ECU_2020-03-13_2020-08-15_g36412_c1050_rd68_ra0.csv

Model parameters used:
country, #general beds, #critical beds, controls start, controls end, R reduction during intervention, R reduction after intervention
Ecuador,36412,1050,2020-03-13,2020-08-15,67.57062146892655%,0%

Model output:
date,est. current infections,est. deaths,est. hospital bed usage,est. critical bed usage
2020-03-04,0,0,0,0
2020-03-05,0.3040140393573347,9.840872273863307e-9,0.00012090277349277088,0.000007909666313994643
2020-03-06,0.7995006791839039,4.567969032045886e-7,0.0013743723442954693,0.00009213760622108372
2020-03-07,1.2330051652377843,0.0000035658569841833554,0.0050048953326715506,0.000355879403357894
2020-03-08,1.5900633718495347,0.000013645422452209691,0.011563987911783133,0.0009060910119550298
2020-03-09,1.9207598406544082,0.00003653312460218495,0.0210338089474523,0.0018737645336305304
2020-03-10,2.2761153420981115,0.00007966416976574702,0.03317107988506294,0.003421097519005908
2020-03-11,2.694901553213277,0.00015228025116418035,0.04774828302537459,0.005727622474159755
2020-03-12,3.207340718331495,0.0002651756003293228,0.06466592070173985,0.008970389671712287
2020-03-13,3.841520297827108,0.0004299914072607788,0.08398728132000012,0.013311219920018753
2020-03-14,4.628456034269191,0.0006584284498458851,0.1059436200549211,0.018895843206081703
2020-03-15,5.605611249395927,0.000961738675463402,0.13093689299794556,0.025863897518057337
2020-03-16,6.820585797073071,0.0013507090511284802,0.15955202647991434,0.034366449694814886
2020-03-17,8.337287672153993,0.001836173724645872,0.19258522901294067,0.04458859573106801
2020-03-18,10.232614090277611,0.0024299965977878125,0.2310931181218754,0.05677637000996137
2020-03-19,12.595019954365183,0.003146455504705799,0.27644483023186145,0.07126185991586435
2020-03-20,15.536191234836812,0.004003818866894836,0.3303742578998918,0.0884856162908238
2020-03-21,19.18798226094821,0.005025985079292316,0.3950505399869511,0.10902194890300072
2020-03-22,23.705448061890586,0.006244202234812445,0.4731557972951283,0.13360447405396292
2020-03-23,29.274805776656002,0.007698853503194235,0.5679706464181312,0.16315261888800256
2020-03-24,36.152900935105684,0.009441312302223087,0.68348645932587,0.198804966812171
2020-03-25,44.43124597657241,0.011536089392870867,0.8245885137942278,0.24197244311244567
2020-03-26,53.58675109062088,0.014063104095197912,0.9965616153773756,0.2941990707462533
2020-03-27,64.04247510299061,0.017114397641216486,1.2038659438657355,0.35681431921148776
2020-03-28,77.52996091195175,0.020784875123273622,1.451498554495737,0.4313168813566026
2020-03-29,95.15113976954854,0.025178095901513306,1.7482289370383726,0.5202917334692829
2020-03-30,117.75216694125231,0.030433006782947414,2.107614064009416,0.6277041169700528
2020-03-31,146.54041462812157,0.03674963704199835,2.547964432484164,0.7589012839053636
2020-04-01,182.79198168733026,0.04440604287458216,3.0927220617566755,0.920733377617158
2020-04-02,228.21884662172496,0.05377163411947261,3.770878236611585,1.1216870955424592
2020-04-03,284.9613191369128,0.06531953648711225,4.617964145145981,1.3721826344493218
2020-04-04,355.57941507818725,0.07964232949526862,5.67744089004968,1.684985583397634
2020-04-05,443.2016354066615,0.09747345348080416,7.002353594002089,2.075696628096611
2020-04-06,551.9577353780695,0.11971429810563083,8.657388961649369,2.5633594814227636
2020-04-07,688.5324724887558,0.1474691823777079,10.722516878874831,3.171522091195559
