of centre disc. Faint halo on C2 and St A, mainly visible E and N of Sun-Earth line, but probable full halo. Only a couple of usable C3, and close in/very faint. Independently re-analysed by second forecaster and obtained very similar numbers, this fit is a halfway-house but very little adjustment was required. MOSWOC Enlil has the tail of a fictitious 600km/s fast wind initially, and the deterministic arrival of 15/0100UTC is probably not braked enough by the interplanetary medium. The degree of correction to apply is very uncertain. G2 probable.\\n\\nSpace weather advisor: Michael Lawrence, after Kirk Waite\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-12T22:50Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-15T11:48Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 8.85,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 6.2,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-21.53\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"82.50\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/04/12 01:05Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 12:00Z; 31.5Rsun; S Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 13:40Z; 31.5Rsun; N Direction\\nPOS Difference: 1:40\\nPOS Midpoint: 12:50Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 11:45\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 3\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~7.13\\nTravel Time: ~7.13 * 11:10 = 82:43\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-04-15T11:48Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/04/12 22:45Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-13T12:36Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-15T03:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 75.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-30.33\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"68.73\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #\\n# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\nSIDC URSIGRAM 40413\\nSIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 13 Apr 2024, 1230UT\\n\\n...Coronal mass ejections: A faint partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed in SOHO/LASCO-C2 and SOHO/LASCO-C3 starting from 02:30 UTC on April 12th. It is probably associated with the filament eruption observed in SDO/AIA 304 data at 01:10 UTC on April 12th. It is expected to arrive early on April 15th. No other Earth-directed CMEs were detected in the available coronagraph observations in the last 24 hours.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-13T14:33Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-14T15:05Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.67,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.67,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-42.25\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"66.78\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\nApex direction (deg): 4.0\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio: 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 35\\n\\ninitial CME speed: 743.0 (+/- 50) km/s\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_sun\\ninitial time: 2024-04-12T06:05Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.1e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km \\nambient solar wind speed: 400 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 50k\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-15T16:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-15T01:15Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 73.75,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.83333,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.83333,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-32.08\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"17.33\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-15T16:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-16T02:31Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-6.82\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"17.33\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/04/12 01:05Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 12:00Z; 31.5Rsun; S Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 13:40Z; 31.5Rsun; N Direction\\nPOS Difference: 1:40\\nPOS Midpoint: 12:50Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 11:45\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~8.29\\nTravel Time: ~8.29 * 11:45 = 97:26\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-04-16T02:31Z\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\n*** Latest possible estimated arrival time changing the Impact Type from 3 to 2\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/04/15 15:57Z\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-04-11T07:00:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-04-11T07:00Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-15T17:27Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : 4.0,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Faint CME visible to the NE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The start time is unclear due to the CME's faintness. The candidate source is a filament eruption centered around N20E10, with liftoff starting around 2024-04-11T05:48Z in SDO AIA 304. The filament can be seen deflecting to the east. The eruption is also best seen as dimming in SDO AIA 193. STEREO A EUV 195/304 also observes the eruption. ARRIVAL: characterized by an amplification of magnetic field components with Btotal increasing from 4nT at 2024-04-15T17:27Z to 10nT at 19:22Z. A subsequent minor increase in solar wind speed was also observed from ~330 km/s at 17:27Z to 390 km/s at 18:14Z. This was accompanied by a slight increase in density as well. A possible flux rope arrival appeared around 2024-04-16T09:30Z for which a stronger amplification of magnetic field components was observed, with Btotal increasing to 13nT at 13:03Z.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-12T12:24Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-14T19:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 25.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-22.45\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"77.05\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Issued: 2024 Apr 12 1231 UTC\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #\\n# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\nSIDC URSIGRAM 40412\\nSIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 12 Apr 2024, 1230UT\\nSIDC FORECAST\\n...\\nCoronal mass ejections: A faint Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) from the south- east limb was observed in SOHO/LASCO-C2 around 06:30 UTC on April 11th. It is probably associated with the filament eruption near the central meridian reported on April 11th. A possible glancing blow may be expected late on April 14th.\\n...\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-12T17:29Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-14T12:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-29.45\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"71.97\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Psyche, STEREO A, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-04-12T17:29:46Z\\n## Message ID: 20240412-AL-002\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-04-11T07:00Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~911 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 20 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -31/6 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-04-11T07:00:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Psyche (glancing blow) and STEREO A (glancing blow).  The flank of the CME may reach Psyche at 2024-04-18T18:00Z and STEREO A at 2024-04-14T10:00Z (plus minus 7 hours).\\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may have a glancing blow at NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the flank of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-04-14T12:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 2-3 (below minor).\\n   \\n\\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-04-11T07:00:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240411_101800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-13T00:15Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-13T20:34Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 9.38,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 10.97,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-44.88\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"65.20\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/04/11 06:35Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 10:00Z; 31.5Rsun; ESE Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 17:20Z; 31.5Rsun; WNW Direction\\nPOS Difference: 7:20\\nPOS Midpoint: 13:40Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 7:05\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 0\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~8.75\\nTravel Time: ~8.75 * 7:05 = 61:59\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-04-13T20:34Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time Square Root: 50%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\n\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/04/12 23:32Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-13T14:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-13T22:58Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 8.67,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 8.67,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-42.48\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"50.95\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\nApex direction (deg): -31.0\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio: 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 35\\n\\ninitial CME speed: 911.0 (+/- 50) km/s\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_sun\\ninitial time: 2024-04-11T10:18Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.1e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km \\nambient solar wind speed: 400 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 50k\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-04-17T15:47Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-04-14T06:38Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 25.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-34.82\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"-46.33\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-03-23T01:48Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T14:10Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : 8.0,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Partial halo to the NW following the front of the earlier 2024-03-23T01:25Z CME, with a faint shock front portion seen to SW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3. There is a data gap in STEREO A COR2 from 2024-03-22T18:23Z to 2024-03-23T03:23Z, after which the end of this event is seen for a few frames before exiting the field of view. A possible source could be the slower developing dimming to the SSW of Active Region 3614 (N25E07) following the deep  northern dimming to the NE of this Active Region. Alternative source could be the concurrent flare from Active Region 3615 (S14E15). Combined arrival of this CME with CME: 2024-03-23T01:25Z was detected at L1 by DSCOVR and ACE at 2024-03-24T14:10Z. The arrival signature is characterized by significant sharp increase in B-total from 6nT to 26nT, eventually reaching 33nT. There is a corresponding jump in solar wind speed from 550 km/s to 851 km/s, with a peak of 880 km/s and an increase in density and temperature seen at ~14:10Z.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T16:51Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T17:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"3.75\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"21.32\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"2-CME simulation, with CMEs arriving at L1 as a combined front:\\n\\n## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CMEs (Solar Orbiter, STEREO A, Psyche, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-03-23T16:51:43Z\\n## Message ID: 20240323-AL-012\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nMultiple CMEs have been detected as follows:\\n1: O-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-03-23T01:25Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~1613 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 41 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 2/22 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001\\n\\n2: O-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-03-23T01:48Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~1572 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 45 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 5/5 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CMEs may affect Solar Orbiter, STEREO A, and Psyche (minor impact).  The leading edge of the CMEs will reach Solar Orbiter at 2024-03-23T14:01Z, STEREO A at 2024-03-24T15:36Z, and Psyche at 2024-03-27T22:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n  \\nThe simulation also indicates that the CMEs may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CMEs will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-03-24T17:55Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 6-8 (moderate to severe).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CMEs: 2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001, 2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThese CME events (2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001 and 2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001) are associated with X1.1 flare with ID 2024-03-23T00:58:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 13614 (N25E07) which peaked at 2024-03-23T01:33Z and simultaneous flare from Active Region 13615 (S14E15) (see notifications 20240323-AL-001 and 20240323-AL-002), as well as with SEP at SOHO with ID 2024-03-23T06:49:00-SEP-001 (see notification 20240323-AL-006), SEP at GOES with ID 2024-03-23T08:15:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20240323-AL-003, 20240323-AL-005), and SEP at STEREO A with ID 2024-03-23T09:55:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20240323-AL-004 and 20240323-AL-006).\\n\\nThese CME events are still under analysis and updates will be provided when available.\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T17:21Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T12:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 5.58,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 5.58,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-1.67\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"20.82\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\nApex direction (deg): +5.0\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio: 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 35\\n\\ninitial CME speed: 1572.0 (+/- 50) km/s\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_sun\\ninitial time: 2024-03-23T03:50Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.1e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km \\nambient solar wind speed: 400 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 50k\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T18:33Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T16:09Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 2.22,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 1.97,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"1.98\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"19.62\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/03/23 01:16Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 05:00Z; 31.5Rsun; N Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 08:20Z; 31.5Rsun; S Direction\\nPOS Difference: 3:20\\nPOS Midpoint: 06:40Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 5:24\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~7.2\\nTravel Time: ~7.2 * 5:24 = 38:53\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-03-24T16:09Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time: 5%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 5/5\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/03/23 08:59Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T20:26Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T23:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"8.83\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"17.73\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: \\nRadial velocity (km/s): \\nLongitude (deg): \\nLatitude (deg): \\nHalf-angular width (deg): \\n\\nNotes: \\nSpace weather advisor:\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T21:28Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T08:59Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-5.18\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"16.70\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1572.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      1655.96\\nAcceleration:      -6.08703\\nDuration in seconds:        112306.91\\nDuration in days:        1.2998485\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -6.09 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  972.3 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 24/03/2024 Time: 08:59 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T21:29Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-25T07:41Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"17.52\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"16.68\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1572.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      899.196\\nAcceleration:      -1.42674\\nDuration in seconds:        193988.47\\nDuration in days:        2.2452369\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -1.43 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  622.4 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 25/03/2024 Time: 07:41 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T22:02Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T21:34Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"7.40\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"16.13\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-03-23 03:35\\nâ- Time at C2: 2024-03-23 01:48\\nâ- Radial speed: 1571.0 km/s\\nâ- Half angle: 46 deg\\nâ- Eruption location: S02W09\\nâInferences:\\nââ - No flare association was found\\nâPredictions for Earth:\\nââ - In-situ shock speed: 877.30 km/s\\nââ - Shock arrival time: 2024-03-24 21:34 (i.e. predicted transit time: 43.78 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-24T01:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T22:32Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 100.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"8.37\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"13.17\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"2-CME ensemble with CMEs with IDs 2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001 and 2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001 \\n\\nEnsemble modeling estimates the spread/uncertainty in CME arrival time predictions using the WSA-ENLIL+Cone model due to uncertainties in CME input parameters.  This is achieved by measuring N CME input parameters, then performing an ensemble of N runs of WSA-ENLIL cone model.  This gives an ensemble of N CME arrival times and impact estimates.\\n\\nNASA GSFC SWRC ENLIL settings:\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: low2 (256x30x90)\\nAmbient settings: a3b1f\\nWSA version: 2.2\\n(Enlil 2.7 w/res:low2 ambient:a3b1f, WSA2.2)\\n\\n\\nNotification from: Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office Notifications\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-03-24T13:14:38Z\\n## Message ID: 20240324-AL-003\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nBETA PRODUCT. ENSEMBLE PRODUCT IS STILL IN DEVELOPMENT MODE. PLEASE LET US KNOW IF YOU HAVE ANY SUGGESTIONS FOR MODIFICATIONS.  \\n\\nEnsemble modeling update on CMEs with IDs 2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001 and 2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001 (see previous notification 20240323-AL-013). Based on analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric ensemble modeling carried out at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CME may impact STEREO A. For 24 ensemble members (see notes section), simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach STEREO A between about 2024-03-24T13:59Z and 2024-03-25T04:12Z (average arrival 2024-03-24T19:28Z) for 100% of simulations.