Skip to content

Latest commit

 

History

History
74 lines (42 loc) · 14.7 KB

AI for Medical Treatment.md

File metadata and controls

74 lines (42 loc) · 14.7 KB

AI for Medical Treatment

Week 1: Treatment Effect Estimation

Randomized Control Trials

  • In a randomized control trial (RCT), a control group or a placebo group is used as a comparison to the experimental group in order to evaluate the effectiveness of an intervention or treatment. The control group typically receives either no intervention or a standard treatment while the experimental group receives the intervention or treatment being studied. The use of a control group allows researchers to determine whether any observed changes in the experimental group are due to the intervention or treatment being tested or due to other factors such as chance or the natural progression of the disease. The use of a placebo group is also common in clinical trials of drugs where the placebo group receives a treatment that looks similar to the experimental treatment but has no active ingredient, this helps to control for the placebo effect and allows researchers to determine whether any observed changes in the experimental group are due to the drug or due to other factors such as chance or the natural progression of the disease.
  • Absolute risk refers to the probability of a specific event occurring in a population. It is often used in medical research to express the likelihood of an individual developing a certain condition or disease, or experiencing a certain outcome. Absolute risk is typically measured as a percentage or as a ratio and it is calculated by dividing the number of events (e.g. number of individuals who develop a certain condition) by the total number of individuals in the population. Absolute risk can be used to compare the risk of a certain event occurring between different groups of individuals or to evaluate the effectiveness of an intervention or treatment. It's important to note that absolute risk is different from relative risk which is the ratio of the probability of an event in one group to the probability of the same event in another group. Absolute risk gives the specific probability of an event occurring in a population, while relative risk compares the risk between different groups.
  • Selection bias refers to the systematic differences in characteristics between the individuals who are selected for a study and those who are not, that may affect the results of the study.

Average Treatment Effect

  • The Neyman-Rubin causal model, also known as the potential outcomes framework, is a statistical framework used to infer causality from observational data. It is based on the idea that for each individual, there are two potential outcomes: one that would occur if the individual were exposed to a certain treatment or intervention (the treatment outcome), and one that would occur if the individual were not exposed (the control outcome). The model posits that the difference between these two outcomes, known as the causal effect, can be used to infer causality. In order to identify the causal effect, the model relies on the assumption of no unmeasured confounding, which means that any observed associations between the treatment and the outcome can be attributed to the treatment and not to other factors.

  • ATE (Average Treatment Effect) and ARR (Absolute Risk Reduction) are two metrics used to measure the effectiveness of an intervention or treatment in a population.

    ATE is a measure of the average difference in outcomes between the individuals in the treatment group and the control group. It is calculated as the difference in the expected outcomes between the two groups, and represents the overall effect of the treatment on the population. It is often used to compare the effectiveness of different treatments.

    ARR is a measure of the absolute difference in risk between the treatment group and the control group. It is calculated as the difference in the probability of an event (such as a disease or death) occurring between the two groups and is often expressed as a percentage or a ratio. ARR is used to compare the risk of an event occurring between the treatment group and the control group, and it is useful for communicating the benefits of a treatment to patients and other stakeholders.

    While ATE is measuring the average change across the population, ARR is measuring the change in risk for an individual. Both metrics are used to evaluate the effectiveness of a treatment and can be used to make decisions about treatment options, but they have different implications for different groups of people.

  • The Two-tree T-learner method is a machine learning method used to estimate treatment effects from observational data. The method is based on the idea of building two decision trees: one for the treatment group and one for the control group. Each tree is built using a set of features that are believed to be associated with the outcome of interest. By comparing the predictions made by the two trees, the method can estimate the treatment effect for each individual. The Two-tree T-learner method is particularly useful when there are many confounding variables and when the treatment effect is heterogeneous across the population.

    The Two-tree T-learner method is often used in the context of causal inference to estimate the treatment effect of a given intervention or treatment on a specific outcome. The method uses a set of features to predict the outcome for both the treatment and control groups, and then compares the predictions to estimate the treatment effect. The method is particularly useful when there are many confounding variables and when the treatment effect is heterogeneous across the population.

  • The Single-tree S-learner method is a machine learning method used to estimate treatment effects from observational data. The method is based on the idea of building a single decision tree using a set of features that are believed to be associated with the outcome of interest. The decision tree is built to predict the outcome for both the treatment and control groups, and then the method compares the predictions to estimate the treatment effect for each individual. The Single-tree S-learner method is particularly useful when there are fewer confounding variables and when the treatment effect is homogeneous across the population.

    The Single-tree S-learner method is a machine learning method that uses a single decision tree to estimate treatment effects from observational data. This method is used to predict the outcome of a given intervention or treatment on a specific outcome, it uses a set of features to predict the outcome for both the treatment and control groups, and then compares the predictions to estimate the treatment effect. The Single-tree S-learner method is useful when there are fewer confounding variables and when the treatment effect is homogeneous across the population. It's also simpler to implement and understand when compared to the Two-tree T-learner method.