2020-04-08,860.5994939026198,0.18209981896600635,13.300245764666208,3.930329054405043
2020-04-09,1073.700152676805,0.2253155023116311,16.520663095534882,4.878006569579614
2020-04-10,1337.3152474960582,0.2792666628375382,20.541675925845652,6.061007596541297
2020-04-11,1664.0268758962843,0.3466155127917314,25.555244061251347,7.535858063331446
2020-04-12,2068.527012894323,0.43063130941643246,31.798317131290975,9.372345890837659
2020-04-13,2560.7211801288136,0.5353357140041273,39.559909486291225,11.655644970897672
2020-04-14,3156.161302437615,0.6656426888743407,49.179009981736115,14.48587075404754
2020-04-15,3870.440101781688,0.8274445898793519,61.04796160803104,17.979184180292474
2020-04-16,4700.100900191397,1.0276886859750176,75.6173040605534,22.26930970834904
2020-04-17,5536.726906218645,1.2744106583146584,93.31792268099596,27.485684048992496
2020-04-18,6320.3562016074475,1.575991736129601,114.3369021220032,33.69005221564245
2020-04-19,7069.008052579766,1.9391239856507134,138.56727859514973,40.86163307409933
2020-04-20,7822.62689415322,2.367179714818443,165.74678640181526,48.93532015337707
2020-04-21,8627.061491646062,2.8602174098619138,195.6123043531733,57.84447019874393
2020-04-22,9516.95084005948,3.4162149022577832,228.0155533092507,67.55321209476756
2020-04-23,10476.622851560294,4.032753046584933,262.95413801703126,78.06535797474002
2020-04-24,11500.544630969815,4.708273059708009,300.5005666345187,89.40481064670098
2020-04-25,12582.58258145055,5.442386149305278,340.7555434365707,101.60284678974243
2020-04-26,13739.277203535343,6.235679189542942,383.8284801835506,114.69297041180435
2020-04-27,14997.687785632315,7.0894670202100585,429.8663928105928,128.7193259289461
2020-04-28,16381.457372992403,8.005852762787185,479.09889249857355,143.7496481986821
2020-04-29,17867.876689019584,8.988098378734222,531.8419469766584,159.87662912126103
2020-04-30,19433.842506789533,10.040819242225822,588.4137436264557,177.19443917302144
2020-05-01,21073.1509947557,11.16949764452275,649.072796895572,195.7813546150288
2020-05-02,22790.082238895004,12.379706025180283,714.0156249651445,215.6989960874545
2020-05-03,24581.9013232741,13.676585407194025,783.3969176732171,236.9978005412037
2020-05-04,26451.462537091676,15.06465248709955,857.3363503444466,259.71869661390673
2020-05-05,28404.530050043504,16.547754781930195,935.9334467386764,283.8970827689382
2020-05-06,30431.911517543092,18.12916113668939,1019.2829171751081,309.56699960564856
2020-05-07,32485.271736241015,19.81170631526325,1107.4411536183536,336.75153892366745
2020-05-08,34535.41062766839,21.597573864259118,1200.3399760035281,365.4382654465764
2020-05-09,36565.06304332611,23.487552303324662,1297.7633803175204,395.5722838966186
2020-05-10,38547.009369170715,25.480367488578906,1399.362891868224,427.0600967936888
2020-05-11,40426.09180307608,27.57234338637545,1504.647863659958,459.7663318898492
2020-05-12,42141.18794321176,29.757073609478596,1612.923284609678,493.4955632581392
2020-05-13,43705.19031736028,32.02475546447204,1723.2656304669756,527.9847923760793
2020-05-14,45161.34701537551,34.36171215875112,1834.6622465968744,562.9422522386762
2020-05-15,46501.7464636869,36.751150295178604,1946.1600802071282,598.0891882533481
2020-05-16,47695.140928965615,39.17470789476596,2056.8646829789145,633.1596671014646
2020-05-17,48721.22376297468,41.61346695546098,2165.8859375526445,667.8855374358799