\\n\\nAdditionally the CME is estimated to reach NASA missions near Earth between about 2024-03-24T16:47Z and 2024-03-25T07:59Z (average arrival 2024-03-24T22:32Z) for 100% of simulations.  The ensemble-based forecast indicates that there is a 57% chance for the maximum Kp index to be in the 4-6 range (below minor to moderate).\\n\\nLinks to the ensemble details of the modeled event:\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-03-23_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059/20240323_012500_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059_anim_tim-den.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-03-23_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059/20240323_012500_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059_arrival_Earth.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-03-23_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059/20240323_012500_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059_Earth_stack.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-03-23_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059/20240323_012500_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059_arrival_STA.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-03-23_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059/20240323_012500_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059_STA_stack.gif\\n\\n## Notes:\\nThese CME events (2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001 and 2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001) are also predicted to have an impact Solar Orbiter at 2024-03-23T14:01Z, Psyche at 2024-03-27T22:00Z (minor impact) and Lucy at 2024-03-27T16:00Z (minor impact) (plus minus 7 hours) based on previous heliospheric modeling (see notifications 20240323-AL-012 and 20240323-AL-013)\\n\\nEnsemble CME modeling at M2M is performed by building sets of initial CME parameters and carrying out separate simulations for each set. This approach allows a mapping of initial CME parameter uncertainties into a statistical characterization of CME arrival times and impact at locations of interest.\\n\\nDescription of links: For each location, the first link shows the WSA-ENLIL+Cone model animation for the median CME input parameters, the second link shows the probabilistic distribution of predicted arrival times histogram, and the third link shows a stack plot of the WSA-ENLIL+Cone modeled magnetic field, velocity, density, and temperature for all ensemble members. For missions near Earth, a histogram of the probabilistic Kp forecast is also provided.\\n\\nFor the full details of the modeled event, please go here:\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-03-23_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059/Detailed_results_20240323_012500_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059.txt\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-24T02:40Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T12:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.17\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"11.50\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"predicted CME shock arrival time: 2024-03-24T12:00Z\\nConfidence that the CME will arrive: 80%\\nKp Range: 6-8\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"IZMIRAN\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-24T07:21Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-25T09:40Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 17.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 17.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"19.50\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"6.82\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Initial CME velocity = 1000 km/s\\nBackground SW velocity = 500 km/s\\nHeliolongitude = 0 deg\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-24T14:02Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T20:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 90.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.33333,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.33333,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"5.83\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"0.13\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-03-23T01:25Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T14:10Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : 8.0,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Bright partial halo CME first seen to the north in SOHO LASCO C2 (appearing a few timestamps before the second northern front of 2024-03-23T01:48Z CME and earlier than the faint full halo to the SW). The CME is associated with the X1.1-class flare from Active Region 3614 centered ~N25E07 and with associated eruption seen as EUV wave in SDO AIA 193, and as a NE-SW oriented large area of dimming/post eruptive arcades centered ~around Active Region 3614. X-class flare was accompanied by/contributed to by concurrent flare from Active Region 3615 (S14E15). Combined arrival of this CME with CME: 2024-03-23T01:48Z was detected at L1 by DSCOVR and ACE at 2024-03-24T14:10Z. The arrival signature is characterized by sharp increase in B-total from 6nT to 26nT, reaching 33nT and by a jump in solar wind speed from about 550 km/s to 851 km/s, with a peak of 880 km/s and an increase in density and temperature seen at ~14:10Z.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T16:51Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T17:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"3.75\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"21.32\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"2-CME simulation, with CMEs arriving at L1 as a combined front:\\n\\n## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CMEs (Solar Orbiter, STEREO A, Psyche, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-03-23T16:51:43Z\\n## Message ID: 20240323-AL-012\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nMultiple CMEs have been detected as follows:\\n1: O-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-03-23T01:25Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~1613 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 41 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 2/22 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001\\n\\n2: O-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-03-23T01:48Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~1572 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 45 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 5/5 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CMEs may affect Solar Orbiter, STEREO A, and Psyche (minor impact).  The leading edge of the CMEs will reach Solar Orbiter at 2024-03-23T14:01Z, STEREO A at 2024-03-24T15:36Z, and Psyche at 2024-03-27T22:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n  \\nThe simulation also indicates that the CMEs may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CMEs will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-03-24T17:55Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 6-8 (moderate to severe).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CMEs: 2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001, 2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240323_031900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThese CME events (2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001 and 2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001) are associated with X1.1 flare with ID 2024-03-23T00:58:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 13614 (N25E07) which peaked at 2024-03-23T01:33Z and simultaneous flare from Active Region 13615 (S14E15) (see notifications 20240323-AL-001 and 20240323-AL-002), as well as with SEP at SOHO with ID 2024-03-23T06:49:00-SEP-001 (see notification 20240323-AL-006), SEP at GOES with ID 2024-03-23T08:15:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20240323-AL-003, 20240323-AL-005), and SEP at STEREO A with ID 2024-03-23T09:55:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20240323-AL-004 and 20240323-AL-006).\\n\\nThese CME events are still under analysis and updates will be provided when available.\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T17:18Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T11:19Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 5.58,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 5.58,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.85\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"20.87\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\nApex direction (deg): +2.0\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio: 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 35\\n\\ninitial CME speed: 1613.0 (+/- 50) km/s\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_sun\\ninitial time: 2024-03-23T03:19Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.1e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km \\nambient solar wind speed: 400 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 50k\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T18:21Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T16:09Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 2.22,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 1.97,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"1.98\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"19.82\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/03/23 01:16Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 05:00Z; 31.5Rsun; N Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 08:20Z; 31.5Rsun; S Direction\\nPOS Difference: 3:20\\nPOS Midpoint: 06:40Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 5:24\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~7.2\\nTravel Time: ~7.2 * 5:24 = 38:53\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-03-24T16:09Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time: 5%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 5/5\\n\\nForecast Creation Time: 2024/03/23 08:59Z\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T21:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T07:46Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-6.40\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"16.67\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1613.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      1698.07\\nAcceleration:      -6.35978\\nDuration in seconds:        109277.61\\nDuration in days:        1.2647872\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -6.36 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU: 1003.1 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 24/03/2024 Time: 07:46 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T21:31Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-25T06:42Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"16.53\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"16.65\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1613.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      921.459\\nAcceleration:      -1.58695\\nDuration in seconds:        191867.45\\nDuration in days:        2.2206881\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -1.59 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  617.0 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 25/03/2024 Time: 06:42 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T22:01Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T21:01Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"6.85\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"16.15\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"ME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-03-23 03:19\\nâ- Time at C2: 2024-03-23 01:25\\nâ- Radial speed: 1613.0 km/s\\nâ- Half angle: 41 deg\\nâ- Eruption location: N22W02\\nâInferences:\\nââ - Associated flare: X1.1 (N27E08). Peak at 2024-03-23 00:58\\nâPredictions for Earth:\\nââ - In-situ shock speed: 880.88 km/s\\nââ - Shock arrival time: 2024-03-24 21:01 (i.e. predicted transit time: 43.60 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-23T22:26Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T16:49Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 5.41,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 5.41,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"2.65\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"15.73\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\n\\nupdated initial parameters for ELEvo using the actual shock arrival time at Solar Orbiter: 2024-03-23T13:30:00Z\\n\\nApex direction (deg): +2.0\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio: 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 35\\n\\ninitial CME speed: 1312.5 (+/- 50) km/s\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_sun\\ninitial time: 2024-03-23T03:19Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.11e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km \\nambient solar wind speed: 420 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 50k\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-24T01:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T22:32Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 100.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"8.37\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"13.17\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"2-CME ensemble with CMEs with IDs 2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001 and 2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001 \\n\\nEnsemble modeling estimates the spread/uncertainty in CME arrival time predictions using the WSA-ENLIL+Cone model due to uncertainties in CME input parameters.  This is achieved by measuring N CME input parameters, then performing an ensemble of N runs of WSA-ENLIL cone model.  This gives an ensemble of N CME arrival times and impact estimates.\\n\\nNASA GSFC SWRC ENLIL settings:\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: low2 (256x30x90)\\nAmbient settings: a3b1f\\nWSA version: 2.2\\n(Enlil 2.7 w/res:low2 ambient:a3b1f, WSA2.2)\\n\\n\\nNotification from: Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office Notifications\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-03-24T13:14:38Z\\n## Message ID: 20240324-AL-003\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nBETA PRODUCT. ENSEMBLE PRODUCT IS STILL IN DEVELOPMENT MODE. PLEASE LET US KNOW IF YOU HAVE ANY SUGGESTIONS FOR MODIFICATIONS.  \\n\\nEnsemble modeling update on CMEs with IDs 2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001 and 2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001 (see previous notification 20240323-AL-013). Based on analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric ensemble modeling carried out at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CME may impact STEREO A. For 24 ensemble members (see notes section), simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach STEREO A between about 2024-03-24T13:59Z and 2024-03-25T04:12Z (average arrival 2024-03-24T19:28Z) for 100% of simulations.\\n\\nAdditionally the CME is estimated to reach NASA missions near Earth between about 2024-03-24T16:47Z and 2024-03-25T07:59Z (average arrival 2024-03-24T22:32Z) for 100% of simulations.  The ensemble-based forecast indicates that there is a 57% chance for the maximum Kp index to be in the 4-6 range (below minor to moderate).\\n\\nLinks to the ensemble details of the modeled event:\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-03-23_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059/20240323_012500_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059_anim_tim-den.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-03-23_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059/20240323_012500_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059_arrival_Earth.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-03-23_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059/20240323_012500_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059_Earth_stack.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-03-23_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059/20240323_012500_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059_arrival_STA.gif\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-03-23_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059/20240323_012500_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059_STA_stack.gif\\n\\n## Notes:\\nThese CME events (2024-03-23T01:25:00-CME-001 and 2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001) are also predicted to have an impact Solar Orbiter at 2024-03-23T14:01Z, Psyche at 2024-03-27T22:00Z (minor impact) and Lucy at 2024-03-27T16:00Z (minor impact) (plus minus 7 hours) based on previous heliospheric modeling (see notifications 20240323-AL-012 and 20240323-AL-013)\\n\\nEnsemble CME modeling at M2M is performed by building sets of initial CME parameters and carrying out separate simulations for each set. This approach allows a mapping of initial CME parameter uncertainties into a statistical characterization of CME arrival times and impact at locations of interest.\\n\\nDescription of links: For each location, the first link shows the WSA-ENLIL+Cone model animation for the median CME input parameters, the second link shows the probabilistic distribution of predicted arrival times histogram, and the third link shows a stack plot of the WSA-ENLIL+Cone modeled magnetic field, velocity, density, and temperature for all ensemble members. For missions near Earth, a histogram of the probabilistic Kp forecast is also provided.\\n\\nFor the full details of the modeled event, please go here:\\nhttps://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2024-03-23_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059/Detailed_results_20240323_012500_ncmes1_sims24_LAHAINA059.txt\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-24T01:20Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-25T00:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"9.83\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"12.83\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nBoM ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nGrid: 256x30x90\\nResolution: low\\nAmbient settings: \\nEjecta settings: \\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: \\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 03:36\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 1442\\nLongitude (deg): E07\\nLatitude (deg): N23\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 51\\n\\nNotes:\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-24T02:07Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T23:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"8.83\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"12.05\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-24T02:41Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T12:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.17\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"11.48\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"predicted CME shock arrival time: 2024-03-24T12:00Z\\nConfidence that the CME will arrive: 80%\\nKp Range: 6-8\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-24T12:32Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-25T15:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 90.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"24.83\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"1.63\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Event id=\\\"393\\\"\\n\\n:From Presto Alert Issued: 2024 Mar 24 1317 UTC\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\nThe halo CME reported yesterday as launched yesterday at 01:33 UTC arrived at the Solar Orbiter (SO) location yesterday at 13:00 UTC. Based on the SO in situ measurements a new estimation of its arrival time to the Earth's environment can be made. It is now expected to reach Earth at the second half of 25 Mar.