Individualized Treatment Effect

  • C-for-benefit is a metric used to evaluate the effectiveness of a treatment in a population. It is a variant of the well-known C-index, which is used to evaluate the performance of a prognostic model. Unlike the C-index, which only considers the time of event, the C-for-benefit metric also considers the magnitude of the benefit that a treatment provides. The C-for-benefit metric is calculated as the proportion of pairs of individuals where the individual who received the treatment had a better outcome than the individual who did not receive the treatment. It ranges between 0 and 1, with a value of 1 indicating that the treatment provides a benefit to all individuals who received it and a value of 0 indicating that the treatment provides no benefit to any individual.

    C-for-benefit is a useful metric for evaluating the effectiveness of treatments when the outcome of interest is continuous and when the benefit of the treatment is not only measured by the time of event but also by the magnitude of the benefit. It is particularly useful for evaluating treatments that have a continuous outcome such as a reduction in blood pressure, rather than a binary outcome such as death or survival.

Quiz 1

Week 2: Medical Question Answering

Question Answering

  • BERT (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers) is a transformer-based deep learning model that has been trained on a massive amount of text data, it has the ability to understand the context of a word by looking at the words that come before and after it. BERT is pre-trained on a large corpus of text and can be fine-tuned on a specific task, such as sentiment analysis or named entity recognition. BERT has been trained on a massive amount of text data and can therefore can understand the context of a word by looking at the words that come before and after it. This makes BERT particularly useful for natural language processing tasks that involve understanding the meaning of text, such as text classification, question answering, and language translation.
  • t-SNE (t-Distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding) is a dimensionality reduction technique that is used to visualize high-dimensional data. It is particularly useful for visualizing data that has many features, such as images or text, and for exploring the structure of the data. t-SNE works by mapping the high-dimensional data to a lower-dimensional space, such as two or three dimensions, in a way that preserves the similarity between the data points. t-SNE uses a probabilistic approach to project the data points to a lower-dimensional space, so that the points that are similar in the high-dimensional space are close to each other in the low-dimensional space. The technique is particularly useful for visualizing clusters and patterns in the data, and can be used as a preprocessing step for other machine learning algorithms.

Automatic Labeling

  • Automatic labeling, also known as annotation, is the process of using algorithms and machine learning techniques to automatically assign labels or tags to data. This can include tasks such as object detection, image classification, text classification, and named entity recognition. Automatic labeling can be applied to both structured and unstructured data, such as images, text, audio, and video. The goal of automatic labeling is to automate the time-consuming and labor-intensive task of manual labeling, in order to increase the efficiency and accuracy of the labeling process. The process typically includes using machine learning algorithms to train a model on a labeled dataset, and then using the trained model to label new data. The quality of the automatic labeling depends on the quality of the training dataset, the complexity of the task, and the algorithm used.

Evaluate Automatic Labeling

  • Precision is a measure of how many of the positive predictions made by the model are actually correct. It is calculated as the number of true positive divided by the number of true positive plus false positive.
  • Recall is a measure of how well the model is able to identify all the positive examples. It is calculated as the number of true positives divided by the number of true positives plus false negatives.
  • F1 score is a measure that combines precision and recall and is calculated as the harmonic mean of precision and recall. It gives a balance between precision and recall by considering both the true positive rate and the positive predictive value. It ranges from 0 to 1, with 1 being the best score.
  • In the field of machine learning, micro-average and macro-average are two ways of calculating performance metrics for multi-class classification problems. Micro-average considers the performance of the model for each class separately, it sums the true positives, false positives and false negatives across all the classes and then compute the performance metric. It is useful when the dataset is imbalanced and there are some classes that are under-represented. Micro-average gives more weight to the classes with more instances and it is sensitive to class imbalance. On the other hand, Macro-average calculates the performance metric separately for each class, and then takes the average of these metrics. It is useful when all the classes are equally important and need to be considered with equal weight. Macro-average is not sensitive to class imbalance and it gives equal weight to all classes regardless of the number of instances they have.

Quiz 2

Week 3: ML Interpretation

Feature Importance

  • Shapley values and SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) are methods used to determine the feature importance of machine learning models. Shapley values are a way to fairly distribute a value among a group of individuals, where the value of each individual is dependent on the presence or absence of other individuals. In the context of feature importance, Shapley values assign a contribution value to each feature, taking into account the interactions between the features. SHAP is an implementation of Shapley values specifically designed for machine learning models, it uses the concept of a coalition game to calculate the contribution of each feature. The method calculates the expectation of the feature's contribution over all possible coalitions of features. It is a unified and consistent method that works for any model and it includes both feature-value and feature-order information.

Interpreting Deep Learning Models

  • Localization maps and heat maps are visual representations that are used to identify regions of an image or feature space that are most relevant or important for a particular task. Localization maps are often used in object detection or image segmentation tasks to identify the specific regions of an image that the model is attending to for making a prediction. These maps are generated by applying a convolutional neural network (CNN) to the input image and obtaining the output feature maps. These feature maps are then upsampled to the original resolution of the image and overlaid on the original image to create a heat map.

    Heat maps, on the other hand, are used in feature importance or feature selection tasks to identify the most important features in a dataset. These maps are generated by plotting the feature importance values on top of an image, where the color of each pixel represents the importance of the corresponding feature. The features that are most important are represented by the warmest colors, while the least important features are represented by the coolest colors. Both Localization maps and heat maps are commonly used in image analysis, computer vision and machine learning to help understand and interpret the results of complex models.

Quiz 3