2020-05-18,49545.71750317649,44.048209077224556,2272.3155095233233,701.9904061208123
2020-05-19,50111.29843115355,46.45934121517348,2375.175022018859,735.1752154463509
2020-05-20,50445.48151059123,48.826418628312354,2473.368835625079,767.1049424640668
2020-05-21,50615.77458349824,51.12764510664363,2565.825368940218,797.4487023192492
2020-05-22,50634.44808133149,53.34063123540477,2651.6610201160834,825.92651189402
2020-05-23,50507.78825477855,55.4440487381014,2730.186969348518,852.3118587481587
2020-05-24,50240.823282216814,57.418806962037024,2800.8788285260025,876.4239575582642
2020-05-25,49834.79287292439,59.24856487357931,2863.350822024533,898.1213160271714
2020-05-26,49272.0904805506,60.91982820553403,2917.31424356901,917.2907252934399
2020-05-27,48589.737370044546,62.421655711374456,2962.530982976763,933.8346491752527
2020-05-28,47860.07848812245,63.74522285776857,2998.892815806412,947.6942028938846
2020-05-29,47121.25015208708,64.88415904068279,3026.5350098387576,958.8819540691525
2020-05-30,46386.637644600945,65.83557327061772,3045.838859429259,967.4833353940543
2020-05-31,45662.22922065614,66.60074196351707,3057.3661474061155,973.6387686036076
2020-06-01,44933.03561089566,67.18501745773119,3061.7860711599888,977.5234985671095
2020-06-02,44170.43958615046,67.5971677451148,3059.7740529371067,979.319123772432
2020-06-03,43397.00920477293,67.84813949367094,3051.932749966408,979.1910417308118
2020-06-04,42666.828656138794,67.9497506108089,3038.8508965398337,977.304824757685
2020-06-05,41990.34123365718,67.91431147599087,3021.1967169012864,973.8524103762891
2020-06-06,41357.8929967133,67.75502075691224,2999.6955680291067,969.0454509127923
2020-06-07,40757.01794161033,67.48607079630779,2975.0624592318486,963.0958543745089
2020-06-08,40174.19052764932,67.12219573343327,2947.9511591282817,956.2009533623554
2020-06-09,39582.940805981,66.67796838425784,2918.9111489611323,948.5307510161842
2020-06-10,38995.706840237784,66.16699197620392,2888.3569176952346,940.2185246679549
2020-06-11,38420.979424408,65.60122075781919,2856.6184278887763,931.3745059624935
2020-06-12,37863.639883724165,64.99088088308099,2823.981078509608,922.096647685371
2020-06-13,37318.74178921712,64.34473992960329,2790.699327854305,912.4740384260549
2020-06-14,36784.574515251144,63.670382680153125,2756.989915889499,902.5846358547267
2020-06-15,36251.504428829816,62.97435125897573,2723.030647188004,892.4946764608674
2020-06-16,35696.844997243534,62.262200588540054,2688.9401619701516,882.2527001447903
2020-06-17,35126.617597676784,61.538357754659955,2654.7483925626366,871.8808984126708
2020-06-18,34580.31684826863,60.80587470677119,2620.4482276791546,861.3896467792996
2020-06-19,34069.25008361013,60.06669431671389,2586.0884861852833,850.803969558567
2020-06-20,33593.824735854534,59.32247867777187,2551.7848824244684,840.1668029405392
2020-06-21,33147.936536849724,58.57524378663766,2517.69369893672,829.531750494726
2020-06-22,32716.634380682743,57.82755436700927,2483.975986737439,818.9531378850043
2020-06-23,32275.856734521483,57.08234311720889,2450.752354751409,808.4732762169234
2020-06-24,31817.792614800575,56.34242319553914,2418.0567580634543,798.1092666502788
2020-06-25,31383.040804776785,55.60985474835934,2385.861560592187,787.8600286528643
2020-06-26,30981.39724225151,54.88580059742435,2354.17887741393,777.7351575926515
2020-06-27,30603.796846151807,54.171131446736126,2323.0724677002486,767.7583605619