\\n\\nexpected arrival time: 2024-03-25T15:00:00\\ntime_uncertainty: 12\\nmin_estimated_peak_K: 5\\nmax_estimated_peak_K: 8\\nprobability_of_arrival: 90\\n\\nFrom CME arrival email:\\n\\n\\n\\n\\n\\n\\n  \\n  \\n    \\n    \\n      \\n        \\n        \\n          \\n          \\n          \\n          \\n          \\n          \\n          \\n          \\n            \\n              \\n              \\n              sidctech@oma.be\\n              \\n              \\n              2024-03-24T12:32:12\\n              \\n              \\n              393\\n              \\n              1\\n              \\n              CME_arrival\\n            \\n            \\n              \\n              \\n                \\n                \\n              \\n              \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n              \\n              \\n            \\n            \\n              \\n              \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n                  \\n                  \\n                    \\n                      \\n                        2024-03-25T15:00:00\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-25T16:48Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-24T20:11Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 90.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.42857,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.57143,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"6.02\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"-26.63\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-03-17T03:36:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-03-17T03:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-21T01:50Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"This CME is visible to the S/SE in coronagraph imagery. The source is a filament eruption spanning S45E05 to S15W40 seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, and 304 imagery starting around 2024-03-17T02:30Z. A large western portion of the filament appears to deflect south/southeast, which is likely associated with this event. Dimming is visible from the eruption site in SDO AIA 193 shortly after the filament lifts-off and field line movement can be seen near the S/SW limb at this time in SDO AIA 171. Post-eruptive loops begin to form around 04:30Z. This event partially overlaps CME: 2024-03-17T03:12Z, which also likely stems from the same filament eruption. Arrival signature is likely of a combined arrival of these two CMEs. It is characterized by an increase in magnetic field to 14nT in what is likely the CME sheath, followed after 2024-03-21T10:49Z by smooth rotation of magnetic field components in what is likely the flux rope.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-17T16:37Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-21T01:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-0.83\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"81.22\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Simulation result for bulk measurement of CME: 2024-03-17T03:36Z only.\\n\\nhttps://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/29635/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-03-17T03:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-24.0, Lat.=-48.0, Speed=499.0, HalfAngle=31.0, Time21.5=2024-03-17T10:55Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-03-21T01:00Z (+- 7 hours)\\n(kp)90=2\\n(kp)180=3\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nSolar Orbiter with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-03-18T18:00Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-03-20T23:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-17T17:43Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-21T05:53Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"4.05\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"80.12\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"2-CME simulation result for the bulk measurements of CME: 2024-03-17T03:12Z and CME: 2024-03-17T03:36Z.\\n\\n## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CMEs (Solar Orbiter, STEREO A, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-03-17T17:43:13Z\\n## Message ID: 20240317-AL-002\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nMultiple CMEs have been detected as follows:\\n1: S-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-03-17T03:36Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~499 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 31 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -24/-48 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-03-17T03:36:00-CME-001\\n\\n2: S-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-03-17T03:12Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~325 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 45 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 10/-35 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-03-17T03:12:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CMEs may affect Solar Orbiter and STEREO A (minor impact).  The leading edge of the CMEs may reach Solar Orbiter at 2024-03-18T22:49Z and STEREO A at 2024-03-20T22:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n  \\nThe simulation also indicates that the CMEs may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CMEs will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-03-21T05:53Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 3-4 (below minor).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CMEs: 2024-03-17T03:36:00-CME-001 and 2024-03-17T03:12:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-17T18:51Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-20T18:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-7.83\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"78.98\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-03-17 10:40Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 460km/s\\nLongitude (deg): 24S\\nLatitude (deg): 15W\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 23\\n\\nNotes: \\nSpace weather advisor:\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-18T09:29Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-20T18:26Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 13.4,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 13.4,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-7.40\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"64.35\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\nApex direction (deg): W24\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio: 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 35\\n\\ninitial CME speed:  528.5 (+/- 50) km/s\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_sun\\ninitial time: 2024-03-17T10:36Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.1e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km \\nambient solar wind speed: 400 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 50k\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"IZMIRAN\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-18T09:34Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-21T04:36Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 9.6,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 9.6,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"2.77\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"64.27\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Initial CME velocity = 380 km/s\\nBackground SW velocity = 280 km/s\\nHeliolongitude = 10 deg\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-20T22:48Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-21T00:17Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.25,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-1.55\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"3.03\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-20T22:48Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-21T01:51Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 8.88,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 6.71,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"0.02\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"3.03\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/03/17 02:45Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 13:30Z; 31.5Rsun; S Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 15:30Z; 31.5Rsun; N Direction\\nPOS Difference: 2:00\\nPOS Midpoint: 14:30Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 11:45\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~8.09\\nTravel Time: ~8.09 * 11:45 = 95:06\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-03-21T01:51Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time: 5%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\n*** Impact type changed from 3 to 2 from the previous forecast\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-03-17T03:12:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-03-17T03:12Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-21T01:50Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"This CME is visible as a partial halo directed towards the southwest in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2 coronagraph imagery. The source is a filament eruption spanning S45E05 to S15W40 seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, and 304 imagery starting around 2024-03-17T02:30Z. Dimming is visible from the eruption site shortly after the filament lifts-off, starting around 02:37Z, seen in SDO AIA 193 and field line movement can be seen near the S/SW limb at this time in SDO AIA 171. Post-eruptive loops begin to form around 04:30Z as seen in SDO AIA 171 and 193 imagery. This event partially overlaps CME: 2024-03-17T03:36Z, which also likely occurs from the same filament eruption. Arrival signature is likely of a combined arrival of these two CMEs. It is characterized by an increase in magnetic field to 14nT in what is likely the CME sheath, followed after 2024-03-21T10:49Z by smooth rotation of magnetic field components in what is likely the flux rope.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-17T16:57Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-21T07:11Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"5.35\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"80.88\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Simulation result for bulk measurement of CME: 2024-03-17T03:12Z only.\\n\\nhttps://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/29636/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-03-17T03:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=10.0, Lat.=-35.0, Speed=325.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-03-17T14:35Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-03-21T07:11Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =19.0 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.8\\n(kp)90=2\\n(kp)180=4\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nSolar Orbiter with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-03-18T23:19Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-03-21T02:18Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-17T17:43Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-21T05:53Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"4.05\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"80.12\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"2-CME simulation result for the bulk measurements of CME: 2024-03-17T03:12Z and CME: 2024-03-17T03:36Z.\\n\\n## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CMEs (Solar Orbiter, STEREO A, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-03-17T17:43:13Z\\n## Message ID: 20240317-AL-002\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nMultiple CMEs have been detected as follows:\\n1: S-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-03-17T03:36Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~499 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 31 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -24/-48 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-03-17T03:36:00-CME-001\\n\\n2: S-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-03-17T03:12Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~325 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 45 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 10/-35 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-03-17T03:12:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CMEs may affect Solar Orbiter and STEREO A (minor impact).  The leading edge of the CMEs may reach Solar Orbiter at 2024-03-18T22:49Z and STEREO A at 2024-03-20T22:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n  \\nThe simulation also indicates that the CMEs may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CMEs will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-03-21T05:53Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 3-4 (below minor).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CMEs: 2024-03-17T03:36:00-CME-001 and 2024-03-17T03:12:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240317_105500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-17T18:51Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-20T11:07Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 8.77,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 6.6,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-14.72\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"78.98\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/03/17 02:45Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 13:30Z; 31.5Rsun; S Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 15:30Z; 31.5Rsun; N Direction\\nPOS Difference: 2:00\\nPOS Midpoint: 14:30Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 11:45\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 3\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~6.84\\nTravel Time: ~6.84 * 11:45 = 80:22\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-03-20T11:07Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time: 5%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-17T18:54Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-20T20:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-5.83\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"78.93\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-03-17T08:39Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 685\\nLongitude (deg): 07E\\nLatitude (deg): 34S\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 23\\n\\nNotes: \\nSpace weather advisor:\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-18T09:25Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-21T11:38Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 21.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 21.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"9.80\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"64.42\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\nApex direction (deg): E20.5\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio: 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 35\\n\\ninitial CME speed: 413.5 (+/- 50) km/s\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_sun\\ninitial time: 2024-03-17T12:08Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.1e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km \\nambient solar wind speed: 400 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 50k\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-18T15:20Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-21T01:33Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.33333,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-0.28\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"58.50\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-02-28T23:12:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-02-28T23:12Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-03T08:47Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"High southern latitude CME visible in the SE of SOHO LASCO C2/C3. The source is an eruption near AR 3591 (S35E10) with dimming seen in SDO AIA 193 starting at 2024-02-28T20:15Z. Opening/rising field lines and post eruptive loops are visible in SDO AIA 171/193.\\nNot visible in STEREO A COR2 until the CME is almost out of the field of view due to a data gap 2024-02-28T13:23Z to 2024-02-29T03:09Z. Arrival note: Characterized initially as a jump in Bt from around 3nT to 5nT, with more notable spikes in density, temperature, and speed from around 280 km/s to 320 km/s. Bt slowly rose to around 19nT by 2024-03-03T11:00Z with a long, sustained southward Bz reaching -16nT. The shock is not clearly observed (there is no abrupt increase in plasma data) and STA impact happens first and the sheath and its rotation are clearly seen and with a slight lag at L1, so the most likely candidates for this arrival are CME 2024-02-28T17:48Z and 2024-02-28T23:12:00-CME-001.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-29T19:29Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-04T00:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"15.22\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"61.30\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Solar Orbiter, STEREO A, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-02-29T19:29:06Z\\n## Message ID: 20240229-AL-002\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-02-28T23:12Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~779 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 22 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -11/-42 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-02-28T23:12:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Solar Orbiter (glancing blow) and STEREO A (glancing blow).  The flank of the CME will reach Solar Orbiter at 2024-03-02T04:00Z and STEREO A at 2024-03-03T18:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may have a glancing blow at NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the flank of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-03-04T00:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 2-3 (below minor).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-02-28T23:12:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240229_031300_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240229_031300_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240229_031300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240229_031300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240229_031300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240229_031300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240229_031300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-29T19:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-04T00:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"15.22\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"61.28\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-02-28T17:48:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-02-28T17:48Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-03T08:47Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : 5.67,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Bright CME visible in the NW of SOHO LASCO C2/C3 associated with a M1.5-class flare from AR 3590 (N19W59) starting at 2024-02-28T16:24Z. Dimming visible in SDO AIA 193, rising loops and post-eruptive arcades are visible in SDO AIA 171/193, and flare with long-lasting post-eruptive arcades visible in SDO AIA 94/131. Not seen in STEREO A COR2 due to a data gap from 2024-02-28T13:23Z to 2024-02-29T03:09Z. Arrival note: Characterized initially as a jump in Bt from around 3nT to 5nT, with more notable spikes in density, temperature, and speed from around 280 km/s to 320 km/s. Bt slowly rose to around 19nT by 2024-03-03T11:00Z with a long, sustained southward Bz reaching -16nT. The shock is not clearly observed (there is no abrupt increase in plasma data) and  STA impact happens first and the sheath and its rotation are clearly seen and with a slight lag at L1, so the most likely candidates for this arrival are CME 2024-02-28T17:48Z and 2024-02-28T23:12:00-CME-001.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-29T09:56Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-03T05:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 20.