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The uncertainties on the model parameters are calculated from the covariance matrix, which assumes that the likelihood is symmetric (i.e. normally distributed) around the best-fit value. This method can lead to underestimated and inaccurate uncertainties.
A more robust method would be to use a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample the probability distributions of the model parameters. This would also be simpler than implementing an equivalent frequentist method.
spectral fittingRelating to the methods we use to fit the pulsar's spectra and their uncertainties
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This discussion was converted from issue #58 on October 24, 2022 09:12.
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The uncertainties on the model parameters are calculated from the covariance matrix, which assumes that the likelihood is symmetric (i.e. normally distributed) around the best-fit value. This method can lead to underestimated and inaccurate uncertainties.
A more robust method would be to use a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample the probability distributions of the model parameters. This would also be simpler than implementing an equivalent frequentist method.
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