2020-06-28,30244.445299490624,53.46692188190082,2292.6204207832848,757.9569303507724
2020-06-29,29895.099985738714,52.774497930302914,2262.8907938900156,748.3549165171552
2020-06-30,29544.327004329596,52.0952571548828,2233.9233936113933,738.9679819575315
2020-07-01,29184.00538889832,51.43039889186002,2205.7064179988506,729.7966963190468
2020-07-02,28859.99364416798,50.780587161812036,2178.1973579194578,720.8324246122933
2020-07-03,28572.066163606396,50.145986734003145,2151.4185919959086,712.0846592952906
2020-07-04,28317.391644296164,49.52690527311461,2125.4463646278887,703.5779753120061
2020-07-05,28087.296755873984,48.92417398997304,2100.3798130037026,695.3433521439864
2020-07-06,27874.80721710719,48.33913259212204,2076.3085041704294,687.4090312215551
2020-07-07,27670.31843348485,47.77336740679175,2053.2985095185604,679.7965914025194
2020-07-08,27437.859495271117,47.22840962022565,2031.3584846281256,672.511188459713
2020-07-09,27212.572341567447,46.705244191691236,2010.4046200695432,665.5313347736683
2020-07-10,27002.777969112583,46.20386938611591,1990.355838030094,658.8359617534242
2020-07-11,26804.00390848916,45.72363973634947,1971.161012874533,652.412107768688
2020-07-12,26610.744123335728,45.2637249341733,1952.7809453182958,646.2497638882803
2020-07-13,26425.423035068656,44.82327334589536,1935.1736649979357,640.3377163571147
2020-07-14,26245.726889467798,44.401415201770305,1918.3043612568456,634.6664537348476
2020-07-15,26034.73410073128,43.997310334863414,1902.120619843255,629.2211126161748
2020-07-16,25829.183376509085,43.609938751925256,1886.5053934436087,623.9679587205683
2020-07-17,25641.164957581197,43.237762386895156,1871.3684893563568,618.8805716651898
2020-07-18,25463.832370528035,42.87909843816942,1856.6725786285747,613.9473387303382
2020-07-19,25289.10401929698,42.53257056942539,1842.4019669323338,609.1626235156593
2020-07-20,25123.814341866768,42.197171903850176,1828.5390333015032,604.5201330847556
2020-07-21,24975.239856090113,41.87214437419652,1815.0842761084555,600.0187667277054
2020-07-22,24802.565688077848,41.557027959590414,1802.0469917011114,595.6600220209942
2020-07-23,24614.58329988931,41.25153911833786,1789.369298147944,591.4261859111562
2020-07-24,24423.93981207842,40.9550360132489,1776.961801108671,587.2904740899975
2020-07-25,24233.681166695325,40.66640132595876,1764.7471338733583,583.2294216313458
2020-07-26,24041.370265799025,40.38429669890047,1752.6665150983574,579.2247281040306
2020-07-27,23852.299974093177,40.10738762661549,1740.671893098292,575.2610248652958
2020-07-28,23668.292937405,39.83444783920095,1728.7388671747551,571.3296462359195
2020-07-29,23454.39961119642,39.564499860765864,1716.8459512704626,567.4227453483777
2020-07-30,23239.194844120015,39.29668809389386,1704.9199068486519,563.5175954239961
2020-07-31,23037.546346302315,39.02991876042506,1692.9069991329727,559.5970312676073
2020-08-01,22850.99752343994,38.76308943542426,1680.8069281329972,555.6592240553205
2020-08-02,22675.1573304585,38.495507149175864,1668.658631781271,551.7137169039639
2020-08-03,22502.417647567512,38.227050920210786,1656.5146523150986,547.7741934514601
2020-08-04,22322.65145553042,37.95806411781268,1644.4145421359963,543.8509156310934
2020-08-05,22133.909273474335,37.6890722316748,1632.3652605567809,539.9450802616655
2020-08-06,21938.141334765656,37.42045811121989,1620.3468491687536,536.0503654176485
2020-08-07,21737.725570818664,37.15230123634774,1608.3266632191771,532.1569098029161