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-3.78\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"70.85\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Event id=\\\"389\\\"\\nexpected arrival time: 2024-03-03T05:00:00\\ntime_uncertainty: 12\\nmin_estimated_peak_K: 3\\nmax_estimated_peak_K: 4\\nprobability_of_arrival: 20\\n\\nfrom SIDC URSIGRAM Issued: 2024 Feb 29 1231 UTC\\nSIDC URSIGRAM 40229\\nSIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 29 Feb 2024, 1230UT\\nSolar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity over the past 24\\nhours was at moderate levels. The largest flares was an M1.3 flare with\\npeak time at 18:19 UTC on February 28 from NOAA AR 3590 (beta-gamma-delta).\\n...\\nCoronal mass ejections: A westward partial halo coronal mass ejection\\n(CME), with angular width of about 140 degrees, was first detected in the\\nLASCO/C2 data at around 17:48 UTC on February 28. The CME originated from\\nNOAA AR 3590 in the north-west quadrant of the solar visible disk, and was\\nassociated with the long-duration M1.3-class flare peaking at 18:19 UTC.\\nThe plane-of-the-sky speed of the CME was around 500 km/s and may result in\\na flank encounter at Earth early on March 3.\\n\\n\\nThe xml version of the CME arrival alert:\\n        \\n              \\n              \\n              sidctech@oma.be\\n              \\n              \\n              2024-02-29T09:56:44\\n              \\n              \\n              389\\n              \\n              0\\n              \\n              CME_arrival\\n            \\n            \\n              \\n              \\n                \\n                \\n              \\n              \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n              \\n              \\n            \\n            \\n              \\n              \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n                  \\n                  \\n                    \\n                      \\n                        2024-03-03T05:00:00\\n                        \\n                        \\n                        \\n                      \\n                    \\n                  \\n                \\n              \\n            \\n          \\n        \\n      \\n    \\n    \\n  \\n\\n\\n\\n\\n\\n\\n  \\n  \\n    \\n    \\n      \\n        \\n        \\n          \\n          \\n          \\n          \\n          \\n          \\n          \\n          \\n            \\n              \\n              \\n              sidctech@oma.be\\n              \\n              \\n              2024-02-29T09:56:44\\n              \\n              \\n              389\\n              \\n              0\\n              \\n              CME_arrival\\n            \\n            \\n              \\n              \\n                \\n                \\n              \\n              \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n              \\n              \\n            \\n            \\n              \\n              \\n                \\n                \\n                \\n                  \\n                  \\n                    \\n                      \\n                        2024-03-03T05:00:00\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-29T16:31Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-04T06:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"21.22\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"64.27\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Lucy, OSIRIS-APEX, STEREO A, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-02-29T16:31:00Z\\n## Message ID: 20240229-AL-001\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-02-28T17:48Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~730 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 43 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 59/20 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-02-28T17:48:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Lucy (minor impact), OSIRIS-APEX (glancing blow), and STEREO A (glancing blow). The leading edge or flank of the CME will reach Lucy at 2024-03-06T00:00Z, OSIRIS-APEX at 2024-03-03T00:00Z, and STEREO A at 2024-03-03T18:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may have a glancing blow at NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the flank of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-03-04T06:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 2-3 (below minor).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-02-28T17:48:00-CME-001):\\n\\n(a) 2 AU outer boundary\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_225100_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_225100_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_225100_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_225100_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\n\\n(b) 5.5 AU outer boundary\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_225100_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_225100_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240228_225100_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThis CME event (2024-02-28T17:48:00-CME-001) is associated with M1.5 flare with ID 2024-02-28T16:24:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 13590 (N19W90) which peaked at 2024-02-28T18:54Z.\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-29T17:07Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-02T16:44Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-16.05\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"63.67\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/02/28 17:50Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 00:20Z; 31.5Rsun; WNW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 06:40Z; 31.5Rsun; ESE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 6:20\\nPOS Midpoint: 03:30Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 9:40\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 1\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~7.34\\nTravel Time: ~7.34 * 9:40 = 70:54\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-03-02T16:44Z\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-03-01T17:50Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-03-03T09:14Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 20.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"0.45\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"38.95\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-02-21T18:36:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-02-21T18:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-24T16:16Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Wide partial halo CME to the west, associated with a beautiful filament eruption seen after 2024-02-21T17:30Z in AIA 304 traversing the western part of the disk and later as prominence off the western limb in SUVI 304. There is also an area of deep dimming and post eruptive arcades centered at (~N05W40) and stretching along 40th longitude (from lat -3 to 20) in AIA 193 associated with this eruption.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-22T03:17Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-25T09:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.67,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"16.73\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"60.98\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nSWPC ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.9e\\nResolution: medium\\nAmbient settings: a8b1\\nEjecta settings: d4t1x1\\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: mrbqs\\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary:\\nRadial velocity (km/s):\\nLongitude (deg):\\nLatitude (deg):\\nHalf-angular width (deg):\\n\\nNotes:\\nProduct: Forecast Discussion\\nIssued: 2024 Feb 22 1230 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nSolar Activity\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\n...\\n\\nAn eruptive filament was observed starting around 21/1500 UTC in the\\nnorthwest quadrant and an eruptive prominence was observed around\\n21/1600 UTC on the southeast limb. Analysis and modeling showed the bulk\\nof the ejecta being ahead of Earth's orbit. However, a glancing\\ninfluence remains possible on 25 Feb.\\n\\n----------\\n\\nSpace Weather Message Code: WATA20\\nSerial Number: 989\\nIssue Time: 2024 Feb 22 1917 UTC\\n\\nWATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted\\n\\nHighest Storm Level Predicted by Day:\\nFeb 23:  None (Below G1)   Feb 24:  None (Below G1)   Feb 25:  G1 (Minor)\\n\\n--------\\nProduct: 3-Day Forecast\\nIssued: 2024 Feb 23 0030 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nA. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast\\n...\\nThe greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 23-Feb 25 2024 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale\\nG1).\\n\\nNOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 23-Feb 25 2024\\n\\n             Feb 23       Feb 24       Feb 25\\n00-03UT       1.67         1.67         3.00     \\n03-06UT       1.33         1.33         2.00     \\n06-09UT       1.33         1.33         2.00     \\n09-12UT       1.33         1.33         3.33     \\n12-15UT       1.33         1.33         4.00     \\n15-18UT       1.33         1.33         4.67 (G1)\\n18-21UT       1.67         1.67         4.00     \\n21-00UT       1.67         1.67         3.33\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-22T13:46Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-24T16:44Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"0.47\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"50.50\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Flank impact or glancing blow.\\n\\nhttps://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/29340/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-02-21T18:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=40.0, Lat.=-2.0, Speed=576.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-02-22T01:00Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-02-24T16:44Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =15.7 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.3\\n(kp)90=3\\n(kp)180=5\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-24T14:26Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240222_010000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-22T14:49Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-24T14:44Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-1.53\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"49.45\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-02-22 01:00\\nâ- Time at C2: 2024-02-21 18:36\\nâ- Radial speed: 576.0 km/s\\nâ- Half angle: 45 deg\\nâ- Eruption location: S02W40\\nâInferences:\\nââ - No flare association was found\\nâPredictions for Earth:\\nââ - In-situ shock speed: 578.80 km/s\\nââ - Shock arrival time: 2024-02-24 14:44 (i.e. predicted transit time: 68.13 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-22T14:56Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-24T15:16Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 3.45,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 4.93,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-1.00\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"49.33\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/02/21 18:35Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 03:00Z; 31.5Rsun; W Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 08:10Z; 31.5Rsun; E Direction\\nPOS Difference: 5:10\\nPOS Midpoint: 05:35Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 11:00\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~6.24\\nTravel Time: ~6.24 * 11:00 = 68:41\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-02-24T15:16Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time: 5%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\\n\\n * Edit notes: Incorrect values were used for the previous prediction\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-23T08:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-25T12:19Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 65.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"20.05\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"31.77\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #\\n# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\nSIDC URSIGRAM 40222\\nSIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 22 Feb 2024, 1230UT\\nSIDC FORECAST\\nSOLAR FLARES  : M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)\\nGEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)\\nSOLAR PROTONS : Quiet\\nPREDICTIONS FOR 22 Feb 2024  10CM FLUX: 174 / AP: 008 \\nPREDICTIONS FOR 23 Feb 2024  10CM FLUX: 176 / AP: 010 \\nPREDICTIONS FOR 24 Feb 2024  10CM FLUX: 178 / AP: 008\\n\\nCoronal mass ejections: ...A second westward partial halo CME was detected in the LASCO/C2 data at 18:36 UTC on February 21th. The CME is associated with a filament eruption seen in SDO/AIA 304 & 193 at 17:37 on February 21th in the north-west quadrant of visible solar disk. The CME has an estimated plane-of-sky speed of around 450 km/s although the bulk of the ejection will miss Earth, a glancing blow arrival is possible on February 25th...\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-24T16:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-25T03:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 30.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"10.73\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"0.27\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-02-22T01:15Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 540\\nLongitude (deg): 046W\\nLatitude (deg): 05S\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 50 \\n\\nNotes: Glancing impact at most. Low confidence in fit due to lack of StA.\\nSpace weather advisor: Kirk Waite\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-24T16:06Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-24T23:50Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 47.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.8,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.734,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"7.57\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"0.17\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-02-10T23:36:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-02-10T23:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T01:38Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Partial halo shock to the north with bulk portion to the NW in SOHO LASCO C2, C3 and following a data gap in STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source is an M9.0 flare from AR13576 starting at 2024-02-10T22:56Z with clear deflection NW seen as dimming and EUV wave in SDO/AIA 193, 211, 304, and 171. There is also filament ejecta seen during and following the eruption in SDO/AIA 304. | Arrival note: Minor increase in B_total, solar wind speed, and temperature. A gradual increase in density follows the start of the arrival and is drawn out over the course of 24 hours. This arrival may be associated with the combined influences of the CMEs with IDs 2024-02-09T00:12:00-CME-001, 2024-02-10T07:00:00-CME-001, and 2024-02-10T23:36:00-CME-001.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-11T02:58Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T14:43Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"13.08\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"46.67\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (STEREO A, Psyche, Solar Orbiter, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-02-11T02:58:01Z\\n## Message ID: 20240211-AL-003\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-02-10T23:36Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~912 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 34 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 13/16 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-02-10T23:36:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect STEREO A, Psyche (glancing blow), and Solar Orbiter (glancing blow).  The leading edge or flank of the CME will reach STEREO A at 2024-02-13T12:57Z, Psyche at 2024-02-15T20:00Z, and Solar Orbiter at 2024-02-13T06:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-02-13T14:43Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 4-7 (below minor to strong).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-02-10T23:36:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240211_031300_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240211_031300_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240211_031300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240211_031300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240211_031300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240211_031300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240211_031300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThis CME event (2024-02-10T23:36:00-CME-001) is associated with M9.0 flare from AR13576 (S12W13) with ID 2024-02-10T22:56:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-02-10T23:07Z (see notifications 20240210-AL-005, 20240210-AL-006).\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-11T04:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T19:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"17.37\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"45.13\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nBoM ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nGrid: 256x30x90\\nResolution: low\\nAmbient settings: \\nEjecta settings: \\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: \\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 02:49\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 985\\nLongitude (deg):0\\nLatitude (deg):10\\nHalf-angular width (deg):45\\n\\nNotes:\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-11T07:56Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T16:46Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 4.99,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 5.78,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"15.13\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"41.70\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/02/10 23:25Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 07:00Z; 31.5Rsun; N Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 10:50Z; 31.5Rsun; S Direction\\nPOS Difference: 3:50\\nPOS Midpoint: 08:55Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 9:30\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~6.88\\nTravel Time: ~6.88 * 9:30 = 65:21\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-02-13T16:46Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time: 5%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-11T13:22Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T01:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-0.63\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"36.27\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  989.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      1057.22\\nAcceleration:      -2.64877\\nDuration in seconds:        177875.42\\nDuration in days:        2.0587432\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -2.65 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  586.1 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 13/02/2024 Time: 01:00 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-11T13:23Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T14:22Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"12.73\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"36.25\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  989.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      582.627\\nAcceleration:      0.566976\\nDuration in seconds:        225995.78\\nDuration in days:        2.6156919\\nt2 is negative\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:   0.57 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  710.8 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 13/02/2024 Time: 14:22 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-11T14:16Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T10:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 70.