2020-08-08,21534.456980086816,36.88438073492034,1596.270955792634,528.2545485628743
2020-08-09,21329.458578257992,36.616278519031766,1584.1509338920646,524.3345006286102
2020-08-10,21123.349987400805,36.34749624585129,1571.9448781672797,520.3899622314418
2020-08-11,20916.460078732107,36.07752833009545,1559.6383178538192,516.416164458635
2020-08-12,20708.958189041496,35.80594758089501,1547.22264004317,512.4099993478924
2020-08-13,20500.952860918813,35.5324030406,1534.6939502476876,508.369719630256
2020-08-14,20292.525098445974,35.2566467008337,1522.0518082017543,504.2945995450952
2020-08-15,20083.747526777577,34.97851688603805,1509.2982708664726,500.1846802781888
2020-08-16,20283.82788937256,34.69794446052492,1496.5038958450014,496.059828517264
2020-08-17,22059.353291716838,34.41648233616979,1485.0810663409552,492.32751993584833
2020-08-18,25529.71652350717,34.14925917013079,1479.7003755764567,490.3395514778147
2020-08-19,30431.55846342331,33.94510833919048,1487.437354682936,492.1548881887742
2020-08-20,36610.88318055914,33.89329679017828,1516.1031308970012,500.0675787135626
2020-08-21,44098.35610414019,34.1149498993218,1573.3417370230331,516.352151312136
2020-08-22,53064.127494559994,34.750282893720396,1666.5000267133585,543.2277808439759
2020-08-23,63767.28970749464,35.94940402847806,1802.9141469451054,582.9402322683811
2020-08-24,76526.84793880659,37.868799981904885,1990.3380008389363,637.8844235315009
2020-08-25,91710.35627752918,40.672686305913885,2237.379276380933,710.7303897769987
2020-08-26,109731.50239667477,44.5375584501835,2553.900804441767,804.5414331977693
2020-08-27,131048.73599686431,49.65852483150138,2951.3817957125225,922.8834246315269
2020-08-28,156160.53517301433,67.616704053602,3443.24786717414,1058.6269316226421
2020-08-29,185596.23518279,134.8553387551092,4045.1727906402552,1169.6884320180802
2020-08-30,219898.28485783344,212.75783078599943,4775.339645346259,1254.3135500034784
2020-08-31,259594.9325694106,282.886788749659,5654.643517364842,1330.7138742800953
2020-09-01,305161.3479990302,352.4126162927523,6706.801623867971,1411.4411818206859
2020-09-02,356967.8317343582,428.8760933079029,7958.323618706063,1503.071703961578
2020-09-03,415215.58752638334,516.8361262893468,9438.280999455665,1609.2363111235043
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2020-09-06,626500.2466060808,874.3432755389749,15564.750610588191,2036.5997257883075
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2020-09-08,788895.9937907879,1206.2379581990645,21365.41492023608,2425.8338559587355
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2020-09-11,1027022.1951105217,1853.3124396492167,33059.282402588564,3164.416044636426
2020-09-12,1094360.5555312722,2154.693461307619,37687.15342423211,3442.325759022237
2020-09-13,1151148.8198480261,2684.393914806318,42353.962680433775,3728.282217750686
2020-09-14,1195102.4761993538,3416.2319805580228,46798.57014975679,4015.6449134023337
2020-09-15,1224501.593909291,4229.9813912743775,50889.10470771988,4296.755616069391
2020-09-16,1238325.7103667269,5036.676734093162,54577.721957413494,4563.32636262504
2020-09-17,1236318.3195136616,5787.223287222347,57848.844055128204,4806.934938522751
2020-09-18,1218975.6238880851,6457.014386593983,60690.26552183249,5019.577295069119
2020-09-19,1187467.1901345376,7033.042678777194,63083.402311705184,5194.2153587314715
2020-09-20,1143503.77226825,7506.972246184523,65004.38205466332,5325.254952626637