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"8.37\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"35.37\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-02-13T10:00Z\\nConfidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%\\nPredicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 7.0\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-11T16:05Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T06:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"5.28\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"33.55\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-02-11 02:49\\nâ- Time at C2: 2024-02-10 23:36\\nâ- Radial speed: 989.0 km/s\\nâ- Half angle: 45 deg\\nâ- Eruption location: N10E06\\nâInferences:\\nââ - No flare association was found\\nâPredictions for Earth:\\nââ - In-situ shock speed: 702.70 km/s\\nââ - Shock arrival time: 2024-02-13 06:55 (i.e. predicted transit time: 55.32 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-12T06:50Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T15:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 70.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"13.37\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"18.80\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-02-11T13:30Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 810\\nLongitude (deg): W010\\nLatitude (deg): N18\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 30\\n\\nNotes: Focused on bulk material to NW. Arrival forecast faster than enlil indicates due to poor background conditions after CME arrival on 11 Feb and additional influence of fast partial halo shock.\\nSpace weather advisor: Kirk Waite\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"IZMIRAN\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-12T10:34Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T13:42Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 18.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 18.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 80.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"12.07\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"15.07\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Initial CME velocity = 900 km/s\\nBackground SW velocity = 400 km/s\\nHeliolongitude = 12 deg\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-12T10:34Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T12:23Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 75.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.83333,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"10.75\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"15.07\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-02-10T07:00:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-02-10T07:00Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T01:38Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Wide CME visible to the S/SW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The source is a filament eruption seen south of AR 3576, centered around S30E05, which appears to deflect south. This eruption is best seen as dimming starting around 2024-02-10T06:96Z in SDO AIA 193. Following this eruption, post-eruptive arcades/rising loops are seen near AR 3576. This eruption is partially obscured by an eclipse in SDO AIA imagery from 2024-02-10T06:55Z-07:22Z. Opening field lines are visible in SDO AIA 171 and post-eruptive loops are best seen in SDO AIA 94. The eruption is also visible in STEREO A EUV 195/304. | Arrival note: Minor increase in B_total, solar wind speed, and temperature. A gradual increase in density follows the start of the arrival and is drawn out over the course of 24 hours. This arrival may be associated with the combined influences of the CMEs with IDs 2024-02-09T00:12:00-CME-001, 2024-02-10T07:00:00-CME-001, and 2024-02-10T23:36:00-CME-001.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-10T15:52Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-12T22:31Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-3.12\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"57.77\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Psyche, Solar Orbiter, STEREO A, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-02-10T15:52:01Z\\n## Message ID: 20240210-AL-003\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-02-10T07:00Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~967 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 39 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 6/-37 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-02-10T07:00:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Psyche, Solar Orbiter, and STEREO A.  The leading edge of the CME will reach Psyche at 2024-02-15T08:15Z, Solar Orbiter at 2024-02-12T18:43Z, and STEREO A at 2024-02-12T20:46Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-02-12T22:31Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 4-6 (below minor to moderate).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-02-10T07:00:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-10T16:58Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-12T17:16Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 4.88,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-8.37\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"56.67\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/02/10 06:55Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 13:40Z; 31.5Rsun; S Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 19:00Z; 31.5Rsun; N Direction\\nPOS Difference: 5:20\\nPOS Midpoint: 16:20Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 9:25\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~6.2\\nTravel Time: ~6.2 * 9:25 = 58:21\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-02-12T17:16Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time: 5%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 3/5\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-10T17:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-12T23:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 11.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 13.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 70.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.63\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"55.72\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-02-10T10:58Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 930\\nLongitude (deg): 7W\\nLatitude (deg): 42S\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 39\\n\\nNotes: Quite a tricky fit, took some time.\\nSpace weather advisor: Lawrence Howard MOSWOC\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-10T18:26Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-12T19:03Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-6.58\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"55.20\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/29124/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-02-09T00:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=4.0, Lat.=-36.0, Speed=655.0, HalfAngle=25.0, Time21.5=2024-02-09T05:05Z\\n2024-02-10T07:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=6.0, Lat.=-37.0, Speed=967.0, HalfAngle=39.0, Time21.5=2024-02-10T10:27Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-02-12T19:03Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =31.0 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.8\\n(kp)90=4\\n(kp)180=6\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-12T17:30Z\\nPsyche with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-15T08:00Z\\nSolar Orbiter with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-12T16:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-10T20:02Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-12T14:52Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-10.77\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"53.60\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-02-10 10:27\\nâ- Time at C2: 2024-02-10 07:00\\nâ- Radial speed: 967.0 km/s\\nâ- Half angle: 39 deg\\nâ- Eruption location: S37W06\\nâInferences:\\nââ - No flare association was found\\nâPredictions for Earth:\\nââ - In-situ shock speed: 696.10 km/s\\nââ - Shock arrival time: 2024-02-12 14:52 (i.e. predicted transit time: 55.87 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-11T02:22Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-12T19:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 60.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-6.63\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"47.27\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-02-12T19:00Z\\nConfidence that the CME will arrive: 60.0%\\nPredicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 6.0\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-11T13:20Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-12T09:28Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-16.17\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"36.30\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  967.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      1034.62\\nAcceleration:      -2.53513\\n% Compiled module: CALDAT.\\nDuration in seconds:        181681.95\\nDuration in days:        2.1028003\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -2.54 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  574.0 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 12/02/2024 Time: 09:28 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-11T13:21Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-12T22:10Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-3.47\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"36.28\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  967.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      570.681\\nAcceleration:      0.631808\\nDuration in seconds:        227433.55\\nDuration in days:        2.6323328\\nt2 is negative\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:   0.63 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  714.4 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 12/02/2024 Time: 22:10 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-11T23:22Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-12T18:25Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 65.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.4,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.8,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-7.22\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"26.27\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-02-09T00:12:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-02-09T00:12Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-13T01:38Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Faint CME visible to the south in SOHO LASCO C2/C3. Most clearly visible in a few early frames of SOHO LASCO C3. Overlaps with CME: 2024-02-08T23:48Z in the field of view of the coronagraph. Not visible in STEREO A COR2 due to a data gap from 2024-02-08T23:23Z to 2024-02-09T02:23Z. The source is a filament eruption lifting off starting around 2024-02-10T20:00Z in SDO AIA 304, centered around S35W05. The eruption is also visible in STEREO A EUV 195/304. | Arrival note: Minor increase in B_total, solar wind speed, and temperature. A gradual increase in density follows the start of the arrival and is drawn out over the course of 24 hours. This arrival may be associated with the combined influences of the CMEs with IDs 2024-02-09T00:12:00-CME-001, 2024-02-10T07:00:00-CME-001, and 2024-02-10T23:36:00-CME-001.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-10T17:57Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-12T14:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-11.63\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"55.68\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (STEREO A, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-02-10T17:57:52Z\\n## Message ID: 20240210-AL-004\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-02-09T00:12Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~655 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 25 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 4/-36 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-02-09T00:12:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect STEREO A (glancing blow). The flank of the CME will reach STEREO A at 2024-02-12T10:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may have a glancing blow at NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the flank of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-02-12T14:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 2-4 (below minor).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-02-09T00:12:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-10T18:26Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-12T19:03Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-6.58\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"55.20\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/29124/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-02-09T00:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=4.0, Lat.=-36.0, Speed=655.0, HalfAngle=25.0, Time21.5=2024-02-09T05:05Z\\n2024-02-10T07:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=6.0, Lat.=-37.0, Speed=967.0, HalfAngle=39.0, Time21.5=2024-02-10T10:27Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-02-12T19:03Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =31.0 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.8\\n(kp)90=4\\n(kp)180=6\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-12T17:30Z\\nPsyche with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-15T08:00Z\\nSolar Orbiter with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-12T16:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240209_050800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-10T19:52Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-12T16:31Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-9.12\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"53.77\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-02-06T13:48:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-02-06T13:48Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-10T08:24Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"CME visible to the north in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The source eruption is seen as a filament centered around N45E05 lifting off in SDO AIA 304 around 2024-02-06T09:33Z. Dimming can also be seen in SDO AIA 193 and opening field lines are visible in SDO AIA 171. The eruption is also visible in STEREO A EUV imagery. | CME arrival note: Brief increases in B_total, temperature, and solar wind speed. Possible flux rope signatures are present in magnetic field parameters following arrival start time. Density increases prior to the arrival.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-06T19:53Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-10T08:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-0.40\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"84.52\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/29017/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-02-06T13:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=1.0, Lat.=45.0, Speed=479.0, HalfAngle=30.0, Time21.5=2024-02-06T21:17Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-02-10T08:00Z (+- 7 hours)\\n(kp)90=2\\n(kp)180=3\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-10T06:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_211700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-08T15:29Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-10T16:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 8.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 30.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"7.60\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"40.92\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Message id=\\\"435\\\", Event id=\\\"385\\\" \\n\\nSIDC URSIGRAM 40208\\nSIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 08 Feb 2024, 1245UT\\n\\n...\\n\\nCoronal mass ejections: The coronal mass ejection (CME) associated with the\\nlarge filament eruption in the northern hemisphere on Feb 6th was\\nremodelled. A minor impact from it could be expected at Earth on Feb 10th\\nand Feb 11th. No other Earth-directed CMEs have been detected in the\\navailable coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours.\\n\\nThe above forecast supersedes the one below:\\n\\nSIDC URSIGRAM 40207\\nSIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 07 Feb 2024, 1258UT\\n...\\n\\nCoronal mass ejections: A fast full halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was\\nobserved in the LASCO/C2 imagery starting after 12:00 UTC on Feb 6th. The\\nCME has no clear on-disc signatures and is deemed to be back-sided. No\\nimpact on Earth is expected. A large filament eruption in the northern\\nhemisphere resulted in a northward CME launched at around the same time as\\nthe back-sided halo CME. The bulk of this filament-related CME is heading\\nnorth and out of the Sun-Earth line. Yet, due to itâs wide spread and\\ncentral on-disc location a possible glancing blow could impact Earth late\\nUTC on Feb 8th or early on Feb 9th.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-08T16:59Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-10T12:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 30.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"3.60\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"39.42\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-02-06T02:53:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-02-06T02:53Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-09T21:40Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Source of this partial halo CME is an M2.2 class flare from AR 3575 (S34W65) peaked at 2024-02-06T02:28Z and followed by an M4.2 class flare. The flare was associated with a large eruption seen in SDO AIA 193/304/171/131 and STEREO EUVI 195 starting at 2024-02-06T02:13Z (ejecta, EUV wave, post-eruptive arcades and circular dimming around them and rising). | Arrival note: Amplification in magnetic field components, with gradual enhancement starting around 2024-02-09T17:30Z, and shock observed starting at 2024-02-09T21:40, with B_total increasing from 7nT to approx. 9.37 nT. Accompanied by an increase in solar wind speed from approx. 387 km/s to approx. 500 km/s and increases in density and temperature.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-06T13:49Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-09T08:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-13.67\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"79.85\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/29004/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-02-06T02:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=48.0, Lat.=-45.0, Speed=857.0, HalfAngle=52.0, Time21.5=2024-02-06T06:32Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-02-09T08:00Z (+- 7 hours)\\n(kp)90=2\\n(kp)180=3\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nOSIRIS-APEX with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-08T06:00Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-09T00:00Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240206_063200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-06T15:29Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-09T02:21Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-19.32\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"78.18\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-06T15:29Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-08T20:42Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 5.41,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.45,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-24.97\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"78.18\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/02/06 03:15Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 08:00Z; 31.5Rsun; SSW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 13:40Z; 31.5Rsun; NNE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 5:40\\nPOS Midpoint: 10:50Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 7:35\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 0\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~8.63\\nTravel Time: ~8.63 * 7:35 = 65:27\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-02-08T20:42Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time: 5%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 4/5\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-02-01T08:00:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-02-01T08:00Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-04T02:35Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"[PRELIMINARY] Partial halo CME to the NE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The source centered around N20E05. A C3.0 flare peaked at 2024-02-01T07:43Z, accompanied by dimming and post-eruptive arcades in STEREO A EUV 195 and SDO AIA 193, but eruption is partially obscured by an eclipse in SDO From 2024-02-01T06:42Z to 2024-02-01T07:51Z. Filamentary material seen lifting off in GOES SUVI 304, opening field lines are seen in SDO AIA 171, and post-eruptive arcades are best visible in SDO AIA 94. Possible arrival signature is unclear. The complex signature is characterized by gradual increases in Btotal (to 11nT) and solar wind speed (to 500 km/s), as well as rapid fluctuations of magnetic field components indicative of a high speed stream. It is possible that this signature includes a CME arrival, as it also encompasses a drop in temperature and density over 2024-02-05. The signature will be revisited once Level 1 solar wind data is available.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-01T11:18Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-04T18:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"15.42\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"63.28\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nSWPC ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.9e\\nResolution: medium\\nAmbient settings: a8b1\\nEjecta settings: d4t1x1\\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: mrbqs\\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary:\\nRadial velocity (km/s):\\nLongitude (deg):\\nLatitude (deg):\\nHalf-angular width (deg):\\n\\nNotes:\\nProduct: Forecast Discussion\\nIssued: 2024 Feb 02 0030 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nSolar Activity\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\nSolar activity was at low levels. The strongest event of the period was\\na C3 flare, centered near N21E02, which peaked at 01/0743 UTC. A\\nsubsequent CME was first observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery after 01/0748\\nUTC. Analysis and modeling of the event showed most of the ejecta headed\\nnorthward but potential for the periphery of the CME to influence Earth\\nlater on 04 Feb and into 05 Feb.\\n\\nSolar Wind\\n\\n.Forecast...\\nAt or near nominal solar wind parameters are anticipated over 02-03 Feb.\\nLate on 04 Feb, there is potential for interaction with the periphery of\\na CME that left the Sun on 01 Feb.\\n\\n----------------\\n\\nProduct: 3-Day Forecast\\nIssued: 2024 Feb 02 1230 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nA. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast\\n\\nThe greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA\\nScale levels).\\nThe greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 02-Feb 04 2024 is 4.33 (below NOAA\\nScale levels).\\n\\nNOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 02-Feb 04 2024\\n\\n             Feb 02       Feb 03       Feb 04\\n00-03UT       0.67         1.67         2.00     \\n03-06UT       0.33         1.33         2.00     \\n06-09UT       1.33         1.33         2.33     \\n09-12UT       1.33         1.33         1.67     \\n12-15UT       0.67         1.33         2.00     \\n15-18UT       1.00         1.33         3.33     \\n18-21UT       1.00         1.67         4.00     \\n21-00UT       1.67         1.67         4.33     \\n\\nRationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No\\nsignificant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-01T13:58Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-03T15:41Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-10.90\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"60.62\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/28927/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-02-01T08:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-5.0, Lat.=27.0, Speed=920.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2024-02-01T11:48Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-02-03T15:41Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =20.6 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.4\\n(kp)90=5\\n(kp)180=7\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nPsyche with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-05T03:39Z\\nSolar Orbiter with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-03T10:25Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-02-03T16:01Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_114800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-01T14:28Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-04T02:16Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-0.32\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"60.12\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Psyche, Solar Orbiter, STEREO A, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-02-01T14:28:27Z\\n## Message ID: 20240201-AL-001\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-02-01T08:00Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~780 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 35 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -12/28 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-02-01T08:00:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Psyche, Solar Orbiter, and STEREO A. The leading edge of the CME will reach Psyche at 2024-02-05T18:11Z, Solar Orbiter at 2024-02-03T18:39Z, and STEREO A at 2024-02-04T03:59Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-02-04T02:16Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 4-6 (below minor to moderate).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-02-01T08:00:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_121800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_121800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_121800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_121800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_121800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_121800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240201_121800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThis CME event (2024-02-01T08:00:00-CME-001) is associated with C3.0 flare with ID 2024-02-01T06:36:00-FLR-001 from approximately N20E05 which peaked at 2024-02-01T07:43Z.\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-01T16:44Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-03T21:52Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 5.31,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 6.05,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-4.72\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"57.85\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/02/01 07:50Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 11:10Z; 15Rsun; NNE Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 12:50Z; 15Rsun; SSW Direction\\nPOS Difference: 1:40\\nPOS Midpoint: 12:00Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 4:10\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~14.89\\nTravel Time: ~14.89 * 4:10 = 62:02\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-02-03T21:52Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 2 Hours\\n - Travel Time: 5%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 3/5\\n\\n * Preliminary Forecast\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-01T17:07Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-03T21:07Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-5.47\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"57.47\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-02-01 12:18\\nâ- Time at C2: 2024-02-01 08:00\\nâ- Radial speed: 780.0 km/s\\nâ- Half angle: 35 deg\\nâ- Eruption location: N28E12\\nâInferences:\\nââ - No flare association was found\\nâPredictions for Earth:\\nââ - In-situ shock speed: 640.00 km/s\\nââ - Shock arrival time: 2024-02-03 21:07 (i.e. predicted transit time: 61.12 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-02T08:36Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-03T20:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-5.67\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"41.98\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  780.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v2\\nu_r =      842.576\\nAcceleration:      -1.61647\\nDuration in seconds:        219345.72\\nDuration in days:        2.5387237\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -1.62 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  488.0 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 03/02/2024 Time: 20:55 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-02T08:38Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-04T02:43Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"0.13\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"41.95\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed =  780.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      469.140\\nAcceleration:       1.15234\\nDuration in seconds:        240198.89\\nDuration in days:        2.7800797\\n% Compiled module: CALDAT.\\nt2 is negative\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:   1.15 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  745.9 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 04/02/2024 Time: 02:43 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-02T09:14Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-03T14:53Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 13.3,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 13.3,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-11.70\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"41.35\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\nApex direction (deg): -8.5\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio_ 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 35\\ninitial CME speed: 850.0\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_Sun\\ninitial time: 2024-02-01T12:03Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.1e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km\\nambient solar wind speed: 400 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 100k\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-02T12:49Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-04T04:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 40.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"1.42\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"37.77\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #\\n# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\nSIDC URSIGRAM 40202\\nSIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 02 Feb 2024, 1238UT\\nSIDC FORECAST\\nSOLAR FLARES  : C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%) \\nGEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) \\nSOLAR PROTONS : Quiet \\nPREDICTIONS FOR 02 Feb 2024  10CM FLUX: 144 / AP: 001 \\nPREDICTIONS FOR 03 Feb 2024  10CM FLUX: 147 / AP: 007 \\nPREDICTIONS FOR 04 Feb 2024  10CM FLUX: 149 / AP: 021\\n\\nCoronal mass ejections: The Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) that was reported on February 01, associated with a C3.1 flare, seen in SOHO/LASCO-C2 data from 07:48 UTC February 01. This eruption was predominantly directed to the north-east but is determined to have an Earth directed component, which is expected to impact Earth early on February 04. No new Earth directed CMEs have been detected.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-02T16:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-04T06:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 40.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"3.42\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"34.08\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-02-02T20:14Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-04T00:44Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 40.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-1.85\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"30.35\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-01-29T04:38Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-02-01T05:18Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"This CME is visible as a partial halo to the NW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source is an M6.8 class flare from AR 13559, best observed in SDO AIA 131. This eruption is also observed in SDO AIA 171/193/211 with subsequent field line movement, an EUV wave, and post eruptive arcades following the flare visible in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. Possible arrival/glancing blow signature of arrival of this CME at L1: enhancement in magnetic field components with an increase in B_total from 3.6 nT to over 7 nT, reaching a maximum near 8 nT. Rotation of all three magnetic field components. Solar wind speed increased from approximately 390 km/s to 440 km/s and increases in temperature and density (to ~5nT) were also observed.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-29T14:39Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-31T06:02Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-23.27\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"62.65\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Lucy, OSIRIS-APEX, STEREO A, Mars, Psyche, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-01-29T14:39:52Z\\n## Message ID: 20240129-AL-009\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nO-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-01-29T04:38Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~1278 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 52 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 58/3 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Lucy, OSIRIS-APEX, STEREO A, Mars (glancing blow), and Psyche (glancing blow).  The leading edge or flank of the CME may reach Lucy at 2024-02-03T05:36Z, OSIRIS-APEX at 2024-01-30T12:24Z, STEREO A at 2024-01-31T01:34Z, Mars at 2024-02-02T11:00Z, and Psyche at 2024-02-02T12:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME may reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-01-31T06:17Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 3-5 (below minor to minor).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001):\\n\\n(a) 2 AU outer boundary\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_072000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_072000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_072000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_072000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_072000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_072000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_072000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_072000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\n\\n(b) 5.5 AU outer boundary\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_072000_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_072000_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_072000_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Juno_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThis CME event (2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001) is associated with M6.8 flare with ID 2024-01-29T03:54:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 13559 (N25W70) which peaked at 2024-01-29T04:38Z (see notifications 20240129-AL-001 and 20240129-AL-003), SEP at STEREO A with ID 2024-01-29T05:11:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20240129-AL-002 and 20240129-AL-004), modeled SEP prediction from REleASE:ACE/EPAM 15.8-39.8 MeV with ID 2024-01-29T05:50:00-SEP-001 (see notification 20240129-AL-005), SEP at SOHO: COSTEP 15.8-39.8 MeV with ID 2024-01-29T06:06:00-SEP-001, SEP at SOHO: COSTEP 28.2-50.1 MeV with ID 2024-01-29T06:08:00-SEP-001 (see notification 20240129-AL-007), and SEP at GOES-P with ID 2024-01-29T06:15:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20240129-AL-006 and 20240129-AL-008).\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-29T14:51Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-31T09:50Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 6.57,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-19.47\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"62.45\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/01/29 04:25Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 07:50Z; 31.5Rsun; NW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 13:20Z; 31.5Rsun; SW Direction\\nPOS Difference: 5:30\\nPOS Midpoint: 10:35Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 6:10\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 0\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~8.66\\nTravel Time: ~8.66 * 6:10 = 53:25\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-01-31T09:50Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time: 5%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 4/5\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"ELEvo\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-29T16:06Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-30T13:47Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.8,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.8,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-39.52\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"61.20\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME input parameters:\\nApex direction (deg): W25.0\\nInverse ellipse aspect ratio: 0.7\\nAngular half width (in ecliptic, deg): 35\\ninitial CME speed: 1888.0 km/s\\ninitial height: 21.5 R_Sun\\ninitial time: 2024-01-29T06:17Z\\ndrag parameter: 0.1e-7 (+/- 0.025e-7) /km\\nambient solar wind speed: 400 (+/- 50) km/s\\ntime step: 10 min\\nensemble members: 100k\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-29T16:24Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-31T06:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 40.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-23.30\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"60.90\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-01-29T07:53Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 1150\\nLongitude (deg): 056W\\nLatitude (deg): 00N\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 42\\n\\nNotes: Modelled inner core of ejecta only, shock is partial halo and probably on Sun-Earth line, so some degree of impact likely. MOSWOC Enlil has an overly fast initialised solar wind, although the effect in this case will probably marginal, and any glance will probably remain within the UTC day of 31 January.\\nSpace weather advisor: Michael Lawrence\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-29T17:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-31T01:52Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-27.43\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"60.30\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-01-29 06:54\\nâ- Time at C2: 2024-01-29 04:38\\nâ- Radial speed: 1481.0 km/s\\nâ- Half angle: 54 deg\\nâ- Eruption location: N09W50\\nâInferences:\\nââ - No flare association was found\\nâPredictions for Earth:\\nââ - In-situ shock speed: 850.30 km/s\\nââ - Shock arrival time: 2024-01-31 01:52 (i.e. predicted transit time: 45.23 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-29T18:35Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-31T08:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-21.30\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"58.72\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CMEs Update (Lucy, OSIRIS-APEX, STEREO A, Mars, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-01-29T18:35:26Z\\n## Message ID: 20240129-AL-010\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nUpdate on CME with ID 2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001 (see previous notification 20240129-AL-009), now simulated with CME with ID 2024-01-29T02:00:00-CME-001.