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2020-09-24,887016.8683480702,8286.652601255279,67617.04855598848,5367.433596304308
2020-09-25,813949.5232217129,8199.8270483862,67011.89008180636,5262.903502501177
2020-09-26,741210.5086029549,8009.807504139768,65956.7349570398,5120.240956035156
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2020-09-28,602259.6394521685,7362.395427704512,62702.67114181946,4744.5295927489
2020-09-29,538038.3065600295,6930.989595196021,60625.48139247568,4524.319782476979
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2020-10-01,422973.90790863585,5924.509307932196,55895.340629251165,4050.3306485411767
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2020-10-03,326980.00942906056,4819.636846894748,50806.87728080994,3567.2696018047877
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2020-10-07,188307.1759136331,2676.8411039221974,41081.460854981226,2693.1945160996283
2020-10-08,163102.67433209968,2229.259153557883,38886.873729024184,2506.118995673176
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2020-10-11,104968.12988193744,1313.0443886794965,32555.468181485387,2031.0200576913994
2020-10-12,90395.41537291672,1117.6022687154182,30472.137574148925,1900.6417913970404
2020-10-13,77767.58411981417,957.9483337923884,28403.860123579037,1783.3077405923102
2020-10-14,66845.50154377893,825.5633010065649,26362.85721690558,1678.2284214447245
2020-10-15,57414.02093787532,714.1063950249227,24364.117944915197,1584.5393208744306
2020-10-16,49281.08773678998,618.9759157177759,22422.97933814124,1501.3395161312467
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2020-10-19,31069.03655471052,402.7746474278392,17074.66032727086,1305.7083238320336
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2020-10-22,19522.772518727506,256.4522168444819,12606.069830282453,1173.6272951402675
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2020-10-31,4796.302069659682,86.7104244682705,4425.046750372978,844.9503176554141
2020-11-01,4101.718775451119,79.55169417557772,3901.569826489471,791.2435779897511
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2020-11-10,1001.8644310324122,32.50821509593516,1184.4859272602534,361.40870749385545
2020-11-11,856.5390950269123,29.086428076057928,1032.0212831658735,326.0799559640778
2020-11-12,732.2865614981135,25.973329728731187,898.3998646430798,293.5102024579861
2020-11-13,626.0523133781533,23.149791693984298,781.433541094866,263.61136343714026
2020-11-14,535.2253380493025,20.596363451244542,679.1625517909814,236.27005924862095
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2020-11-16,391.18334938505564,16.22196574343252,511.8960732906908,188.72503439184214
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2020-11-19,244.41626087442083,11.211595303291688,333.2966347014951,133.04587158844555
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2021-02-27,0.000037903488206084317,-0.000024711102014407516,0.00006878285658112844,0.00008877518934263597
2021-02-28,0.000032402930892479405,0.0000436820846516639,0.00005880924903352631,0.00003805122979076196
2021-03-01,0.000027700585716697947,-0.00003028777427971363,0.000050281454965454744,0.0000622859882328693
2021-03-02,0.00002368066519219373,0.000010795076377689838,0.00004299002314149238,0.00004628821514743132
2021-03-03,0.00002024411679934565,0.00001923664240166545,0.00003675572453420562,0.000022580426385502756