\\n\\nMultiple CMEs have been detected as follows:\\n1: C-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-01-29T02:00Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~936 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 20 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 65/12 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-01-29T02:00:00-CME-001\\n\\n2: O-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-01-29T04:38Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~1277 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 54 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 64/3 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the combined leading edge of CME with ID 2024-01-29T02:00:00-CME-001 and CME with ID 2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001 may impact OSIRIS-APEX at 2024-01-30T09:52Z (plus minus 7 hours). Additionally, the leading edge or flank of the CME with ID 2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001 may impact Lucy at 2024-02-02T23:43Z, STEREO A at 2024-01-31T04:02Z, and Mars (glancing blow) at 2024-02-02T02:00Z (plus minus 7 hours).\\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME with ID 2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001 may have a glancing blow at NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the flank of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-01-31T08:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 3-4 (below minor).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CMEs: 2024-01-29T02:00:00-CME-001 and 2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001):\\n\\n(a) 2 AU outer boundary\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_052200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_052200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_052200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_052200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_052200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_052200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_052200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_052200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\n\\n(b) 5.5 AU outer boundary\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_052200_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_052200_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_052200_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Juno_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nUpdated CME analysis and simulation results for CME with ID: 2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001 do not show an impact to Psyche, as previously indicated in a prior notification (see notification 20240129-AL-009).\\n\\nThe CME with ID 2024-01-29T02:00:00-CME-001 is associated with the M1.2 flare with ID 2024-01-29T01:29:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 13559 (N30W61) which peaked at 2024-01-29T01:40Z.\\n\\nThe CME with ID 2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001 is associated with the M6.8 flare with ID 2024-01-29T03:54:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 13559 (N25W70) which peaked at 2024-01-29T04:38Z (see notifications 20240129-AL-001 and 20240129-AL-003), SEP at STEREO A with ID 2024-01-29T05:11:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20240129-AL-002 and 20240129-AL-004), modeled SEP prediction from REleASE: ACE/EPAM 15.8-39.8 MeV with ID 2024-01-29T05:50:00-SEP-001 (see notification 20240129-AL-005), SEP at SOHO: COSTEP 15.8-39.8 MeV with ID 2024-01-29T06:06:00-SEP-001, SEP at SOHO: COSTEP 28.2-50.1 MeV with ID 2024-01-29T06:08:00-SEP-001 (see notification 20240129-AL-007), and SEP at GOES-P with ID 2024-01-29T06:15:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20240129-AL-006 and 20240129-AL-008).\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-29T20:28Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-30T20:55Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-32.38\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"56.83\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/28875/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-01-29T04:38:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=50.0, Lat.=9.0, Speed=1481.0, HalfAngle=54.0, Time21.5=2024-01-29T06:54Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-01-30T20:55Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =20.9 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.7\\n(kp)90=5\\n(kp)180=7\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nOSIRIS-APEX with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-01-30T12:18Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-01-30T18:05Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240129_065400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-30T02:11Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-31T00:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 50.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-29.30\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"51.12\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"predicted CME shock arrival time ï¼ 2024-01-31T00:00Z\\nConfidence that the CME will arrive ï¼ 50%\\nKp Range ï¼ 3-5\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-30T11:59Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-31T03:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 25.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-26.30\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"41.32\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \":Issued: 2024 Jan 30 1240 UTC\\n\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #\\n# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\nSIDC URSIGRAM 40130\\nSIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 30 Jan 2024, 1239UT\\nSIDC FORECAST\\n\\nCoronal mass ejections: No new Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph imagery. The CME reported yesterday seen in the LASCO/C2 coronagraph imagery at 04:24 UTC on January\\n29 is expected to miss Earth but a shock could be expected at Earth early on January 31.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-31T00:39Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-31T14:17Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-15.02\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"28.65\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"**************************************************************************************\\n% Compiled module: EAM\\n**************************************************************************************\\nMost pr. speed = 1278.0 km/sec\\nThe EAM version you are running is: v3\\nUtilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]\\nu_r =      739.554\\nAcceleration:     -0.354928\\nDuration in seconds:        207579.73\\nDuration in days:        2.4025432\\n**************************************************************************************\\nAcceleration of the CME:  -0.35 m/s^2\\nVelocity of the CME at 1 AU:  665.9 km/s\\nExpected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 31/01/2024 Time: 14:17 UT\\n**************************************************************************************\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-31T15:40Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-31T03:34Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 38.3333,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.42857,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.42857,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-25.73\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"13.63\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-01-24T01:36:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-01-24T01:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-28T03:42Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Visible in the SW of SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The source may be an eruption from AR 3561 (approx. S17W45) best seen as brightening and moving field lines in SDO AIA 193. Candidate associated flare is an M2.6 class flare peaking at 2024-01-24T01:40Z as seen in SDO AIA 131. Opening field lines are also visible in SDO AIA 171. It is also observed in STEREO A EUV imagery. A wider shock appears to be visible in the coronagraph imagery ahead of the bulk of the CME. The start of the possible arrival signature for this CME is approximate. The signature is characterized by gradual increase in B total to 12nT, accompanied by rotation of all 3 magnetic field components and a drop in temperature. A drop in density happens closer to 2024-01-24T12Z. Alternatively, this signature could be the late arrival (glancing blow) of 2024-01-23T17:36Z CME and/or a minor coronal hole high speed stream.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-24T15:13Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-28T02:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 20.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-1.70\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"84.48\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \":Issued: 2024 Jan 24 1220 UTC\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\nA partial halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) was observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 coronagraph images today 01:36 UTC. It is associated with an M2 flare that took place at solar S16W48 and has small chance of directly affecting Earth's environment. However, a glancing blow from this CME is to be expected in the first half of Jan 28.\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #\\n# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #\\n#                                                                    #\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-24T18:43Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-28T02:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 20.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-1.70\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"80.98\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-01-23T17:36:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-01-23T17:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-28T03:42Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"CME seen to the SW in all coronagraphs. Source is very likely an M4.3 class flare from AR 3561 (S17W39) which peaked at 2024-01-23T16:40Z, best seen in SDO AIA 131. Also observed as opening field lines and a small dimming region in SDO AIA 171/193/211, and some filament material erupting in SDO AIA 304. Potential CME arrival signature is characterized by an amplification of magnetic field components, with Btotal reaching 12nT at 2024-01-28T09:34Z and by rotation of two magnetic field components. Closer to 10Z there is rotation of all three magnetic field components and a drop in density. However, this arrival signature is also characterised by a slow increase in solar wind speed from ~350 km/s to just under 490 km/s around 2024-01-29T03Z, accompanied by minor increase in temperature, possibly indicating an admixture of a brief coronal hole high speed stream. Alternative CME candidate could be 2024-01-24T01:36Z CME.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-24T14:06Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-27T08:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 2.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-19.70\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"85.60\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (STEREO A, OSIRIS-APEX, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-01-24T14:06:06Z\\n## Message ID: 20240124-AL-003\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-01-23T17:36Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~562 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 40 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 40/-33 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-01-23T17:36:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect STEREO A and OSIRIS-APEX (glancing blow). The leading edge or flank of the CME will reach STEREO A at 2024-01-27T06:38Z and OSIRIS-APEX at 2024-01-25T16:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may have a glancing blow at NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the flank of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-01-27T08:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 2-3 (below minor).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-01-23T17:36:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240123_234700_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240123_234700_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240123_234700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240123_234700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240123_234700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240123_234700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240123_234700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThis CME event (2024-01-23T17:36:00-CME-001) is associated with M4.3 flare with ID 2024-01-23T16:36:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-01-23T16:40Z from Active Region 13561 (S17W39).\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Anemomilos\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-24T18:07Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-26T09:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : -191,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : \"2024-01-26T17:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-42.70\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"81.58\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Notice = ADVISORY, Issued = 2024-01-25_17:00, Mins_Elaps = 29, PredictStart = 2024-01-26_09:00, PredictPeak = 2024-01-26_17:00, EL = 60, GX = G3, DST = -191, Pr = 3, Sr = NN, Velocity = 750, streamB_status = ME, issue_time_tag = 2024-01-25_17:29, CID = C040\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-25T17:50Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-26T20:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.5,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-31.20\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"57.87\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-01-22T10:48:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-01-22T10:48Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-25T05:35Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"[PRELIMINARY] Wide CME with distinctive bright core (likely h-alpha emission) seen to the S/SE in SOHO LASCO C2, C3, and after a data gap in STEREO A COR2 imagery. This CME is associated with a large filament eruption stretching from ~S45E10 to ~S20W20, centered around S35W10. The source eruption is best seen in SDO/AIA 304 starting around 2024-01-22T08:30Z. Associated dimming (SDO/AIA 193), brightening (SDO/AIA 304), and post-eruptive arcades (SDO/AIA 193, 171, and 211) are visible. The filament appears to deflect southward as it erupts. Possible arrival signature: a change in the solar wind pattern, with B total sharply increasing from under 3 nT to over 6nT, followed by another jump to just above 10nT around 14Z. There is also rotation of two magnetic field components, that after 14Z potentially resembles signature of a glancing blow/arrival of a flux rope.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-22T17:54Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-25T13:59Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"8.40\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"59.68\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (STEREO A, Psyche, Solar Orbiter, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-01-22T17:54:51Z\\n## Message ID: 20240122-AL-004\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nC-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-01-22T10:48Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~746 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 42 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): 16/-38 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-01-22T10:48:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect STEREO A, Psyche (glancing blow), and Solar Orbiter (glancing blow).  The leading edge or flank of the CME will reach STEREO A at 2024-01-25T10:53Z, Psyche at 2024-01-28T00:00Z, and Solar Orbiter at 2024-01-25T18:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-01-25T13:59Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 3-5 (below minor to minor).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-01-22T10:48:00-CME-001):\\n\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240122_152700_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240122_152700_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240122_152700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240122_152700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240122_152700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240122_152700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240122_152700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-22T18:13Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-25T01:21Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 6.02,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 8.75,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-4.23\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"59.37\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/01/22 10:45Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 17:40Z; 31.5Rsun; SSW Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 00:20Z; 31.5Rsun; NNE Direction\\nPOS Difference: 6:40\\nPOS Midpoint: 21:00Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 10:15\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~6.11\\nTravel Time: ~6.11 * 10:15 = 62:36\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-01-25T01:21Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time: 5%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 2/5\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"sunRunner1D\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-22T19:15Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-24T23:40Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 50.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-5.92\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"58.33\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Using a recurrence approach to set the ambient upwind solar wind values. Ad hoc at the moment, but values numerically iterated on: \\n\\nV_amb:  336.0771\\nn_amb:  4.024259\\nBp_amb:  3.57386\\nT_amb:  28368.85\\n\\nLikely values based on approximate CR-look-back: \\n\\nV_amb:  300 - 400\\nn_amb:  2- 5\\nBtot_amb:  4\\nT_amb:  2-5E4\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-22T19:25Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-25T00:58Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-4.62\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"58.17\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-01-22 15:27\\nÃ¢ÂÂ- Time at C2: 2024-01-22 10:48\\nÃ¢ÂÂ- Radial speed: 746.0 km/s\\nÃ¢ÂÂ- Half angle: 42 deg\\nÃ¢ÂÂ- Eruption location: S38W16\\nÃ¢ÂÂInferences:\\nÃ¢ÂÂÃ¢ÂÂ - No flare association was found\\nÃ¢ÂÂPredictions for Earth:\\nÃ¢ÂÂÃ¢ÂÂ - In-situ shock speed: 629.80 km/s\\nÃ¢ÂÂÃ¢ÂÂ - Shock arrival time: 2024-01-25 00:58 (i.e. predicted transit time: 62.18 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Other (SIDC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-23T16:30Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-25T17:20Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 70.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"11.75\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"37.08\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \":Issued: 2024 Jan 23 1552 UTC\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\nA partial halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) can be seen in LASCO-C2/SOHO images starting from yesterday 10:36 UTC. It is associated with a filament eruption close to the solar meridian and is likely to be geo-effective. It is estimated to arrive at the second half of 25 Jan.\\n...\\n#--------------------------------------------------------------------#\\n# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #\\n# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #\\n#                                                                    #\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-24T05:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-26T00:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 40.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"18.42\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"24.58\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-01-22T15:59Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 620\\nLongitude (deg): 19W\\nLatitude (deg): 35S\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 39\\n\\nNotes: \\nSpace weather advisor: Rebecca Spalton\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-25T02:08Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-25T09:33Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 53.3333,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.25,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"3.97\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"3.45\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-01-21T00:36:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-01-21T00:36Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-22T16:01Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Partial halo CME seen to the E/NE in SOHO LASCO C2, C3, and after a data gap in STEREO A COR2 imagery. This CME overlaps partially with the faint CME seen to the E/SE starting at 2024-01-20T23:12Z. The source of this CME is a large filament eruption and associated flaring seen in AR13559. The filament sat along the lower boundary of this active region, stretching from ~N20E32 to N25E50 and is centered around N20E41. | [PRELIMINARY] CME Arrival Note: potential combined arrival of the CME seen at 2024-01-20T09:24Z and this CME beginning around 16:00Z with B_total increase to ~14 nT. This arrival appears to be followed by a solar sector boundary crossing starting around 2024-01-23T19:30Z.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-21T16:47Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-23T20:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"27.98\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"23.23\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )\\n## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Juno, Solar Orbiter, Psyche, STEREO A, Missions Near Earth)\\n##\\n## Message Issue Date: 2024-01-21T16:47:59Z\\n## Message ID: 20240121-AL-001\\n##\\n## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\\n\\n\\n## Summary:\\n\\nO-type CME detected by STEREO A / SOHO. \\n\\nStart time of the event: 2024-01-21T00:36Z.\\n\\nEstimated speed: ~1057 km/s.\\n\\nEstimated opening half-angle: 32 deg.\\n\\nDirection (lon./lat.): -41/4 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.\\n\\nActivity ID: 2024-01-21T00:36:00-CME-001\\n\\nBased on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Juno (glancing blow), Solar Orbiter, Psyche (glancing blow), and STEREO A (glancing blow).  The leading edge or flank of the CME will reach Juno at 2024-02-07T00:00Z, Solar Orbiter at 2024-01-23T03:16Z, Psyche at 2024-01-25T01:00Z, and STEREO A at 2024-01-23T23:30Z (plus minus 7 hours). \\n\\nThe simulation also indicates that the CME may have a glancing blow at NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the flank of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2024-01-23T20:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 3-4 (below minor).\\n   \\n  \\nLinks to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2024-01-21T00:36:00-CME-001):\\n\\n(a) 2 AU outer boundary\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240121_034900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240121_034900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240121_034900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240121_034900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240121_034900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240121_034900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240121_034900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240121_034900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\\n\\n(b) 5.5 AU outer boundary\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240121_034900_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240121_034900_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nhttp://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240121_034900_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Juno_timeline.gif\\n\\n\\n## Notes: \\n\\nThis CME event (2024-01-21T00:36:00-CME-001) is associated with C4.0 flare from AR13559 (N20E41) with ID 2024-01-21T00:03:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-01-21T00:27Z and possibly the C5.3 flare from AR13559 (N28E42) with ID 2024-01-21T00:35:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2024-01-21T00:41Z.\\n\\n\\nSCORE CME typification system:\\nS-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s\\nC-type: Common 500-999 km/s\\nO-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s\\nR-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s\\nER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s\\n\\n\\nCommunity Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information (CCMC DONKI) Disclaimer\\n\\nData and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI is provided \\\"as is\\\" without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and/or compiled by CCMC DONKI, and distributes it \\\"as is\\\".\\n\\nUse of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information stored within the CCMC DONKI does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.\\n\\nThe terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.\\n\\nNOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This \\\"Experimental Research Information\\\" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-21T17:04Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-22T12:56Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-3.08\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"22.95\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/28673/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-01-20T09:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-18.0, Lat.=-22.0, Speed=978.0, HalfAngle=47.0, Time21.5=2024-01-20T12:49Z\\n2024-01-21T00:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-41.0, Lat.=4.0, Speed=1057.0, HalfAngle=32.0, Time21.5=2024-01-21T03:49Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-01-22T12:56Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =29.4 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.3\\n(kp)90=5\\n(kp)180=7\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nPsyche with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-01-23T19:35Z\\nSolar Orbiter with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-01-22T12:56Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-01-22T10:57Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124901_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"SARM\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-21T17:31Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-23T05:59Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"13.97\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"22.50\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-01-21 03:40\\nâ- Time at C2: 2024-01-21 00:36\\nâ- Radial speed: 1068.0 km/s\\nâ- Half angle: 45 deg\\nâ- Eruption location: S03E33\\nâInferences:\\nââ - No flare association was found\\nâPredictions for Earth:\\nââ - In-situ shock speed: 726.40 km/s\\nââ - Shock arrival time: 2024-01-23 05:59 (i.e. predicted transit time: 53.40 hours)\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-21T18:22Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-23T22:11Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 10.72,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 10.76,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"30.17\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"21.65\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/01/21 00:30Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 06:20Z; 31.5Rsun; ENE Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 15:10Z; 31.5Rsun; WSW Direction\\nPOS Difference: 8:50\\nPOS Midpoint: 10:45Z\\nTOL/Midpoint Difference: 10:15\\n\\nNumeric View/Impact Type: 2\\nPOS Difference Resulted Value: ~6.8\\nTravel Time: ~6.8 * 10:15 = 69:41\\n\\nPredicted L1 Arrival: 2024-01-23T22:11Z\\n\\nError Parameters:\\n - POS Difference: 1 Hour\\n - Travel Time: 5%\\n\\nNotes:\\nCoronagraph Imagery Quality: 3/5\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-21T22:10Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-23T13:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 4.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"20.98\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"17.85\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nBoM ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nGrid: 256x30x90\\nResolution: low\\nAmbient settings: \\nEjecta settings: \\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: \\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 2024-01-21T03:57Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 1012\\nLongitude (deg): -4\\nLatitude (deg): -37\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 48\\n\\nNotes:\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-22T01:50Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-23T20:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 50.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"27.98\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"14.18\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"predicted CME shock arrival time: 2024-01-23T20:00Z\\nConfidence that the CME will arrive: 50%\\nKp Range: 3-5\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"Average of all Methods\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-23T21:47Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-23T11:41Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 50.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 3.8,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 5.4,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"19.67\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"-29.77\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME\"\n",
      "  } ]\n",
      "}, {\n",
      "  \"cmeID\" : \"2024-01-20T09:24:00-CME-001\",\n",
      "  \"observedTime\" : \"2024-01-20T09:24Z\",\n",
      "  \"noArrivalObserved\" : false,\n",
      "  \"arrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-22T16:01Z\",\n",
      "  \"maxKP\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMin\" : null,\n",
      "  \"dstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "  \"cmeNote\" : \"Partial halo CME seen to the south/southeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. Source is a filament eruption on the Earth-facing disk stretching from S15E00 to S15E35, with liftoff starting around 2024-01-20T08:27Z. This CME overlaps with another filament eruption on the NE limb which resulted in CME:2024-01-20T09:36Z. | [PRELIMINARY] CME Arrival Note: potential combined arrival of this CME and the CME seen at 2024-01-21T00:36Z beginning around 16:00Z with B_total increase to ~14 nT. This arrival appears to be followed by a solar sector boundary crossing starting around 2024-01-23T19:30Z.\",\n",
      "  \"predictions\" : [ {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-20T16:38Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-22T13:19Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-2.70\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"47.38\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/28654/1\\nModel Inputs:\\n2024-01-20T09:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-18.0, Lat.=-22.0, Speed=978.0, HalfAngle=47.0, Time21.5=2024-01-20T12:49Z\\n\\nModel Output:\\n\\nEarth Impact:\\nEarth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-01-22T13:19Z (+- 7 hours)\\nDuration of disturbance (hr) =24.8 (+- 8 hours)\\nMinimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.3\\n(kp)90=5\\n(kp)180=7\\n\\nOther Location(s) Impact:\\nPsyche with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-01-23T19:20Z\\nSolar Orbiter with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-01-22T12:09Z\\nSTEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-01-22T11:24Z\\n\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif\\nInner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif\\nTimelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240120_124900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-20T17:16Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-22T08:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : null,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 6.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-8.02\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"46.75\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Please enter the following information for your prediction:\\nSWPC ENLIL settings: \\nENLIL version: 2.9e\\nResolution: medium\\nAmbient settings: a8b1\\nEjecta settings: d4t1x1\\nWSA version: 2.2\\nGONG: mrbqs\\n\\nCME input parameters\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary:\\nRadial velocity (km/s):\\nLongitude (deg):\\nLatitude (deg):\\nHalf-angular width (deg):\\n\\nNotes:\\n\\nProduct: Forecast Discussion\\nIssued: 2024 Jan 21 0030 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nSolar Activity\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\n\\n...A complex filament eruption centered near S15E22 began at around 20/0848\\nUTC, as seen in SDO 304 imagery. The subsequent CME, first visible in\\nLASCO C2 imagery at 20/0912 UTC, appeared to have three fronts; to the\\neast, southeast, and south-southwest. Early analysis suggests a portion\\nof this CME will arrive late in the UTC day on 22 Jan. Further analysis\\nis in progress.\\n\\n\\nProduct: Forecast Discussion\\nIssued: 2024 Jan 21 1230 UTC\\nPrepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction\\nCenter\\n\\nSolar Activity\\n\\n.24 hr Summary...\\n...A complex filament eruption centered near S15E22 began at around 20/0848\\nUTC, as seen in SDO 304 imagery. The subsequent CME, first visible in\\nLASCO C2 imagery at 20/0912 UTC, appeared to have three fronts; to the\\neast, southeast, and south-southwest. Analysis and modeling of the event\\nsuggested CME passage at Earth over 22-23 Jan.\\n\\nProduct: Forecast Discussion\\nIssued: 2024 Jan 22 0030 UTC\\n\\n.Forecast...\\nPeriods of G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are likely late on\\n22 Jan and early on 23 Jan due to the anticipated passage of a CME from\\n20 Jan.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-20T17:24Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-23T06:00Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 9.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : 70.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : 5.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : 7.0,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"13.98\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"46.62\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Met Office ENLIL settings.\\nENLIL version: 2.7\\nResolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)\\nAmbient settings: a3b2-sa1\\nWSA version: 4.5\\nGONG: mrzqs\\nNote that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.\\n\\nPlease specify following CME input parameters.\\nTime at 21.5Rs boundary: 20/1428Z\\nRadial velocity (km/s): 665\\nLongitude (deg): 33E\\nLatitude (deg): 7S\\nHalf-angular width (deg): 57\\n\\nNotes: Mainly using LASCO due to limited STERO-A imagery\\nSpace weather advisor: RSt\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"sunRunner1D\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-20T18:49Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-22T05:45Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 12.0,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"-10.27\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"45.20\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Using 978 km/s for initial speed of ejecta, but only generic values of ambient solar wind and other ICME properties are being used. This (like the previous prediction) is to test the forecast pipeline. It is likely that the ToA is biased towards an earlier time.\"\n",
      "  }, {\n",
      "    \"predictedMethodName\" : \"CMEFM v.0.1\",\n",
      "    \"submissionTime\" : \"2024-01-20T19:08Z\",\n",
      "    \"predictedArrivalTime\" : \"2024-01-22T18:22Z\",\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyMinusInHrs\" : 3.54,\n",
      "    \"uncertaintyPlusInHrs\" : 4.61,\n",
      "    \"confidenceInPercentage\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpLowerRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedMaxKpUpperRange\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMin\" : null,\n",
      "    \"predictedDstMinTime\" : null,\n",
      "    \"differenceInHrs\" : \"2.35\",\n",
      "    \"leadTimeInHrs\" : \"44.88\",\n",
      "    \"predictionNote\" : \"Time of Launch: 2024/01/20 09:00Z\\nPlane of Sky 1: 15:30Z; 31.5Rsun; E Direction\\nPlane of Sky 2: 19:40Z; 31.5Rsun; W Direction\\nPOS Differ"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      " 14 4379k   14  631k    0     0   128k      0  0:00:33  0:00:04  0:00:29  128k"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "\n",
    "#!curl https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/WS/get/predictions?CMEID=2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001\n",
    "\n",
    "# 2023-04-21T18:12:00-CME-001\n",
    "\n",
    "\n",
    "#direct access to specific event\n",
    "\n",
    "#os.system('curl https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/WS/get/predictions?CMEID=2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001')\n",
    "\n",
    "#time restriction\n",
    "os.system('curl https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/WS/get/predictions ?CMEtimeStart=2024-03-23&CMEtimeEnd=2024-03-26')\n",
    "\n",
    "#model selection\n",
    "#os.system('curl https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/WS/get/predictions?CMEID=2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001&method=CMEFM%20v.0.1')\n",
    "\n",
    "#os.system('curl https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/WS/get/predictions?CMEID=2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001&method=ELEvo')\n",
    "\n",
    "\n",
    "#os.system('curl https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/WS/get/predictions?CMEID=2024-03-23T01:48:00-CME-001')\n"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 16,
   "id": "fc07be86-b4de-4bfc-9747-7200fe43f077",
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "  % Total    % Received % Xferd  Average Speed   Time    Time     Time  Current\n",
      "                                 Dload  Upload   Total   Spent    Left  Speed\n",
      "  0 4379k    0  8184    0     0   1935      0  0:38:37  0:00:04  0:38:33  1935"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
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      "2013-04-13T22:12Z 2013-04-13T10:33Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-16T20:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T01:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-18T13:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-16T16:59Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T00:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T00:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T09:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T10:46Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T15:00Z\n",
      "2013-03-17T05:28Z 2013-03-17T06:51Z\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "100 4379k  100 4379k    0     0   854k      0  0:00:05  0:00:05 --:--:--  897k\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "import os\n",
    "import json\n",
    "os.system('curl https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/WS/get/predictions > ATSB.json')\n",
    "f = open('ATSB.json')\n",
    "data = json.load(f)\n",
    "for entry in data:\n",
    "    for pred in entry['predictions']:\n",
    "        print (entry['arrivalTime'], pred['predictedArrivalTime'])\n",
    "\n"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": null,
   "id": "2e62a953-2062-4357-bf5d-063116e447dd",
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": []
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": null,
   "id": "e8ef51ba-b736-43a0-bd8c-2babf2f6b4ac",
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": []
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": null,
   "id": "1db0f1a0-64f0-45e1-bd1b-f2c40e89b9cf",
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": []
  }
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